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  • Compatriots Shall Not Return

    COMPATRIOTS SHALL NOT RETURN

    Kommersant, Russia
    June 28 2006

    Isolationist idea of "returning the compatriots" should be juxtaposed
    to the idea of Big Russia President Putin urged the Ministry of Foreign
    Affairs to work with Russians living abroad "on a higher and more
    substantial level." This task is much more important and ambitious
    than earlier promoted program of returning expatriates to Russia.

    The idea of "returning the compatriots" is certainly more advantageous
    for Russia's domestic policy. The return of fellow countrymen is
    seen as the unification of Russian nation and the general rise of
    the country. Yet, the practical impact of the program of returning
    will be insignificant. There are no more compatriots to return from
    former Soviet republics, and not many would be willing to come back
    from non-CIS countries. The program is rather image-oriented. Its
    political popularity is the echo of isolationist ideology. For Russia's
    strategic interests, it would be better not to return compatriots,
    but, strangely enough, to leave them abroad.

    Russia does not have more or less exact data on the total number
    of Russian emigrants of all waves, which alone tells much of its
    attitude to Russian diaspora. According to Alexander Chepurin, head of
    Foreign Affairs Ministry department for work with compatriots, Russian
    diaspora amounts to 25-30 million people. According to the Center of
    Demography and Human Ecology, some 20 million Russians live in CIS
    and Baltic countries. So, 5-10 million live far abroad. The data of
    US Bureau of Census for 2000 showed that 3 million people indicated
    they are of Russian descent, and 706,000 people put down Russian as
    the language they speak at home. President of the American University
    in Moscow Eduard Lozansky, estimated that if linguistic proficiency
    is the criterion, then Russian diaspora can reach 3-6 million people.

    Despite such a big diaspora, Russia is practically indifferent to it,
    and does not work with it. Meanwhile, a diaspora can play a very
    significant role for the developing counties of the modern global
    world. It may become a source of influence, a mechanism of building
    relations, a bridge for technology import.

    The economy of many countries relies greatly on the emigrants. Thus,
    India received $21.7 billion through money transfers in 2005. World
    Bank estimated that Russia received only $1.81 billion, which is very
    little even compared to such countries as Serbia ($4.1 billion) and
    Brazil ($3.6 billion). Many countries directly borrow from emigrants.

    In the 1950s, Israel issued sovereign bonds for Jewish diaspora
    in the U.S. and collected nearly $50 million. Later, China, India,
    Pakistan, and other countries successfully obtained state loans from
    their diasporas.

    However, Evgeny Kuznetsov and Charles Sabel of World Bank believe the
    influx of expatriates' money is the least effective way of using fellow
    countrymen who live abroad. They name Armenia as a bad example, where
    nearly 3.5 million Armenians lived in 1990, and almost the same number
    of Armenians lived abroad. The diaspora was organized well, it had
    enough intellectuals and businessmen, but this did not help Armenia
    to begin rapid modernization. One of the reasons is that Armenian
    government regarded foreign Armenian elite as their competitors,
    and was interested only in money influx, but did not want to involve
    the diaspora into the life of Armenia.

    China, on the contrary, is a good example. Researchers from World
    Bank write that Chinese authorities managed to link the country to
    global network of value added formation with the help of diaspora.

    Foreign companies, owned by Chinese expatriates, joined into world
    process of goods production in the course of many years of their
    existence in the conditions of global economy. When Deng Xiaoping
    proclaimed open-door policy in 1978, emigrants' companies began
    purchasing assets in China, move part of their productions there,
    etc. Thus China established connections between itself and global
    economy.

    In a similar way, the success of Indian diaspora in Silicon Valley
    and its connections in the U.S. attracted many foreign orders to
    Indian IT-companies. It is notable that India did not need to draw
    highly educated migrants back to their homeland. On the contrary,
    migrants served India best being abroad.

    The success of such strategies shows that a country should not isolate
    itself from the outer world in the conditions of globalization. It
    should not either regard its emigrants as casts-off, or try to make
    them return. Russians in Russia and abroad should be regarded as
    members of Big Russia, the borders of which in global economy exceed
    its national frontiers.
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