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INTERESTS OF POLES OF POWER CLASH
Lragir.am
06 July 06
The essential in the context of home political developments in Armenia
is that there is not a common interest in government. This opinion was
expressed by the political expert Manvel Sargsyan during the seminar
in Yerevan on July 6. The seminar was devoted the reform of the home
political sphere. Manvel Sargsyan says there are preconditions for
this reform.
"The interests of Robert Kocharyan, the corps of functionaries and
businesses divided. The energy of these three components of the ruling
camp went in different directions, which led to the erosion of the
ruling elite. In addition, the efforts made by each of these three
components contradict to the plans and interests of one another. This
circumstance reassures that the principles of establishment and
structure of government will change," says Manvel Sargsyan.
According to him, the cause of the present situation is the collapse of
the of the "contract-based mechanism" of preserving power, established
by the coalition memorandum of 2003 and dissolved because the Orinats
Yerkir Party seceded from the coalition. Therefore, according to
the expert, the two important conditions of the future activities
and controllability of the government - the principle of division of
spheres and style of work based on camps - disappeared.
"In the government camp real power passed to Robert Kocharyan, and the
political parties of the coalition lost their levers of influence on
the situation because they lost the factor of being a parliamentary
majority. Facing the problem of quitting power in 2008 and under
external pressure Robert Kocharyan steps up his personal political
program, which clashes with the interests of high-ranking public
officials and politicized business. The appearance of the Bargavach
Hayastan Party [Prosperous Armenia Party] on the political stage was
marked by the emergence of fundamentally new approaches of laying
out the image of the future government," says Manvel Sargsyan.
According to him, Armenian officials wonder why Robert Kocharyan
rejects the traditional Armenian path of reproduction of power,
why he fails to use his resources to make Serge Sargsyan president.
Manvel Sargsyan says the officials realized late that the president
is unlikely to choose the traditional path of reproduction. The
expert says the consolidation of officials by way of a fusion of the
Republican Party is the evidence to this perception.
Manvel Sargsyan believes that consolidation has one goal - to prevent
the application of a new, especially an electoral principle of forming
government by concentrating the administrative resource.
"The success of such a program is possible only in case Kocharyan's
individual political program is neutralized by separating him from
administrative and financial levers," says the expert. According to
him, the factor of the business corps acquires a special importance
in this situation.
"The parliamentary businessmen are in a paradoxical state. At
one time their mandates were a "roof", and presently the property
of businessmen having mandates of parliamentarians has become a
target of political aspirations of different poles of the government
camp. The clannish mechanism of protection of property has lost its
effectiveness. Moreover, it contains additional threat for their
property. The threat of punishing businessmen for a "wrong" political
orientation has come true," says Manvel Sargsyan.
Manvel Sargsyan thinks that the development of the process depends on
this state of things, and generally the situation in the government
camp. According to the expert, though it may sound exaggerated, the
outcome or consequence of the developments underway in the government
camp depends on the political role and plans of the new opposition
of Armenia.
"Especially the stance of businesses greatly depends on this. The
factor of the leader of the Orinats Yerkir Party is acquiring great
importance. The dissatisfied electorate and businesses are bound
for perceiving such an oppositionist image. The interests of such an
opposition may objectively overlap with the interests of the Bargavach
Hayastan Party," says Manvel Sargsyan.
The expert believes that if the principals of the new opposition do
not win, and it displays a differential approach towards processes
inside the government, the reform of the political system may be real.
"All the internal preconditions for it are there. For external
preconditions, they have always existed," says Manvel Sargsyan.
Lragir.am
06 July 06
The essential in the context of home political developments in Armenia
is that there is not a common interest in government. This opinion was
expressed by the political expert Manvel Sargsyan during the seminar
in Yerevan on July 6. The seminar was devoted the reform of the home
political sphere. Manvel Sargsyan says there are preconditions for
this reform.
"The interests of Robert Kocharyan, the corps of functionaries and
businesses divided. The energy of these three components of the ruling
camp went in different directions, which led to the erosion of the
ruling elite. In addition, the efforts made by each of these three
components contradict to the plans and interests of one another. This
circumstance reassures that the principles of establishment and
structure of government will change," says Manvel Sargsyan.
According to him, the cause of the present situation is the collapse of
the of the "contract-based mechanism" of preserving power, established
by the coalition memorandum of 2003 and dissolved because the Orinats
Yerkir Party seceded from the coalition. Therefore, according to
the expert, the two important conditions of the future activities
and controllability of the government - the principle of division of
spheres and style of work based on camps - disappeared.
"In the government camp real power passed to Robert Kocharyan, and the
political parties of the coalition lost their levers of influence on
the situation because they lost the factor of being a parliamentary
majority. Facing the problem of quitting power in 2008 and under
external pressure Robert Kocharyan steps up his personal political
program, which clashes with the interests of high-ranking public
officials and politicized business. The appearance of the Bargavach
Hayastan Party [Prosperous Armenia Party] on the political stage was
marked by the emergence of fundamentally new approaches of laying
out the image of the future government," says Manvel Sargsyan.
According to him, Armenian officials wonder why Robert Kocharyan
rejects the traditional Armenian path of reproduction of power,
why he fails to use his resources to make Serge Sargsyan president.
Manvel Sargsyan says the officials realized late that the president
is unlikely to choose the traditional path of reproduction. The
expert says the consolidation of officials by way of a fusion of the
Republican Party is the evidence to this perception.
Manvel Sargsyan believes that consolidation has one goal - to prevent
the application of a new, especially an electoral principle of forming
government by concentrating the administrative resource.
"The success of such a program is possible only in case Kocharyan's
individual political program is neutralized by separating him from
administrative and financial levers," says the expert. According to
him, the factor of the business corps acquires a special importance
in this situation.
"The parliamentary businessmen are in a paradoxical state. At
one time their mandates were a "roof", and presently the property
of businessmen having mandates of parliamentarians has become a
target of political aspirations of different poles of the government
camp. The clannish mechanism of protection of property has lost its
effectiveness. Moreover, it contains additional threat for their
property. The threat of punishing businessmen for a "wrong" political
orientation has come true," says Manvel Sargsyan.
Manvel Sargsyan thinks that the development of the process depends on
this state of things, and generally the situation in the government
camp. According to the expert, though it may sound exaggerated, the
outcome or consequence of the developments underway in the government
camp depends on the political role and plans of the new opposition
of Armenia.
"Especially the stance of businesses greatly depends on this. The
factor of the leader of the Orinats Yerkir Party is acquiring great
importance. The dissatisfied electorate and businesses are bound
for perceiving such an oppositionist image. The interests of such an
opposition may objectively overlap with the interests of the Bargavach
Hayastan Party," says Manvel Sargsyan.
The expert believes that if the principals of the new opposition do
not win, and it displays a differential approach towards processes
inside the government, the reform of the political system may be real.
"All the internal preconditions for it are there. For external
preconditions, they have always existed," says Manvel Sargsyan.