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Weapons are an irrefutable argument

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  • Weapons are an irrefutable argument

    Agency WPS
    What the Papers Say Part B (Russia)
    March 24, 2006 Friday

    WEAPONS ARE AN IRREFUTABLE ARGUMENT

    by Ara Tatevosjan, Alexander Reutov

    Russia and Armenia: cheap arms as compensation for expensive gas;
    Russia and Armenia are supposed to sign a new gas payment arrangement
    on April 1, but complete clarity of the issue has not been reached
    yet. Moscow and Yerevan are frantically seeking a mutually acceptable
    solution to the problem.

    Russia and Armenia are supposed to sign a new gas payment arrangement
    on April 1, but complete clarity of the issue has not been reached
    yet. Moscow and Yerevan are frantically seeking a mutually acceptable
    solution to the problem.

    When Gazprom spokesman Alexander Medvedev said in late 2005 that the
    price of gas for Armenia would be raised to $110 per thousand cubic
    meters in 2006, official Moscow made it plain that its mind was made
    up. Medvedev emphasized that political alliances have nothing to do
    with gas delivery prices. Moscow only promised to consider
    compensation options that would make the new price more bearable for
    Armenian consumers.

    Russia said for example that it could buy a sizeable chunk of
    Armrosgazprom from Yerevan. What money Yerevan would have been paid
    was more than adequate for maintaining low gas prices for domestic
    users in Armenia. Another option proposed by Moscow was for Armenia
    to give Russia the fifth bloc of the Razdan Thermal Power Plant and
    all of Armenia's gas transportation system. Russian specialists
    valued these facilities at $140 million.

    It was Iran, Russia's "bitter partner," that disrupted these plans.
    It is Tehran that finances construction of the fifth bloc at Razdan
    and Iran-Armenia gas pipeline. When the news of the Russian proposals
    reached it, Iran vehemently objected and threatened to withdraw from
    the projects altogether. Yerevan gave in with ill grace.

    President Robert Kocharjan of Armenia visited Moscow in January, but
    not even his talks directly with President Vladimir Putin resulted in
    any considerable progress in the gas matter. The government of
    Armenia was walking on thin ice and knew it. Defense Minister Serzh
    Sarkisjan denied the idea of demanding payment from Moscow for its
    military base in Armenia.

    "I don't know what the price of gas will be after April 1," Kocharjan
    said. He added that negotiations over "compensation mechanisms" were
    under way. Absorbing the shock of new prices for Armenia, these
    mechanisms "may function for two or three years only."

    The citizens of Armenia were informed of the solution finally found
    on Wednesday night.

    According to our sources, the idea was conceived and developed into
    the mechanism of salvation in Moscow. Along with the gas, Yerevan
    will receive a bonus that will be no less valuable than the main
    product as such. The matter concerns Russian arms export to Armenia
    at a discount. Some of the future contracts will even stipulate
    permanent loans to the Armenians. This year, Armenia expects to get
    1.7 billion cubic meters of gas from Russia. Since the new tariffs
    are to come into effect on April 1, they will only apply to three
    fourths of the volume. It means that Armenia's actual losses will
    amount to about $83 million. Armenia's entire defense budget is $155
    million. Judging by official reports, 15% of the budget or more than
    $23 million are channelled into weapons acquisition. Actually,
    countries usually spend nearly twice as much on new weapons as they
    officially reveal. It means that the Russian bonus will enable
    Yerevan to save up to $50 million on weapons. The generosity of the
    Russian military-industrial complex knows no limits.

    Source: Kommersant, March 24, 2006, p. 9

    Translated by A. Ignatkin
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