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  • On American maps US troops are already deployed in Azerbaijan

    Regnum, Russia
    May 12 2006

    On American maps US troops are already deployed in Azerbaijan: Azeri
    press digest


    Politics
    `All possible scenarios of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement
    have already been considered,' Azeri President Ilham Aliyev says on
    May 5. `Presently, the co-chairs are holding intensive consultations
    and are considering different possibilities. Perhaps, they will
    appear with some novelties.' `I don't believe that they will propose
    anything new. Probably, they will make some changes in the proposals
    we have already discussed. If so, we will probably get even closer to
    resolution,' says Aliyev. He says that Azerbaijan's position has not
    changed: `We advocate compliance with the international law and a
    single approach to this problem,' says Aliyev. (525th Daily)

    `For us, there is no concept of government or opposition, for us,
    Azerbaijan's interests are more important,' Day.Az reports the member
    of the Turkish delegation to PACE Movlud Cavusoglu as saying.
    Cavusoglu says that, as a Turk, he is obliged to protect Azerbaijan's
    interests. He calls `parricides' those oppositionists who keep
    demanding that PACE suspend the mandate of the Azeri delegation. At
    the same time, Cavusoglu notes that Azerbaijan should improve its
    electoral system to have no such problems at PACE in the future.

    `Presently, it is impossible to resolve the Armenian-Azeri conflict
    by peace. If the sides were ready for compromise, they would act
    differently in their foreign and domestic policies,' Turan reports
    the director of international security and energy programs at the
    Nixon Center Zeyno Baran as saying. She says that `a possible
    campaign against Iran may have a negative impact on Azerbaijan, but
    it is hard to say yet how heavy this impact will be.' Commenting on
    Iran's protest against the project to lay an oil pipeline between
    Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan via the bottom of the Caspian Sea, Baran
    says that Iran will not be able to prevent it.

    The vice chairman of the Azeri opposition youth organization Yeni
    Fikit (New Idea) Said Nuri, who is facing charges of coup, demands
    that Zbigniew Brzezinski be summoned to the court. He denies the
    charges that when in Poland on July 31-August 4, 2005 he got
    instructions from Brzezinski on how to plot and carry out a coup in
    Azerbaijan and on how to involve youths in mass disorders. `These
    facts have nothing to do with reality. Brzezinski was not present at
    the workshops I was attending. But if they insist that this is true,
    let them invite Zbigniew Brzezinski to the court' says Nuri. In his
    turn, the chairman of the organization Ruslan Bashirli demands the
    summons of Norwegian Embassy representatives as the prosecutor says
    that he has got $50,000 from Scandinavian diplomats. (Azadlyg)

    Reporters Sans Frontieres has published Annual Worldwide Press
    Freedom Index, reports Turan. In 2004 Azerbaijan was 136th among 167
    countries, with 49.67 points. 2005 was even worse - 141st and 51
    points. `Press freedom sharply deteriorated in Azerbaijan. The murder
    of independent journalist Elmar Husseynov in Mar illustrated the
    violence and harassment journalists are exposed to there. Attacks on
    press are increasing in the run-up to parliamentary elections on Nov
    6,' says the report. From the CIS countries only Belarus (152nd,
    61.33), Uzbekistan (155th, 66.50) and Turkmenistan (165th, 93.50)
    have worse indices than Azerbaijan.

    Concerning the results of the elections, some international
    organizations show double standards towards Azerbaijan, says the head
    of the social-political department of the Azeri president's office
    Ali Gasanov. He says that Azerbaijan has protested against this to
    their observers. `We have several reasons for protest. It's quite
    possible that there is no unanimity among observers. Each observer
    speaks on behalf of his own country or political force, even though
    they all are set to monitor on behalf of the OSCE and the Council of
    Europe,' says Gasanov. `They use generalizations and give preference
    to their own subjective views. For example, if the CE monitoring
    mission consists of 300 observers, the subjective views of 100 of
    them are taken as basis,' says Gasanov. He says that the local
    opposition and NGOs are also to blame for this as they misinform
    international organizations about the political situation in their
    country. (525th Daily)

    Section 907 of Freedom Support Act (Adopted in Oct 1992 and suspended
    by the Senate in 2001, Section 907 of the Freedom Support Act forbade
    the US government to provide direct assistance to Azerbaijan because
    of that country's blockading Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh - REGNUM)
    will be valid for Azerbaijan until the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is
    resolved, says Public Affairs Officer of the US Embassy in Azerbaijan
    Jonathan Henick. He says that though the US Government is against
    this section to be against Azerbaijan, US Congress keeps it in force:
    `We are very satisfied with the fact that during the last 5 years 907
    Article is frozen against Azerbaijan, and our cooperation with this
    country lasts.' (APA)

    There are certainly no CIA secret jails in Azerbaijan, the Azeri
    delegate to PACE Gultekin Gajiyeva says to Trend. She says that the
    CE's repeated inquiry about the jails may be due to some technical
    problems. `Probably, Azerbaijan's response to the first inquiry has
    not satisfied the CE for some technical reasons. Azerbaijan is in
    quite sensitive region and it needs to protect its military secret
    from its neighbors. Azerbaijan may have some military facilities on
    its borders with Iran and Armenia. It might be for this or some other
    reasons, or because of incomplete information, that the CE has sent
    us a repeated inquiry,' says Gajiyeva.

    Azerbaijan - USA

    Real Azerbaijan says: `Bush tapped Aliyev on his shoulder: at last he
    did - at the end of Aliyev's first visit as president to America.
    Bush did that patronizingly but, at the same time, approvingly: `Our
    guy!' He called Aliyev a modern Muslim leader and even congratulated
    him on the wedding of his daughter. Why has Bush invited Aliyev now
    despite the risk of being criticized by his opponents before the
    upcoming parliamentary elections in the US? The answer seems to be
    obvious - Iran! Of course, Iran was a topic during their talks, but
    not the only and not even the key topic. The main reason the US made
    an over-2-year `luftepause' before inviting Aliyev to Washington was
    not so much that it planned to `export' democracy to Azerbaijan (as
    the local opposition would expect) as that it wanted to see who is
    more capable Aliyev Junior as president or the Azeri opposition. Now
    it is almost an axiom: Aliyev has no alternative and will not have in
    the near future. And so, the Americans have decided it's time for
    closer cooperation - especially now that Azerbaijan's strategic
    importance is going very high: the upcoming launch of the big `oil
    pipe'; the prospects of a big `gas pipe'; the US' plans to `free
    Europe' from the Russian gas monopoly. And also energy security, and
    also the selfsame Iran and the Islamic factor, in general. Small
    Azerbaijan is becoming a `card' in a big Middle East game...'

    The daily notes: `During Aliyev's visit the US press called Baku the
    US' `Muslim ally' (not more just Ankara!) and, along with criticism,
    said something we have already heard, alas, for many times: `Though
    democracy in Azerbaijan is not on a proper level, the country is
    moving in the right direction.' They also said that Washington might
    offer Baku strategic partnership similar to what it has with
    Tel-Aviv. A more real version is possible reliance on Kurds if not
    Azeris against Iran. That is, the US is acting like it did with
    Turkey, when it `punished' Ankara for its intractability over Iraq by
    reliance on Kurds. And with their strong positions in the Azeri
    business, army and other structures, the Kurds are no less negative
    factor in Azerbaijan than they are in Turkey.'

    `That is, despite the serenity of Aliyev's Washington visit, America
    has something to sulk with Azerbaijan for. If today the US is focused
    on changing the situation in Iran by overthrowing the local mullah
    regime, and Ilham Aliyev is speaking about Azerbaijan's good neighbor
    relations with Iran and Bush - about diplomatic ways to solve the
    Iranian problem, this does not mean yet that the dynamics of the
    situation over Iran will not lead Baku and Washington to other
    relations and assessments! In its time, Azerbaijan was pressed by the
    US to agree to a more expensive and longer oil pipeline to Ceyhan
    though there were much more profitable routes - first of all, via
    Iran. And it got nothing in exchange. On the contrary, it got
    dependent. And now only few opposition parties believe that the
    `Southern Azerbaijan' card may be dealt and the US anti-Iranian
    campaign may result in reunification of Azerbaijan. It's absolutely
    obvious that nobody will agree to the breakup of Iran and the rise of
    a 40-mln Turkic Muslim country (in addition to 60-mln Turkey!) -
    agree to something that would break the whole balance of forces in
    the Middle East and the Caucasus... something that would make
    absolutely impossible the resolution - especially peaceful - of the
    Karabakh conflict. As you may know, America is very active in the
    matter now. Only God knows how it is going to act, but they in the
    Armenian opposition are as always there with quite unexpected
    scenarios: things will sort themselves out if America... deploys its
    troops in `NKR' (Nagorno-Karabakh Republic) for further strike on
    Iran. They say that Azerbaijan will silently agree to this, contrary
    to its peace agreements with Iran - as it has no control over this
    territory. In its turn, Iran will try to outstrip America, i.e. will
    invade into `NKR' itself! What this all will end in is clear - as
    soon as the US `conquers' Iran, it will remunerate Nagorno Karabakh
    with independence and may even annex to it former Shahumyan and other
    formerly Armenian regions and ... the whole Azerbaijan (as you may
    know, Armenia is already annexed to Nagorno Karabakh by `our guy'
    Kocharyan.'

    "Quite original but a very improbable idea. In any case, the Azeri
    president's visit to the US has made even stronger his strong
    positions at home and in the region. The local press presents this as
    if he entered the White House on `a white horse.' Still one should
    not exaggerate the international response to the first visit of
    Aliyev Junior to America - at least, for the time being. As they say,
    let's live and see: One can not be equal friend to the strong. One
    can serve him and get an award `from the king's shoulder.' So, nobody
    knows yet what uncle Sam will bring with him when entering Baku on a
    `white horse' (and this will certainly happen sooner or later!)...
    (Real Azerbaijan)

    The US has requested from Azerbaijan President Ilham Aliyev that his
    country open an official representation in Israel, reports Haaretz
    (Israel). The subject was raised last week during the visit of the
    Azeri president to Washington, where he met with President George W.
    Bush and other senior members of the administration. Aliyev did not
    respond to the American request and sources said that he is unlikely
    to undertake such a move in the near future, and certainly not during
    the period in which Azerbaijan heads the Economic Cooperation
    Organization, a regional group comprising predominantly Muslim and
    Turkic states from Central Asia. The American request follows an
    appeal by Israel to the Bush administration, which was made to boost
    a similar demand by Jewish American groups.

    Israel has had a diplomatic mission in the Azeri capital Baku since
    1993, but Azerbaijan, whose majority Turkic population is
    predominantly Shi'a, has avoided reciprocating with an embassy of its
    own in Israel. Several months ago, a large delegation of Jewish
    American representatives, led by the Conference of Presidents of
    Major American Jewish Organizations, visited Baku and called for the
    opening of an official Azeri representation in Israel during their
    meeting with President Aliyev.

    During his visit to Washington, President Aliyev was presented with
    the American request at a meeting with Deputy Secretary of State
    Robert Zoellick. The State Department had received a request from the
    Israeli Foreign Ministry to raise the idea with Aliyev.

    Around Iran

    As a UN member, Azerbaijan is obliged to support the Security
    Council's any decision on the Iranian nuclear problem, says Azeri FM
    Elmar Mamedyarov. Azerbaijan's official position is that any country
    has the right to develop its nuclear power engineering with the
    approval of the IAEA. Mamedyarov says that he can't say what
    consequences the possible sanctions against Iran may have for
    Azerbaijan as this has not happened yet. At the same time, he says
    that the Iranian nuclear problem must be solved by diplomatic means.
    `Diplomacy is not tired yet,' he says. (New Time)

    Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad came to Baku on May 4 to take
    part in the May 5 summit of the Economic Cooperation Organization
    (ECO).

    On May 5 Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad held a news conference
    in Baku. He said that his country is implementing its nuclear program
    for peaceful purposes and is ready to cooperate with all states on
    the basis of the international law. Concerning Russia's proposal to
    enrich uranium in its territory, Ahmadinejad said that Iran has
    excellent relations with Russia and is going to develop them. But it
    prefers negotiating with different countries having nuclear
    technologies. `Iran is an advocate of peace. We believe that peace
    and constant security should be based on morality and justice.'
    Ahmadinejad said that he sees no obstacles to the development of
    Azeri-Iranian cooperation. `I love the Azeri people. I personally
    speak Azeri.' He noted that Iran has never attacked anybody and has
    always advocated peace. Asked if the US attack on Iran is real,
    Ahmadinejad said that `this will never happen.' `Those who are
    speaking about war must have no idea about the Iranian people. They
    must be joking.' Asked: `Aren't your tough statements bad, first of
    all, for Iran itself?' Ahmadinejad said that he is making no tough
    statements but just saying that Iran's legal rights must be
    respected: `There are 2-3 countries who want all the others to ask
    them for permission for whatever they want to do, while our position
    is in line with the international rules and laws. They have their own
    nuclear weapons but they don't want us to produce nuclear power for
    peaceful purposes.' (Azeri Press)

    During his meeting with the head of the Board of Muslims of the
    Caucasus Allahshukur Pashazade, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
    said that the Iranian and Azeri peoples have many common things and
    faith is one them. He expressed conviction that Islam will always be
    a stimulus for whatever good wishes and purposes the two nations
    have. Admadinejad said that he loves the Azeri people and stressed
    that the Azeri and Iranian peoples are united by common beliefs. (New
    Times)

    Former U.N. weapons inspector Scott Ritter has given a big interview
    to American Patriot. `You'd be surprised what kind of plans are being
    hatched up right now - plans that include covert action; plans that
    include massive aerial bombardment, according to Seymour Hersh's
    [April 17] article in The New Yorker; plans that include massive
    aerial bombardment that incorporate the possibility, or some would
    say the probability, of nuclear weapons. And if you go to the School
    of Advanced Military Studies in Fort Leavenworth, Kan., as I have
    several times, you'll see the maps on the wall clearly indicate an
    American interest in pushing forces into Azerbaijan. Why? It
    neighbors Iran. Why is that important? The shortest route to Tehran
    is down the Caspian Sea coast, [where] the Army is planning an
    incursion right now...' says Ritter.

    Echo wonders that Ritter's conclusions are made against the
    background of Azeri President Ilham Aliyev's Washington declarations
    that Azerbaijan will not take part in the anti-Iranian coalition.
    `The point is that the problem of Iran is not closed for us, it will
    still be discussed for two months, at shortest,' says independent
    military expert Uzeir Jafarov. `As regards the maps mentioned by
    Ritter, the Pentagon actually has such maps, and, quite recently,
    when they planned their possible actions against Iran, they,
    naturally, put them down on maps. They mapped out possible directions
    so as to see easier ways to solve their task by land, sea or air.
    Those maps are not a secret, we know about them from the press. I
    tend to believe that Ritter saw them personally. If, God forbid, the
    US still starts war against Iran, Azerbaijan will have no way to stay
    neutral - like it or not, our territory will also be involved in the
    campaign.'

    Political expert Rasim Musabekov says to Echo: `Today there are no US
    troops in Azerbaijan's territory for us to be able to say if they
    will be used or not and if Azerbaijan will allow this or not. This is
    just a hypothetical question. Yes, if the US is going to attack Iran,
    it may be considering in what form and how effectively it can use
    Azerbaijan's territory. But I don't think that this is their key
    scenario. In any case, Azerbaijan cannot be the key direction - just
    because it has no necessary infrastructure and contingent.' `If Iran
    actually takes some actions against Azeri facilities (oil pipeline,
    etc.) just to show - we can't reach the US itself, but we can reach
    its interests here - this may seriously change the situation, and
    Azerbaijan will then be forced to accept any military assistance and
    to join the anti-Iran countries. But still, Azerbaijan's position of
    principle is that we don't want military actions against Iran, we
    will not provide our territory. Azerbaijan must insist on this for as
    long as possible,' says Musabekov.
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