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  • Enlargement fatigue but only for Turkey

    Cyprus Observer, Cyprus
    June 30 2006

    Enlargement fatigue but only for Turkey

    30.06.2006


    Showing off to their public, the French government seeks to impose
    EU's `absorption capacity' as a new condition for further EU
    enlargements.

    By Umut Uras

    It is a regular method for EU member state governments to blame their
    own failures on the European Union (EU). Actually it has become a
    regular tool for governments to use the EU as a scapegoat.
    For example, a government could secretly lobby for a positive
    decision in the Council of Ministers through alternative methods,
    whereas it could vote against it just to satisfy public opinion. Or
    similarly, when a decision is certain according to qualified majority
    voting, again it can vote against it only to satisfy public opinion
    and increase its reputation. France's stance towards Turkey's
    membership is a good example.

    Absorption capacity
    The 'absorption capacity' of the EU is regularly quoted by EU leaders
    these days, but only for Turkey. In the last gigantic enlargement the
    public did not hear much about this additional Maastricht criterion,
    because the EU was willing to absorb these countries, including
    Poland with a population of 40 million and 20% unemployment. In the
    conclusions of the 1993 Copenhagen Summit, it was not defined
    properly, an issue the EU leaders are working on after enlarging from
    12 to 25 since 1993.
    However, after the 2004 Central and Eastern European enlargement the
    term has become very popular. The Commission quoted the 'absorption
    capacity' in the new enlargement strategy publicized in December
    2005. And in March 2006, the European Parliament requested a clear
    definition of this criterion in its report on the Commission's
    enlargement strategy.

    French example of playing to public
    France's stance towards Turkey on the issue of absorption capacity is
    a good example how the EU governments are using the EU as a tool to
    increase political reputations. It is a known fact that in some EU
    countries, most significantly France, Turkey's membership is not
    welcomed. However, it is also obvious that Turkey's membership of the
    EU is in the interest of French businesses. Before the Foreign Direct
    Investment boom in Turkey that came after the EU bid finally got
    serious, for a few years French firms did the highest investment in
    Turkey. Today, the trade level between the two countries is more than
    10 billion euros per year. Turkey is also among the target countries
    for investment according to statements made by the French Foreign
    Trade Minister, Christine Lagarde. France made a huge Airbus deal
    with Turkey in the past and is regularly interested in military
    weapons bids.
    We all saw what happened with the Armenian genocide bill that
    awakened a huge reaction in Turkey. The French National Assembly
    postponed debate and a controversial bill sponsored by the opposition
    Socialist Party until at least October after being threatened with
    trade sanctions by Turkey.
    At the European Council that took place on 15-16 June, the French
    suggested bringing a thorough definition to the absorption capacity
    of the EU. It was only fully supported by South Cyprus for obvious
    reasons. Even euro-sceptic Denmark rejected bringing an extra
    condition for enlargements. As a result, France's view that the
    definition of the EU's absorption capacity should cover the
    democratic, institutional, political and financial ability of the EU
    to absorb new members was not shared by the rest of the EU. French
    President Jacques Chirac went even further and said that the
    political ability of the EU is concerned with the views of the
    populations, which should "be able to say if they accept or not."
    This approach provides a new criterion to be a member of the EU, as
    there was no public voting for Poland, Hungary, Slovenia and the
    other new EU member states, as there will be for Turkey. Southeastern
    Balkan states will probably also be included in the deal because of
    Turkey, if and when this additional criterion is realized.

    Olli Rehn's statement
    Just after the enlargement discussions during the Summit in Brussels,
    Olli Rehn, the EU Commissioner responsible for Enlargement, made a
    call on Monday to European leaders to promote enlargement to their
    public and not to make the enlargement of the EU a scapegoat for
    their own policy failures like in the issues of unemployment and
    globalisation. He also argued that Europeans are often "more
    rational" than their governments, adding that the absorption of the
    new member states has been a success story, uniting a Continent
    previously divided by the Cold War.
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