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Sukhumi's anti-Georgian stance jeopardizes int'l economic initiative

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  • Sukhumi's anti-Georgian stance jeopardizes int'l economic initiative

    SUKHUMI'S ANTI-GEORGIAN STANCE JEOPARDIZES INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC INITIATIVES
    By Zaal Anjaparidze

    Eurasia Daily Monitor, DC
    July 10 2006

    Monday, July 10, 2006

    The promising movement toward reopening railways to link Russia,
    Georgia, and Armenia via Georgia's breakaway Abkhazia region is now
    in jeopardy. The $300 million project to restore the Abkhaz section of
    the Russo-Georgian railway after it was cut in 1992-93 appears to have
    stumbled over the mutual animosities between the Georgians and Abkhaz.

    The first hints that the issue was moving toward resolution began
    last summer, when Tbilisi backed away from its initial tough
    stance regarding restoration of the rail link (see EDM, June 17,
    2005). Georgian officials and specialists subsequently participated
    in talks about the rehabilitation of the Abkhaz section of the rail
    link and onsite technical inspections.

    Last December EU officials visited Sukhumi, the Abkhaz capital, and
    offered Abkhazia an impressive package of economic aid if it toned
    down its secessionist agenda (see EDM, December 12, 2005). Some
    Georgian officials and pundits believed that reopening the railway
    could become an organic part of a large, Western-sponsored plan
    of economic rehabilitation for post-war Abkhazia, and help move
    the region toward eventual reintegration into the Georgian social,
    economic, and political space.

    On January 20, leaders of Georgian, Armenian, and Russian railway
    companies signed a protocol on establishing an international consortium
    to eventually open the rail link between Ingiri (Georgia) and Veseloe
    (Russia). The document appealed to the Abkhaz leadership to join
    the cause.

    On May 4 in Moscow, officials from Georgia, Armenia, Russia, and
    Abkhazia signed a protocol establishing the Black Sea Railways
    consortium. The consortium, set up as an open joint-stock company,
    must rebuild the Abkhaz section of the railway. Andrei Turukin,
    Abkhazia's representative in Russia for railway issues, said that
    members would discuss where to register the consortium during its
    next meeting, scheduled for late July in Tbilisi, and underlined that
    "the Abkhaz side was represented as a full-pledged party."

    Some Georgian pundits and officials assessed this remark as one more
    step facilitating the acknowledgement of Abkhazia's independence.

    Symptomatically, prior to the Moscow talks on the consortium,
    Sergei Bagapsh, the self-styled "president" of Abkhazia, told Abkhaz
    parliamentarians that Sukhumi must agree to resume railway traffic,
    which requires making Abkhazia an independent member of the project. He
    also declared that no political demands should be put forward as a
    precondition for the project (Apsnypress, Regnum, April 26).

    Georgian officials connected with the consortium initiative are
    tight-lipped about the political and economic details of the
    deal. Irakli Ezugbaya, director of Georgia's state-run Railway
    Company and the chief Georgian negotiator at the Moscow talks, told
    Georgian lawmakers last December that a political decision about
    the consortium is still pending (Civil Georgia, Regnum, Apsnypress,
    May 5; Akhali Taoba, June 3). Parliamentarian Shota Malashkhia,
    chair of the Commission for Territorial Integrity, expressed doubts
    about the expediency of the consortium due to the remaining legal
    questions. Meanwhile, according to a poll commissioned this April by
    the International Republican Institute, 75% of the 1,500 Georgians
    polled thought the restoration of the railway would "suit Georgian
    national interests" (www.iri.org.ge, Civil Georgia, May 30).

    But now, as Sukhumi appears to be stepping up its secessionist agenda,
    the Georgian government is reconsidering whether to give a green light
    to the railway project. Kakha Bendukidze, Georgian state minister
    for economic reforms, responded to reports from Russian and Abkhaz
    sources about the Abkhaz separatists' intention to rehabilitate the
    railway on their own. He said that the rehabilitation of the railway
    "is an issue of goodwill and politics," and it is up to the Georgian
    government to decide whether to use the railway or not" (Kavkaz Press,
    June 26).

    The Abkhaz increasingly regard the railway project as a political
    trap set by Georgia. Meanwhile, the Abkhaz also likely fear excessive
    integration into Russia, which the railway project might entail and
    prefer to take a "wait-and-see" attitude. There have been reports that
    Russia is pressing Sukhumi to reopen the railway link (Alia, June
    27), while a July 4 statement by the Abkhaz government states that
    Abkhazia will contribute to the project only if it serves Sukhumi's
    interests. (Apsnypress, July 4).

    The statement follows a June 27 roundtable by the Forum of Abkhaz
    People's Unity, which includes opposition parties and public
    movements. Forum participants noted that Abkhazia should not join
    international consortiums until the international community recognizes
    its independence. They said that the railway consortium aligns
    with Russia's geopolitical interests, while neglecting Abkhazia's
    interests. The Forum particularly disliked the wording of the May
    4 protocol that, they argued, considers the Abkhaz railway to be a
    "portion" of the other [Georgian] railway route. Some opposition
    parliamentarians suggested that Abkhazia should join the consortium
    only after international recognition of its independence. A Forum
    statement issued on June 30 stressed that the international railway
    consortium poses a threat to Abkhazia's sovereignty. The influential
    Abkhaz public-political movement Aidgilara (Unity), which is linked to
    the government, recently called on Bagapsh "to disavow" the protocol
    on creating an international consortium on the issue. On July 3 still
    more Abkhaz civic groups came out against the railway consortium
    (Apsnypress, July 7).

    Bagapsh, who apart from security issues wants to discuss with Georgian
    President Mikheil Saakashvili (EDM, July 6) reopening closed air,
    sea and rail routes with Abkhazia to relieve the region's economic
    blockade, downplayed the Forum's concerns. He told a news conference
    on June 29 that the project is beneficial for Abkhazia in an economic
    sense and that Russia needs this strategic railway (Kavkaz Press,
    Apsnypress, Civil Georgia, Regnum, June 28-30).

    Although the Abkhaz government formally denounced the Forum's
    allegations as groundless and said that agreements regarding the
    consortium are not legally binding, it seems that the Abkhaz government
    is using the Forum to send a message to all stakeholders; to put them
    on notice that they must accommodate Abkhaz interests.
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