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RFE/RL Iran Report - 03/23/2006

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  • RFE/RL Iran Report - 03/23/2006

    RADIO FREE EUROPE/RADIO LIBERTY, PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC
    _________________________________________ ____________________
    RFE/RL Iran Report
    Vol. 9, No. 10, 23 March 2006

    A Review of Developments in Iran Prepared by the Regional Specialists
    of RFE/RL's Newsline Team

    ******************************************** ****************
    HEADLINES
    * QUEST FOR UNITY IN FACE OF NUCLEAR CRISIS OVERSHADOWS POLITICS
    * INTERVIEW: IRANIAN NOBEL LAUREATE EBADI ON WOMEN'S RIGHTS
    * IRAN GETS NEW SUBMARINE
    * RUSSIA TO 'ADJUST' ITS POSITION ON IRAN
    * MOSCOW'S NUCLEAR OFFER NO LONGER INTERESTS TEHRAN
    * OFFICIALS HINT AT FUTURE NUCLEAR STANCE
    * CLOSING OF IRANIAN STUDENTS ASSOCIATION ELICITS PROTEST
    * INFLATION PREDICTION AND IRAN-U.S. TRADE FIGURES DISCUSSED
    * HAVE TEHRAN AND MOSCOW RESUMED NUCLEAR TALKS?
    * AHMADINEJAD DISCUSSES INTERNATIONAL OUTREACH
    * RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTER STILL CONCERNED ABOUT IRAN
    * RUSSIA-IRAN NUCLEAR TALKS TAKE PLACE
    * BUDGET WINS APPROVAL
    * IRAN SEEKS TO INCREASE OIL PRODUCTION
    * AHMADINEJAD DISCUSSES FOREIGN CLAIMS AGAINST NUCLEAR PROGRAM...
    * ...AND POSSIBLE INTERNATIONAL SANCTIONS
    * UN SECURITY COUNCIL UNDECIDED ON IRAN
    * OFFICIAL SURVEY FINDS BROAD SUPPORT FOR GOVERNMENT'S NUCLEAR STANCE
    * TEHRAN ACCUSES LONDON OF USING 'GOBBLEDYGOOK'
    * IRAN IS FOCUS OF U.S. NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY
    * WANTED BALUCHI LEADER REPORTEDLY FLEES TO IRAN
    * IRAN-PAKISTAN-INDIA PIPELINE TALKS TO CONTINUE
    * IRAN REACHS OUT TO U.S. ON IRAQ
    ********************************************* ***************

    QUEST FOR UNITY IN FACE OF NUCLEAR CRISIS OVERSHADOWS POLITICS. A
    great deal of controversy preceded the semi-annual meeting of the
    Assembly of Experts in early-March, and this is not surprising
    because the popularly elected body of 86 clerics supervises and
    selects Iran's top political and religious leader. Therefore,
    disputes regarding the eligibility of lay-people as candidates and
    the possibility of postponing the election are particularly relevant
    because the next assembly election is scheduled for the autumn. The
    actual event, however, took place with little fanfare or political
    commentary, as officials and media heeded calls for national unity in
    the face of the country being reported to the United Nations Security
    Council. Indeed the nuclear issue appeared to overshadow other
    aspects of the assembly's business.
    Ayatollah Ali-Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani told the assembly on 8
    March that this is the time for national unity in the face of the
    "enemies'" plots, state television reported. He said the U.S. has
    been unsuccessful in its efforts to create an atmosphere that is
    hostile to Iran. "They have made a lot of efforts to isolate us, but
    failed in their mission," he added. "We should move along with
    solidarity," Hashemi-Rafsanjani continued. "We should be united with
    respect to the nuclear issue and against the plots of enemy, which we
    thankfully are." Divisive comments, he said, undermine national
    unity.
    The strident tone of Hojatoleslam Ahmad Khatami's Friday
    Prayer sermon in Tehran two days later -- in which he reverted to the
    insider-outsider argument -- shed light on the political coloring of
    the call for unity. Arguing that nuclear energy is needed because oil
    and gas will finish in two or three decades, he referred to critics
    of the quest for a nuclear fuel cycle as "idiots," state radio
    reported. "You joined the enemy and helped it in the most sensitive
    time. Our people will never forget these plots and people who carry
    them out. When the time comes, the great Iranian nation will give a
    harsh response to the insiders who move in the same direction as the
    enemies, just as it has given decisive responses to foreigners."
    Khatami also noted that the current nuclear policy does not
    relate to President Ahmadinejad alone and it began some years ago.
    "And our situation these days is not the outcome of a single decision
    taken today," he said. "As the supreme leader graciously said, the
    decision was first taken during the previous government's term of
    office. The current government is implementing the same decision
    now."
    Political figures interviewed in the following days also
    stressed the theme of national unity, with the pro-reform "Farhang-i
    Ashti" daily explaining on March 11, "The nuclear dossier has become
    an excuse for all political groups to once again sit with one another
    around the negotiating table to talk to each other." The daily went
    on to explain that regardless of a person's political
    inclination, "They all stress Iran's right to gain access to
    nuclear technology." But if there is unity on this aspect of the
    issue, there is much less unity on how to proceed. The reformists
    advocate continued negotiations, whereas the conservatives and
    hardliners more in line with President Mahmud Ahmadinejad "speak of
    resistance and new plans to scare the enemy."
    The political divisions over the conduct of nuclear
    negotiations have appeared before. Moreover, the Ahmadinejad foreign
    policy team has come in for a great deal of criticism for having
    alienated many other countries and undermined confidence in
    Iran's intentions. These differences have less to do with
    international statesmanship than they do with political, ideological,
    and age-cohort divisions within the country's political
    establishment.
    The president's personnel policies -- the replacement of
    ambassadors and top officials in the foreign ministry, and the
    appointment of younger individuals who he finds are ideologically
    compatible -- also have earned criticism. The comments of
    Hojatoleslam Abdul-Vahed Musavi-Lari, President Mohammad
    Khatami's interior minister, illustrate this point. "It is
    possible for many people to speak of national solidarity, but in
    practice take a pair of scissors in their hands and try to eliminate
    the forces that are loyal to the system or expert individuals who are
    supportive of the system and feel goodwill towards it and deprive
    them of participating in taking and implementing decisions," he said
    ("Etemad," March 11, 2006). "This is something that we are witnessing
    in our society today."
    Musavi-Lari added, "We cannot say that we are in favor of
    national solidarity but exclude the majority of the forces that are
    faithful to the system from the cycle of taking and implementing
    decisions."
    Concerns about the Ahmadinejad team's foreign policy
    efforts and the political aspect of those concerns became clear on
    March 12, when the legislature's reformist faction summoned the
    president to explain his nuclear policy (Mehr News Agency). The next
    day, the deputy parliamentary speaker, Mohammad Reza Bahonar,
    announced that either the president or the secretary of the Supreme
    National Security Council, Ali Larijani, would come soon (Islamic
    Republic News Agency).
    Until the call for unity from Hashemi-Rafsanjani, much of the
    country's political discourse related to the upcoming Assembly of
    Experts meeting. The assembly held its last meeting in September
    2005, and around that time one of the major topics of discussion was
    membership qualifications. Some members reportedly submitted a motion
    calling for more advanced theological credentials, and they advocated
    taking the job of vetting candidates from the Guardians Council and
    giving it to the country's leading seminarians. Other members of
    the assembly said it was time to admit laypeople, including women and
    military personnel.
    The next month, another prominent cleric and political
    figure, former parliamentary speaker Hojatoleslam Mehdi Karrubi, also
    spoke out on this topic. He warned that the effort to limit the
    choice of candidates would reduce voter turnout ("Etemad," October
    23, 2005).
    This is a legitimate concern -- overall voter participation
    figures in Iran have shown a downward trend since the initial
    enthusiasm of the period immediately after the revolution, and this
    is particularly noticeable in Assembly of Experts elections.
    Participation was 77 percent in 1982, 37 percent in 1990, and 46
    percent in 1998. The regime, furthermore, bases its legitimacy on
    public participation in elections, and it sees the regular holding of
    elections as a sign of its democratic nature.
    Karrubi, who has declared that he will not stand in the
    assembly election ("Hemayat," December 10, 2005), returned to the
    subject of candidates' eligibility in a letter to the head of the
    assembly, Ayatollah Ali Meshkini. He wrote that the supreme
    leader's responsibilities touch on subjects other than theology,
    so the members of the assembly, who are responsible for supervising
    the supreme leader, should have expertise in a range of subjects
    ("Aftab-i Yazd," February 16, 2006). Moreover, Karrubi wrote, vetting
    of candidates should be the responsibility of prominent theologians.
    The Guardians Council should not have this responsibility, he
    explained, because its members usually are candidates for membership
    in the assembly. Without saying it outright, Karrubi also hinted at
    the conservative political bias of the Council of Guardians.
    In mid-February, reports surfaced that some of these changes
    had been implemented. Assembly membership reportedly would increase
    to 120, and 40 members of this group would be experts in areas other
    than jurisprudence ("Aftab-i Yazd," February 16, 2006). Like
    candidates in earlier elections, they would have to be pious and have
    good reputations, but they would also have to be skilled in
    economics, law, legislative affairs, planning, or politics, or they
    should hold a military leadership position.
    However, it later turned out that these reports were
    premature. An assembly member, Hojatoleslam Majid Ansari, had
    presented a proposal on the membership of laymen to the
    assembly's statutes committee, but the proper procedures were not
    followed and there was no follow-up on the subject ("Mardom Salari,"
    February 18, 2006).
    Moreover, the proposal was unlikely to be welcomed. Ayatollah
    Mohsen Musavi-Tabrizi, a reformist member of the assembly, said
    earlier efforts to change the regulations had been rejected ("Sharq,"
    February 18, 2006). "The majority of members are opposed to such
    plans, and we can see examples of it in other plans, such as the one
    to change the authority for verifying the credential of candidates
    and the one for holding open sessions, or the issue of exercising
    supervision, which is 100 percent related to the domain of the
    Assembly of Experts," he explained. "All these previous cases faced
    opposition."
    In a not entirely unexpected development, a member of the
    Guardians Council also spoke out against the proposal to make laymen
    eligible for assembly membership. Council spokesman Abbasali
    Kadkhodai initially said the concept is illegal, but he then
    backtracked and said he was only expressing his personal opinion as a
    legal expert ("Mardom Salari" and "Etemad-i Melli," February 20,
    2005). He added that the Guardians Council is not involved in this
    issue, and if the assembly decides to include laymen then the council
    will go along with this. Kadkhodai said in early-March that the topic
    remains under review, and the Supreme Leader could have the final say
    ("Mardom Salari" and "Sharq," March 5, 2006).
    A member of the assembly, substitute Tehran Friday Prayer
    leader Hojatoleslam Ahmad Khatami, dismissed the possibility of
    laypeople as members and urged the media to end its speculation
    ("Kayhan," March 2, 2006). He also said that such a plan is illegal,
    and it will not be considered because it was submitted illegally
    ("Sharq," March 2, 2006). The current members, he added, can perform
    all the necessary functions.
    A prominent pro-reform cleric and university professor,
    Hojatoleslam Mohsen Kadivar, also spoke out on the issue of assembly
    membership. He noted that the Iranian constitution does not specify
    that members must be experts at interpreting religious law or must be
    sources of emulation, and there is no law prohibiting the membership
    of non clerics ("Sharq," March 7, 2006). Kadivar, who has shown in
    the past that he is not averse to taking controversial positions,
    said there are currently three problems with the Assembly of Experts
    -- all members are men, all members are clerics, and all members are
    Shi'a.
    There are occasional calls for delaying the Assembly of
    Experts election and holding it at the same time as another one. In
    mid-February, Interior Minister Hojatoleslam Mustafa Purmohammadi
    recommended holding the assembly election and the 2007 municipal
    council elections at the same time ("Etemad," February 15, 2006).
    Last year, a member of the Guardians Council said the election should
    coincide with the 2008 parliamentary elections ("Farhang-i Ashti,"
    July 23, 2005).
    Such demands usually are part of broader calls for
    consolidating elections and do not get farther than media
    speculation. However, the committee responsible for the Assembly of
    Experts' internal regulations did hold a meeting on February 12
    to discuss the most recent proposal, although its outcome was not
    revealed ("Etemad," February 15, 2006). The political advantage of
    delaying the assembly's election is not immediately apparent. It
    may reflect, as its proponents say, an effort to save money and
    reduce disruption. It is also possible that proponents of such a
    delay hope there would be a bigger turnout if citizens are voting for
    people whose duties -- such as parliamentarians or municipal council
    members -- affect their daily lives.
    The Assembly of Experts met on March 7 and 8, and as always,
    the actual business of the two-day meeting took place behind closed
    doors. Indeed, it would appear that the reporting of Iran's
    nuclear program to the United Nations Security Council overshadowed
    some of the assembly's business. Hojatoleslam Ansari complained
    that everything but matters within the assembly's
    responsibilities was discussed, and his proposal to widen the
    membership did not come up ("Aftab-i Yazd" and "Etemad," March 9,
    2006). Ansari recommended greater openness about the normally closed
    sessions of the assembly, and he said a public report on the
    leader's performance should be made available. The Assembly did
    reject the Interior Ministry proposal that the elections of the
    assembly and municipal councils should coincide (Fars News Agency,
    March 10, 2006). Hojatoleslam Ahmad Khatami said the assembly
    election will take place in the autumn. (Bill Samii)

    INTERVIEW: IRANIAN NOBEL LAUREATE EBADI ON WOMEN'S RIGHTS. The
    European Training Foundation held an international conference on
    "Women in Education and Employment" (March 7-8) in the Italian city
    of Turin, and Iranian Nobel Peace Prize winner, Shirin Ebadi
    presented the journalists with their prizes. She later gave an
    interview to one of the winners, RFE/RL Tajik Service's youth
    correspondent, Abdulfattoh Shafiev.
    RFE/RL: You have been very active in the struggle for
    women's rights in your country -- could you tell us about the
    situation of women in Iran?
    Ebadi: In Iran the number of educated women is higher than
    men; according to the latest figures that were released this year
    more than 65 percent of Iran's university students are girls.
    But, unfortunately, women haven't had the possibility to really
    demonstrate their capabilities and more men have entered the labor
    market. The unemployment rate among women is three times higher than
    among men.
    RFE/RL: What is the reason for [the high unemployment rate
    among women in Iran]?
    Ebadi: In my opinion it is the patriarchal culture that gives
    men priority in all issues; some say because men have to respond to
    the financial needs of their family, it's better if we hire men.
    But when it comes to hiring somebody and employment, the focus should
    not be on the money issue; the emphasis should be put on one's
    capabilities and expertise.
    RFE/RL: Islam has given women and men equal rights but in
    most Islamic countries women face discrimination. Why is that?
    Ebadi: With a correct interpretation of Islam we can have
    equal rights for women. But the problem is that there are wrong
    interpretations of Islam, which cause discrimination against women.
    That is why the situation for women in various Islamic countries is
    different. For example, in Saudi Arabia women can't even drive,
    but in countries such as Indonesia, Pakistan, and Bangladesh women
    have been able to become prime minister or president. Or, for
    example, in some countries -- like Iran -- men are allowed to have
    several wives (eds. up to four) while in other countries, such as
    Tunisia, it has been banned. This is because there is not a single
    interpretation of Islam. We need an interpretation of Islam that
    recognizes women's rights.
    RFE/RL: What is your assessment of women's situation in
    European countries? Do you think women also face problems in Europe?
    Ebadi: Unfortunately, yes. Women face problems in Europe and
    also in the U.S. Their problems are different from the problems women
    face in Islamic countries. In the U.S., until now, they haven't
    had a woman president; and there are less women ministers [than male
    ministers]. It's the same in Europe; in the Italian parliament,
    where we are speaking now, only about 10 percent of the deputies are
    women.
    RFE/RL: You said that in Europe and the U.S. there aren't
    enough women leaders. Do you think the leadership of a country should
    be based on gender?
    Ebadi: I don't think that women should by all means lead
    the society; I believe that capable and experienced people, be it a
    woman or man, should lead society. It means that if a woman is
    capable, then she should not be deprived [of leading] only because
    she is a woman.
    RFE/RL: Could you also tell us something about yourself and
    your private life?
    Ebadi: I am an attorney at law [and] my law office is in
    Tehran. In addition to my work as an attorney, I also manage three
    NGOs that I have established. Regarding my private life, I am married
    and I have two daughters. As a traditional Iranian woman it is my
    duty to take care of the housework and the children and I'm still
    doing it. I'm happy about it because when I finish my work
    outside -- and being an attorney is a rough profession -- I enjoy
    coming home and cooking for my husband and daughters. My husband has
    always supported me and without his help and support I couldn't
    have worked so much. (Translation by Golnaz Esfandiari)

    IRAN GETS NEW SUBMARINE. A domestically produced submarine called the
    Nahang-1 (Whale 1) has joined the Iranian navy's fleet, state
    television reported on March 6. Iran has three Kilo-class submarines
    it bought from Russia and a number of mini-submarines. Details on the
    submarine were unavailable. (Bill Samii)

    RUSSIA TO 'ADJUST' ITS POSITION ON IRAN. A Russian Foreign
    Ministry spokesman said on March 12 that it will "study" the recent
    statement by its Iranian counterpart that Tehran is no longer
    considering Russia's proposal to enrich uranium for it on Russian
    territory, RIA Novosti reported (see "RFE/RL Newsline," March 8 and
    10, 2006). He added that Moscow will then "adjust its position on
    this issue." The spokesman stressed that Russia still wants a
    "peaceful and diplomatic settlement of the Iran nuclear issue." The
    following day, however, an unnamed "Russian diplomatic source" told
    Interfax that unnamed "Iranian officials have informed Russian
    diplomats that the Russian proposal on setting up a joint venture
    remains in force. To put it bluntly, the Iranian Foreign Ministry has
    made a statement, and [Tehran's] Supreme National Security
    Council has denied it." (Patrick Moore)

    MOSCOW'S NUCLEAR OFFER NO LONGER INTERESTS TEHRAN. Foreign
    Ministry spokesman Hamid Reza Assefi said on March 12 that Iran is no
    longer considering Moscow's offer to enrich uranium on Russian
    soil for use in Iran, Fars News Agency reported. He explained that
    circumstances have changed and Iran is waiting for the outcome of the
    UN Security Council meeting on its program. An anonymous "Russian
    source familiar with the negotiation process" said on March 12 that
    Moscow's proposal for the establishment of a joint Iran-Russia
    uranium enrichment project is no longer feasible, ITAR-TASS reported.
    Moscow has advised Tehran of this, according to the source. (Bill
    Samii)

    OFFICIALS HINT AT FUTURE NUCLEAR STANCE. Foreign Minister Manuchehr
    Mottaki on March 12 refused to rule out further negotiations on the
    nuclear issue, state television reported, though he did rule out the
    possibility of limiting oil supplies in retaliation for being
    referred by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to the UN
    Security Council. Mottaki said international concern over his
    country's desire to master the nuclear-fuel cycle relates to
    efforts to control energy resources. Mottaki went on to say that Iran
    would like to benefit from its 30-year membership in the
    Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT), but if that does not yield results
    then Tehran must reassess its policies. Also on March 12, Foreign
    Ministry spokesman Assefi said that the IAEA's decision to report
    Iran is a political one, the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA)
    reported. He said Iran is protecting its rights as defined by the
    NPT, and he stressed the country's independence. Assefi said Iran
    would cease its "voluntary actions," although he did not identify the
    actions, if the Security Council seeks to pressure Iran. He
    continued, "Iran is interested in extending a moratorium on uranium
    enrichment if it comes out of negotiations. If the U.S. and European
    states want to exert pressure on Iran, Iran would be forced to take
    unilateral action." (Bill Samii)

    CLOSING OF IRANIAN STUDENTS ASSOCIATION ELICITS PROTEST. The Office
    for Strengthening Unity (Daftar-i Tahkim-i Vahdat, DTV) student group
    has requested a reversal of the government's closure of the
    Islamic students association at the medical sciences university in
    Shahr-i Kurd. DTV official Mohammad Hashemi told Radio Farda on March
    12 that the organization has known since the previous year that the
    government is trying to get it to leave the campus. Hashemi said a
    hostile tide has rolled in with the government of President Mahmud
    Ahmadinejad, and student associations in Mazandaran, Luristan, and
    Shahr-i Kurd have received notices that their charters are improper.
    An inadequate amount of time has been provided to make the required
    changes, he said. (Bill Samii)

    INFLATION PREDICTION AND IRAN-U.S. TRADE FIGURES DISCUSSED. Zahedan
    parliamentary representative Peyman Foruzesh, who also serves on the
    legislature's Economics Committee and the Trade Systems
    Committee, predicts that there will be 20 percent inflation in the
    coming year, "Farhang-i Ashti" reported on March 11. Foruzesh
    explained that although the large hard-currency expenditures in
    President Ahmadinejad's budget were reduced to about $3 billion
    and other anti-inflationary measures were implemented, too, there
    will be problems nevertheless. He added that the current inflation
    rate is 17 percent. Also on March 11, Fars News Agency cited figures
    from the U.S. Data Center on Iran-U.S. trade. In January, there was
    $25.4 million in bilateral trade, which is 20 percent more than the
    same time last year. The U.S. exported $8.8 million worth of goods to
    Iran and imported $16.6 million in Iranian goods. (Bill Samii)

    HAVE TEHRAN AND MOSCOW RESUMED NUCLEAR TALKS? An anonymous Russian
    source said on March 13 that Iranian-Russian talks on the nuclear
    issue took place that day in Moscow, RIA Novosti reported. The source
    said the Iranian side is represented by Ali Husseinitash, deputy
    secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, and added that
    the talks will continue on March 14. But another unidentified source
    told the Iranian Students News Agency (ISNA) that the talks will
    resume on March 15-16, while yet another told ITAR-TASS on March 13
    that Husseinitash may travel to Moscow the next day to discuss the
    possibility of an Iran-Russia uranium-enrichment joint venture. Also
    on 13 March, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov announced that
    Moscow and Tehran will resume talks on the nuclear issue, Interfax
    reported. Previously, the Iranian Foreign Ministry had announced that
    nuclear negotiations with Moscow were at an end, but an anonymous
    Russian Foreign Ministry source said Iran's Supreme National
    Security Council contradicted the country's Foreign Ministry,
    Interfax reported on March 13. In Tehran on March 13, Supreme
    National Security Council spokesman Hussein Entezami said the Russian
    proposal to enrich Iranian uranium on Russian soil should be
    reconsidered, IRNA reported. (Bill Samii)

    AHMADINEJAD DISCUSSES INTERNATIONAL OUTREACH. In a 13 March meeting
    with Iran's ambassadors and other diplomats, Mahmud Ahmadinejad
    announced that Iran wants to expand its relations with all other
    countries, state television and IRNA reported. There are two possible
    exceptions to this rule, he said. The first exception is Israel, and
    the second one is the United States, as long as the U.S. maintains a
    hostile stance towards Iran. Ahmadinejad also stressed that Iran will
    not reverse its pursuit of a peaceful nuclear capability. He said,
    "Because only a few countries, unfairly and cruelly, order us to
    forego the rights of the nation, we will not give in to what they
    impose on us," state television reported. Ahmadinejad continued: "We
    know well that taking even one step back from one's inalienable
    rights can lead to total loss of the state territorial integrity in
    some cases." Ahmadinejad also addressed regional issues, saying,
    "There will be no peace and tranquility in the region as long as the
    Zionist regime continues to exist," IRNA reported. (Bill Samii)

    RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTER STILL CONCERNED ABOUT IRAN. Foreign Minister
    Lavrov discussed the need for an unspecified "common strategy" on
    Iran with his French counterpart Philippe Douste-Blazy by telephone
    on March 15, Interfax reported. Lavrov subsequently made an
    apparently similar phone call regarding Iran and the Middle East to
    his German counterpart, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, but no details have
    been reported. The Moscow daily "Izvestiya" wrote that Russia's
    policy in the Middle East is aimed at establishing a special role for
    itself in that region independent of the Western powers and as an
    intermediary between them and the Muslim states, which has become "an
    obsession." The daily also noted Russia's interest in selling
    nuclear power plants to Iran and arms to several states in the
    region. The paper warned that Russian policy will be shown as
    "irrelevant" if it fails to produce results in its dealings with Iran
    and Hamas. (Patrick Moore)

    RUSSIA-IRAN NUCLEAR TALKS TAKE PLACE. Closed-door bilateral talks
    between Iran and Russia took place in Moscow on March 14, ITAR-TASS
    reported. Supreme National Security Council Deputy-Secretary Ali
    Husseinitash represented the Iranian side and Security Council
    Secretary Igor Ivanov represented Russia. The Russian Security
    Council reaffirmed Moscow's desire to settle the Iranian nuclear
    crisis diplomatically and said the "consultations" will continue.
    (Bill Samii)

    BUDGET WINS APPROVAL. The Guardians Council on March 16 approved the
    budget for the year starting on March 21, Fars News Agency reported.
    The legislature had approved the budget earlier in the week, and all
    legislative measures must win Guardians Council approval on
    constitutional and Islamic grounds before becoming law. The council
    began its examination of the budget on March 15, IRNA reported, and
    Management and Planning Organization official Mohammad Kurdbacheh
    predicted there would be disagreements over regulations affecting
    contracts with foreign entities. Indeed, the council approval only
    came after the legislature addressed 15 specific "issues of concern"
    and clarified five "ambiguities."
    Iran's parliament approved on March 14 the budget for the
    year beginning on March 21, IRNA reported. President Mahmud
    Ahmadinejad submitted the budget in mid-January, and the legislature
    approved its general outline in early-March. Out of 226 votes, 155
    were in favor of the budget and 35 were against it.
    The legislature approved on March 13 a 12.5 billion rial
    ($1.73 million) budgetary allocation for U.S. plots against Iran,
    IRNA reported. This money also will be used for pursuing Iranian
    cases in international courts.
    The legislature has approved the money that was budgeted for
    the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, state television reported on
    March 12. The actual amount of money was not disclosed. The
    legislature also authorized the establishment of firms connected with
    the production of nuclear energy and nuclear fuel, state television
    reported, and instructed the executive branch to commence surveys and
    feasibility studies on locations for future nuclear plants for
    electricity production.
    Two legislators -- Mamasani's Ali Ahmadi and
    Nishabur's Gholam Hussein Mozaffari -- submitted their
    resignations as protests against the budget, the Iranian Labor News
    Agency (ILNA) reported on March 14. Mozaffari explained, "I am
    protesting because during the debate yesterday evening the parliament
    approved the allocation of some budget to unspecified projects from
    dubious revenue sources." He continued: "And it is not clear how the
    government is hoping to realize such revenues and how to spend it. I
    therefore prefer to resign in protest." Previously, legislators
    objected to excessive reliance on oil revenues for funding the
    budget. (Bill Samii)

    IRAN SEEKS TO INCREASE OIL PRODUCTION. Hojjatullah Ghanimifard,
    executive director of international affairs at the National Iranian
    Oil Company (NIOC), said in a March 15 interview with Reuters that
    the current controversy over the Iranian nuclear program will not
    have an impact on the country's oil exports.
    Iranian officials previously threatened to use the oil weapon
    -- Interior Minister Mustafa Purmohammadi had said, "If [Security
    Council members] politicize our nuclear case, we will use any means.
    We are rich in energy resources. We have control over the biggest and
    the most sensitive energy route of the world," the London "Times"
    reported on March 13; and Supreme National Security Council official
    Javad Vaidi had said, "We will not do so now, but if the situation
    changes we will have to review our oil policies," "The Los Angeles
    Times" reported on March 9.
    Ghanimifard, however, said, "We will not harm end-users of
    our crude oil by cutting exports."
    Petroleum Minister Kazem Vaziri-Hamaneh said during a March
    14 visit to the southwestern city of Ahvaz that Iran intends to
    produce more oil, and it intends to introduce up-to-date methods to
    extract more oil from its wells, Ahvaz television reported.
    "Currently, we are producing just over 4 million barrels per day," he
    said. "We are planning to increase production to over 5 million
    barrels per day by the end of the Fourth Development Plan [2010]." He
    also said the ministry is prioritizing the recovery of oil through
    gas injection and more modern means, and it also wants to modernize
    installations and pipelines. Turning to the possibility of Iran
    facing international sanctions as a result of being referred to the
    UN Security Council over the nuclear issue, Vaziri-Hamaneh said Iran
    would revise its international oil contracts, IRNA reported. (Bill
    Samii)

    AHMADINEJAD DISCUSSES FOREIGN CLAIMS AGAINST NUCLEAR PROGRAM...
    Ahmadinejad said during a March 14 speech in the northwestern city of
    Gorgan that "several powers" are using "bullying and harassment" in
    an effort to block Iran's progress, state television reported.
    This explains the opposition to Iranian nuclear efforts, Ahmadinejad
    said. He went on to accuse these foreign powers of "brainwashing the
    nations of the world with their cowardly propaganda," but the
    expenditure of billions of dollars on "evil propaganda" has not
    worked, he said. He added that the foreign powers are insinuating
    that the nuclear program is not beneficial to the Iranian people and
    is a waste of time and money. (Bill Samii)

    ...AND POSSIBLE INTERNATIONAL SANCTIONS. Ahmadinejad went on to say
    during his March 14 speech in Gorgan that the Iranian people had a
    revolution "in order to be free from having to listen to you...to
    stand on our own feet...[and so] the Iran government would take
    orders from the dear Iranian nation." Ahmadinejad said he is not
    bothered by the possibility that Iranian officials' ability to
    travel internationally would be curtailed by international sanctions.
    "I would like to tell them that basically, we are not at all
    interested in seeing your faces!" (Bill Samii)

    UN SECURITY COUNCIL UNDECIDED ON IRAN. The UN Security Council is
    scheduled to resume discussion of a joint statement on the Iranian
    nuclear program on March 16, Radio Farda reported, after the
    council's 15 members met informally in New York on March 14 to
    discuss the subject. Washington, London, and Paris are hoping for a
    presidential statement from the Security Council that calls on Iran
    to halt its uranium-enrichment activities and to cooperate with
    international nuclear inspectors, but Moscow and Peking are resisting
    this. Peking believes the draft presidential statement leaves
    "insufficient room for diplomacy" and would like to see the
    International Atomic Energy Agency handle the issue, "The Financial
    Times" reported on March 15. If the Security Council does not take
    what Washington sees as a sufficiently decisive approach on this
    matter, then unnamed "U.S. officials" are suggesting the creation of
    a "coalition of the willing" that will impose sanctions on Iran, "The
    Wall Street Journal" reported on 15 March. (Bill Samii)

    OFFICIAL SURVEY FINDS BROAD SUPPORT FOR GOVERNMENT'S NUCLEAR
    STANCE. Of the 15,679 Iranians surveyed by the Tebyan Institute, Fars
    News Agency reported on March 15, 76.8 percent back the regime's
    current nuclear stance. Only 3.2 percent of those surveyed
    recommended complying with International Atomic Energy Agency
    requests for greater cooperation and the suspension of uranium
    enrichment activities. Some 53.1 percent foresaw a diplomatic
    solution to the crisis, while 21.9 percent saw this as only remotely
    possible. About 74 percent expected the imposition of sanctions
    against Iran. Broken down further, 71 percent expected only political
    and diplomatic sanctions, 22 percent expected economic sanctions, and
    7 percent said military action is possible. The Tebyan Institute is
    connected with the official Islamic Publicity Organization, which may
    explain why the findings of its survey back the government position.
    (Bill Samii)

    TEHRAN ACCUSES LONDON OF USING 'GOBBLEDYGOOK.' At his weekly
    press conference on March 15, Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid Reza
    Assefi criticized a recent speech by British Foreign Secretary Jack
    Straw, Iranian state television reported. Straw had spoken about the
    need to increase the flow of information to Iran in a March 13 speech
    at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London, "The
    Daily Telegraph" reported the next day. He also said, according to
    AP, "If the Iranian regime chooses not to heed the concerns of the
    international community, it's going to damage the interests of
    the Iranian people." Assefi said the speech is "a load of
    gobbledygook," and he added that he is certain Straw's "brains
    have seized up and they have ended up blabbering nonsense." Assefi
    predicted more nonsense and said the world is full of "gibberish and
    claptrap." Asked if the Foreign Ministry would summon the British
    ambassador, Assefi retorted, "When they are talking nonsense,
    there's no point in summoning anyone." (Bill Samii)

    IRAN IS FOCUS OF U.S. NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY. A strategy document
    released by the White House on March 16 said the Iranian people
    endure tyranny, which it identified as "the combination of brutality,
    poverty, instability, corruption, and suffering, forged under the
    rule of despots and despotic systems" (http://www.whitehouse.gov).
    The document continues, "We may face no greater challenge from a
    single country than from Iran." The document discusses the
    regime's lack of cooperation with international nuclear
    inspectors and its lack of transparency, as well as the "aggressive"
    anti-Israel statements of its president. The strategy document says
    the U.S. will continue to emphasize diplomacy in trying to resolve
    the nuclear issue. There are other areas of concern: "The Iranian
    regime sponsors terrorism; threatens Israel; seeks to thwart Middle
    East peace; disrupts democracy in Iraq; and denies the aspirations of
    its people for freedom." U.S. policy's "ultimate goal" is to have
    Tehran make "the strategic decision to change these policies, open up
    its political system, and afford freedom to its people." The strategy
    makes a distinction between the Iranian regime and the country's
    people and emphasizes its desire to expand "our engagement and
    outreach to the people the regime is oppressing." (Bill Samii)

    WANTED BALUCHI LEADER REPORTEDLY FLEES TO IRAN. Nawab Muhammad Akbar
    Khan Bugti, a prominent Baluchi leader in Pakistan who is wanted for
    his alleged sponsorship of attacks against government forces and gas
    and rail facilities, has fled to Iran, Asiantribune.com reported on
    March 17. He reportedly headed for Zahedan in Sistan va Baluchistan
    Province. Amanullah Qamberani, spokesman for the Jamhoori Watan Party
    that Bugti heads, denied that Bugti has left the country and
    described this as wishful thinking on the part of his enemies and the
    government's handiwork. Senator Shahid Bugti said Nawab Bugti is
    in Dera Bugti. Raziq Bugti, adviser to the chief minister of
    Baluchistan, also said Nawab Bugti is in Dera Bugti. (Bill Samii)

    IRAN-PAKISTAN-INDIA PIPELINE TALKS TO CONTINUE. Representatives from
    India, Pakistan, and Iran ended talks in Tehran on March 16 on a
    natural-gas pipeline connecting the three countries, Associated Press
    of Pakistan news agency reported. The next round will take place in
    Islamabad on April 30. Among the topics that await resolution is the
    gas price set by Tehran. Discussions on building the pipeline began
    in the mid-1990s. (Bill Samii)

    IRAN REACHS OUT TO U.S. ON IRAQ. Supreme National Security Council
    Secretary Ali Larijani told reporters in Tehran on 16 March that Iran
    is willing to hold talks with the U.S. on Iraq, Radio Farda reported.
    He went on to say that Tehran is very skeptical about
    Washington's previously stated desire to hold such talks, and he
    portrayed the issue in terms of Washington's perceived inability
    to resolve Iraqi affairs. "The Americans have made this demand [for
    talks] for some time," he said. "The U.S. ambassador [to Iraq] has
    also announced several times that they would like to [hold talks]
    since they cannot solve the problems there and need to have
    discussions with Iran. But, we don't trust these U.S. words."
    Larijani said Iran will act so it can help the Iraqi government. "We
    will [appoint] some people to hold these discussions on Iraq so that
    they can help put Iraq's future government in a better position
    to deal with problems," he said.
    Larijani said Tehran's decision is based on a request
    from the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq's Abd
    al-Aziz al-Hakim, who heads the United Iraqi Alliance. Al-Hakim
    called for the dialogue between Iran and the United States in a March
    15 speech in Baghdad's Shi'ite-populated Al-Sadr City
    district, KUNA reported on March 16. Al-Hakim said neighboring
    countries help Iraq by controlling their borders and exchanging
    information with the Iraqi government on terrorists.
    Supporters of Shi'ite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr criticized
    the proposal, calling al-Hakim's statements "inappropriate,"
    Al-Jazeera television reported on March 16. Al-Sadr representative
    Abd al-Hadi al-Darraji told the satellite news channel: "Such
    statements [by al-Hakim] might give a clear indication that there is
    real Iranian interference in Iraq, or that Iran might interfere in
    Iraq in the future. While respecting our neighbor Iran...we reject
    any interference in Iraqi affairs by neighboring countries." He
    contended that al-Hakim's statements either reflect current
    Iranian interference in Iraq or a desire on the part of Iran to
    interfere in Iraq in the future. "The fate of the political process
    [in Iraq] should only be determined by the Iraqi people, not by an
    Arab or Islamic country," al-Darraji added. (Bill Samii, Kathleen
    Ridolfo)

    ******************************* **************************
    Copyright (c) 2006. RFE/RL, Inc. All rights reserved.

    The "RFE/RL Iran Report" is a weekly prepared by A. William Samii on
    the basis of materials from RFE/RL broadcast services, RFE/RL
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