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TBILISI: The View from Tbilisi

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  • TBILISI: The View from Tbilisi

    Georgian-Russian Relations at an All-time Low

    Russia Profile, Russia
    July 18 2006

    TBILISI, Georgia. Since Mikheil Saakashvili and his Rose
    revolutionaries came to power in 2003, relations between Georgia and
    Russia have plummeted from strained cooperation to mutual distrust
    and even hatred; bilateral communication between the two countries is
    almost impossible without accusations and insults flying. On taking
    the helm, Saakashvili's government made two key promises, both of
    which Moscow found extremely distasteful: Georgian control would be
    restored in the breakaway republics of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, both
    currently under Russian influence, and Georgia would be repositioned
    internationally, pulling the South Caucasus country firmly away from
    Moscow's sphere of influence and integrating it as quickly as possible
    into the "Euro-Atlantic community." While the first of these promises
    has not yet been fulfilled, the second task is well underway.

    The first clue to the change of geopolitical orientation in Georgia
    comes immediately upon landing at the Tbilisi airport, where Westerners
    breeze through passport control with a cursory passport check, while
    Russians have their visas studied laboriously. The main route from
    the airport is the recently renamed George W. Bush Street, leading to
    Freedom Square (formerly Lenin Square) in the heart of the city. Just
    off the square stands the newly opened Museum of the Soviet Occupation,
    a set of exhibits detailing the "repression of the Georgian people"
    between 1921 and 1991. The symbolism and timing of the museum's opening
    irked Russian President Vladimir Putin so much that he complained at
    length to Saakashvili at their bilateral meeting in St. Petersburg
    in June, pointing out that many of the top figures in the so-called
    occupation, such as Joseph Stalin and Lavrenty Beria, were in fact
    ethnic Georgians. According to a source in the Georgian government,
    Saakashvili's response was reportedly to suggest offering funds for
    Putin to open a Museum of the Georgian Occupation in Moscow.

    The tough words between the two countries at the highest levels have
    not been restricted to private meetings, however. The spats have a
    childish feel to them, with both sides crying that the other started
    the hostile moves. Russia bans imports of Georgian wine in a move
    that seems overtly political; a Georgian minister responds that the
    Russian market is so low-grade that "even feces can be sold." Putin
    calls for referenda in the conflict zones of South Ossetia and
    Abkhazia; Georgians accuse Russia of military provocations on
    Georgian territory. The list goes on and on. One of the bitterest
    clashes came in the heart of winter, when pipeline explosions in
    the North Caucasus caused a disruption in gas supplies from Russia
    to Georgia for several days in January. When Saakashvili accused
    Russia of "sabotage," the Russian Foreign Ministry responded that
    the Georgians were suffering from "hysteria and bacchanalia." Shota
    Utiashvili, head of the Information and Analysis Department at the
    Interior Ministry, explained the Georgian suspicions. "Three pipelines
    exploded at the same time. Our prime minister repeatedly tried to
    call the Russian prime minister, but first they said he was busy,
    then he was ill. We offered to send our experts to look at the pipes,
    but the Russians refused. Our people were freezing, so we started
    importing gas from Azerbaijan. The Russians then decreased the flow
    to Azerbaijan." After this, asked Utiashvili, what conclusions could
    the Georgian side draw? "What do they say in Russia when these crises
    occur? People say they blame Georgia, but I just can't understand how,"
    he said with seemingly genuine bewilderment.

    "Since the fall of the Soviet Union, Georgia-Russia relations have
    probably been the most difficult set of relations in the whole
    post-Soviet space," said Oksana Antonenko, senior fellow at the
    International Institute for Strategic Studies in London. "There was
    always a perception in the Georgian elite that Russia is the main
    enemy, and with the arrival of Saakashvili, these kinds of sentiments
    have become mainstream."

    The overwhelming view in Georgian political circles is that the
    problem for Russia is simply Georgia's aspirations to Western-style
    democracy and prosperity. Temuri Yakobashvili, executive vice president
    of the Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies,
    a Tbilisi-based think tank, presented the choice facing the Georgian
    leadership as simple. "We see countries that were in as difficult
    a position as Georgia at the fall of the Soviet Union, but are now
    integrating into Euro-Atlantic structures. The EU and NATO have
    transformed these Central and Eastern European states into viable
    democracies," he said. "It's obvious that Euro-Atlantic integration is
    the solution," said the analyst. Antonenko, on the other hand, believes
    that the equation might not be so simple for the Georgians. "I'm not
    sure that Georgia benefits at all from turning away from Russia," she
    said. "It's na?ve to think that the West will risk its relationship
    with Russia over Georgia, and Georgia suffers much more than Russia
    does from the worsening in relations."

    Nevertheless, all over the country, the rhetorical shift from a
    post-Soviet to a pre-EU society is startling. At official government
    buildings, on billboards, even in giant horticultural arrangements,
    the four crosses of the Georgian flag appear alongside the yellow stars
    of the European Union's. Flying the flags ahead of actual membership
    of the institutions seems aimed at convincing both Georgians and
    foreigners that the trajectory chosen by the Saakashvili government
    is irreversible. Unlike in other CIS countries, the second language
    in official circles has become English, and most ministers and top
    government officials speak the language fluently.

    The corridors of the Defense Ministry are lined with photographs of
    Georgian troops in both peacekeeping and combat action. Georgia, as
    a more-willing-than-most member of the "Coalition of the Willing,"
    has around 900 troops in Iraq, the highest per-capita number of any
    country. Georgian troops are also in Afghanistan and Kosovo. In his
    office, Deputy Defense Minister Mamuka Kudava sits in front of two
    large flags - Georgian and NATO. "Before the Rose Revolution, there
    was basically no army and no combat capability," says Kudava. "Now
    our troops are well trained and equipped to NATO standards. Before,
    nobody wanted their children to join the army. Now, salaries have
    increased by between six and 15 times, and it's a prestigious job.

    There is good morale and a sense of patriotism in the army."

    Yakobashvili believes that the choice to look west is logical.

    "There's nothing that Russia can offer us from a security point of
    view," he says. "What kind of security cooperation might Russia
    offer? They would train our officers, but do we really want this
    training? The Russian army is riddled with 'dedovshchina,' [hazing]
    there is inappropriate use of funds, loss of equipment and so on.

    It's not an army that you'd wish to copy."

    "A good way to look at how well Georgia is progressing with European
    integration is to look at the statements coming out of the Russian
    Foreign Ministry," said the Interior Ministry's Utiashvili. "If they
    are absolutely livid, it means we are doing well, but if they go
    quiet for a while, we realize we must be doing something wrong."

    Utiashvili had just returned from Rome, where a Georgian delegation
    was making connections with the new government of Romano Prodi. In
    contrast to these closely forged links with EU countries and the United
    States, Utiashvili said there was very little routine interaction
    between Georgian and Russian ministries. "We have perfectly good
    relations and frequent contacts with the governments in Armenia and
    Azerbaijan. They have different political systems, but it's none of
    our business, we can still deal with them. The problem with Russia
    is that they always want to interfere with our affairs." Antonenko,
    however, feels that there might be more the Georgian side could do
    to engage Russia. "It's very strange that the Georgians have failed
    completely to identify any positive agenda with Russia - they are
    the only country in the CIS that has failed to do so," she said.

    "Russian-Azeri relations were also strained, and there was also
    the issue of meddling in internal affairs over Karabakh. But now
    Azerbaijan has managed on the one hand to have friendly relations
    with the United States, including discussing U.S. military bases
    on Azeri territory, and on the other to retain good relations with
    Russia." She also pointed to the situation in Ukraine, where both
    sides have made moderately successful attempts to mend relations in
    the aftermath of the Orange Revolution.

    Not everyone in Georgia is happy with the course that the Rose
    Revolution has taken since the triumphant parliament takeover in
    November 2003, when almost every pro-democracy politician in the
    country jumped on the Saakashvili bandwagon to rid the country of
    the government of Eduard Shevardnadze. Though individual opposition
    parties remain marginal, the chorus of discontented voices is
    growing. The most frequent accusations are that Saakashvili wheels
    out the "freedom and democracy" rhetoric for Western leaders, but
    the reality for ordinary Georgians is somewhat different. "Personal
    freedoms are still sacrificed to achieve bigger societal objectives,"
    said David Usupashvili, chairman of the Republican Party, a moderate
    opposition force. "There's no room for the rule of law, human rights
    or other basic principles of democracy," he continued. A particular
    sticking point is a high-profile murder case in which high-level
    Interior Ministry officials are implicated in a cover-up.

    When it comes to relations with Russia, Usupashvili feels that
    Saakashvili's "childish rhetoric" has inflamed the situation: "We
    need to engage with Russia, and to behave as a mature government
    that is willing to guarantee its own security, but also doesn't
    pose a threat to anyone." However, even the opposition leaders feel
    that Moscow's intentions are hostile. "It's more than clear that the
    current Russian government and leadership do not want a civilized and
    normal relationship with Georgia, nor do they want to recognize its
    territorial integrity," said Usupashvili. "There would be no talk of
    NATO if it weren't for the security threat coming from Russia. We saw
    in the 1990s what it means to be alone facing Russia with its unclear,
    unbalanced policies in the Caucasus region."

    A particular thorn in the side of bilateral relations are the "frozen
    conflicts" in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, which Georgia has recently
    been doing its best to thaw out. Defense Minister Irakli Okruashvili
    recently promised that if he does not celebrate the coming new year in
    the South Ossetian capital, he will resign. In Tbilisi, the conflicts
    are seen not as independence struggles but as proxy conflicts fought
    by Russia to retain influence in the South Caucasus.

    "There are two sides in these conflicts," said Kudava. "But it's not
    like Russia would like us to believe. This is not between Georgians
    and Ossetians, or between Georgians and Abkhaz. These are conflicts
    between Russia and Georgia."

    Georgians at all levels are adamant that the impetus for improved
    relations with Russia has to come from Russia itself. "Russia
    should understand that it is in its best interests to have a stable,
    prosperous, integrated and unified Georgia," said Kudava. "We need
    Russia to be more flexible and constructive, and have stability on
    the southern slopes of the Caucasus." Even those ordinary Georgians
    who fondly eulogize that the standard of living was better in the
    Soviet Union seem to have no warm feelings for the current Russian
    leadership. Criticism and non-comprehension of the Putin government
    is almost universal. But ultimately, it is Georgia that will lose
    out the most from the current state of affairs. "Georgia, after all,
    is not an island in the Indian Ocean," said Antonenko. "It's on the
    border with Russia and it cannot afford to have such poor relations
    with its northern neighbor."
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