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Vladimir Socor in EDM: Moscow Presses for CFE Treaty Ratification

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  • Vladimir Socor in EDM: Moscow Presses for CFE Treaty Ratification

    MOSCOW PRESSES FOR CFE TREATY RATIFICATION IN RUN-UP TO NATO AND OSCE SUMMITS
    by Vladimir Socor

    Eurasia Daily Monitor -- The Jamestown Foundation
    Tuesday, October 31, 2006 -- Volume 3, Issue 201

    On his October 25-26 official visit to Moscow, NATO Secretary-General
    Jaap de Hoop Scheffer successfully resisted demands by Russian
    officials for prompt ratification of the adapted Treaty on Conventional
    Forces in Europe (CFE) by NATO countries. Russia hopes to induce
    some governments in the alliance to proceed with ratification of the
    1999-adapted treaty despite Moscow's ongoing breaches of certain treaty
    provisions and of the 1999 Istanbul Commitments, which together with
    the CFE Treaty form a package approved at that year's OSCE summit.

    By calling for ratification during de Hoop Scheffer's visit,
    Moscow is signaling that it plans to raise this issue at the OSCE's
    upcoming year-end ministerial conference in Brussels on December
    3-4, hoping to break the linkage between ratification of the CFE
    Treaty and fulfillment of Russia's Istanbul Commitments regarding
    the South Caucasus and Moldova. The Kremlin apparently even hopes
    to talk the alliance into loosening that linkage in the communique
    of NATO's upcoming summit in Riga at the end of November. Russia is
    eager for ratification of the adapted treaty in order to extend its
    applicability to the territories of the three Baltic states, which
    are not covered by the existing treaty's ceilings on force deployments.

    Moscow's main argument -- as presented during de Hoop Scheffer's visit
    -- claims that Russia has fulfilled all of its 1999 obligations by
    signing the agreements with Georgia to close the Batumi and Akhalkalaki
    bases and withdraw the Russian troops stationed there by the end
    of 2008. During de Hoop Scheffer's visit, President Vladimir Putin
    signed into law on October 26 the Russian parliament's ratification
    of the March 31 agreement with Georgia on closure and withdrawal from
    those two Russian bases (Itar-Tass, October 26).

    However, de Hoop Scheffer raised the issue of Russia's noncompliance
    with its 1999 commitment to withdraw its forces from Moldova. Russian
    media purported to quote him as urging Moscow to withdraw just the
    arsenals from Moldova in order to clear the way for ratification of
    the CFE Treaty (Interfax, October 26, 27). Such Russian media reports
    would seem to be misquoting de Hoop Scheffer. In fact, NATO's official
    collective position calls for withdrawal of Russian troops, as well
    as the arsenals, from Moldova. This position, with emphasis on troop
    withdrawal, is enshrined in NATO's communique at its latest summit
    in Istanbul in 2004 and subsequent communiques, as well as documents
    endorsed by NATO countries collectively at the OSCE.

    During the NATO leader's visit, Russia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs
    hinted that Moscow might initiate procedures for abandoning the
    existing CFE Treaty, which was signed in 1990 and is currently in
    force. Notably dropping the standard reference to the treaty as a
    "cornerstone of security in Europe," Deputy Foreign Minister Aleksandr
    Grushko described that treaty as "out of touch with reality" and
    warranting either revision or an exit from it (Russian MFA press
    release, October 25).

    For their part, a group of Duma leaders meeting with de Hoop Scheffer
    warned that they might delay the ratification of the Status-of-Forces
    Agreement -- the legal basis for a host of NATO-Russia common
    activities, intended to be held on Russian territory -- if NATO
    countries delay ratification of the adapted CFE Treaty. Such insolvent
    warnings are political in nature, targeting a few governments in
    NATO that might for reasons of their own accommodate Russia in
    Europe's East.

    Russia takes the position that it has completed the fulfillment of
    the 1999 agreements regarding the South Caucasus and Moldova and that
    those agreements did not constitute obligations in the first place.

    Thus, Moscow describes its agreement with Georgia on troop withdrawal
    until 2008 as a purely bilateral matter, the resolution of which
    should precipitate the ratification of the CFE Treaty by NATO
    countries. Irrespective of such phrasing and despite the delay
    during all these years, the agreement with Georgia does constitute
    long-awaited progress toward fulfillment of one aspect of the 1999
    Istanbul Commitments.

    However, Russia remains in breach of the original and adapted treaty
    and the Istanbul Commitments on the following counts:

    *Retention of the Gudauta base in Georgia, which was to have been
    closed down in 2001 under the Istanbul Commitments;

    *Troops unlawfully stationed in Moldova despite those same Commitments;

    *Treaty-banned weaponry ("unaccounted-for treaty-limited equipment")
    handed over by the Russian military to their local allies in
    Transnistria, Abkhazia, South Ossetia, and Karabakh (including
    Armenian-held territory in Azerbaijan beyond Karabakh); and

    *Stationing Russian troops including so-called peacekeepers in
    conflict areas without the "host-country consent," such consent being
    fundamental to both the existing and the adapted CFE Treaty.

    Thus, there is no case for NATO countries to take any steps toward
    ratifying the adapted CFE Treaty at the NATO summit or the OSCE's
    year-end conference, in view of Russia's ongoing breaches on multiple
    counts.

    (See EDM, May 17, 22, June 12)

    --Vladimir Socor

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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