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TBILISI: The Kars-Akhalkalaki Railway: Good For Georgia?

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  • TBILISI: The Kars-Akhalkalaki Railway: Good For Georgia?

    THE KARS-AKHALKALAKI RAILWAY: GOOD FOR GEORGIA?
    M. Alkhazashvili

    The Messenger, Georgia
    June 22 2006

    The Financial Committee of the U.S. Congress has forbidden American
    companies from investing in the Kars-Akhalkalaki railway. However, even
    if U.S. companies don't finance the project it will be quite possible
    to other sources of funding. Turkey is more than ready to bear the
    cost, but just how beneficial is this project going to be for Georgia?

    Economist Gia Khukhashvili argues that it is necessary to conduct
    market research, as it could well turn out that the railway will
    redirect cargo which had been passing through Georgian ports, which
    would ultimately be detrimental to the Georgian economy.

    "It may result in catastrophic conditions for Georgian ports. The
    government has not thought the decision through. Serious analytical
    works must be conducted; problems should not be created for our
    ports, only if this is guaranteed will the project be beneficial"
    said Khukhashvili in the newspaper Rezonansi.

    Analyst Emzar Jgerenaia is far more skeptical. According to him
    operating the Kars-Akhalkalaki-Tbilisi-Baku railway line won't
    bring any economic benefits for Georgia at all. "The construction
    of the railway needs a lot of investment, the line runs through an
    earthquake zone and additional works will be needed," Jgerenaia said
    in Khvalindeli Dghe.

    Some analysts believe that it would be more profitable to focus on
    the needs of neighbouring Armenia. According to Akhali Taoba, Georgia
    should consider Armenia's concern over building the Kars-Akhalkalaki
    railway and its interest in the reopening of the Sokhumi-Tbilisi
    line. By discussing this issue with Russia, Georgia could find itself
    in a stronger bargaining position on the conflict in Abkhazia.

    "It is not ruled out that the Kars-Akhalkalaki project and the
    reopening of the railway line in Abkhazia may have profound effects
    on the reintegration process in Abkhazia," says the newspaper Akhali
    Taoba.

    But these statements are mostly conjectural, as there has been no
    detailed costing of the proposed railway, and no funds have yet been
    raised. The opinions are primarily conditioned by political, rather
    than economic, attitudes to the issue.
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