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ANKARA: Is Turkey's EU Bid Becoming a Mirage?

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  • ANKARA: Is Turkey's EU Bid Becoming a Mirage?

    Zaman, Turkey
    Oct 28 2006


    Is Turkey's EU Bid Becoming a Mirage?

    SELCUK GULTASLI
    10.28.2006 Saturday - ISTANBUL 14:55


    The EU progress report on Turkey, to be released on Nov. 8, is just
    as important as the one that paved the way for membership talks with
    Ankara two years ago.


    The report's tone and the recommendation to be made on the Cyprus
    issue will, to a great extent, affect the opinions of leaders who
    will be attending the EU summit in December.


    While an ordinary report was being expected on a country which has
    already started membership talks, both Turkey and the European Union
    agree that the document has become very important, amid rumors that
    the negotiation process will be suspended, making many people wonder
    how far the entanglement will go.


    Or, as eloquently stated by an Arab writer, have the negotiations
    become a mirage? And if they have, is it wise to vent anger only
    against the European Union?


    Turkey has started to believe that what it has done for the sake of
    progress does not mean much to the European Union. If the already
    ambiguous full membership goal is further diluted by the influential
    EU leaders, who believe 2025 is Turkey's most probable admission
    date, it means it is time for those in Brussels to clarify their
    minds over what they have offered to Turkey. Jose Manuel Barroso, the
    president of the European Commission, whose remarks imply that Turkey
    cannot be a full member in 15-20 years, is as irrational as France's
    bill on the so-called Armenian genocide. Just as the voices of those
    who sought amendments to Article 301 of the Turkish Penal Code have
    become weaker since the French bill was adopted, Brussels is now
    compelled to figure out how to encourage a candidate country to
    embark upon further reforms for the sake of a very vague membership
    perspective that will materialize in 15 years at the earliest.


    And just as the anti-Turkey meeting between Paris, the capital of
    secularism, and the Vatican, the capital of Christianity, is seen as
    contradictory; it is also strange that the Justice and Development
    Party (AKP) administration, the innovator of the Ankara criteria,
    cannot comprehend what the reluctance in implementing the reforms
    signifies. This is because for the AKP administration, the EU
    membership process is like riding a bicycle; when the reforms come to
    a halt, the pedals of the administration's bicycle spin aimlessly.


    In such an environment, the visionary politician turns into a
    populist, while President Ahmet Necdet Sezer and People's Republican
    Party leader Deniz Baykal `confuse' official messages with Ramadan
    holiday messages, and issue `progressive' warnings against
    reactionary movements. Then, Washington-based think tanks express
    support for the remarks of Baykal, who gives assurances that they
    will replace the reactionary order with the enlightened revolution of
    the secular republic. All of a sudden, these think tanks label Sezer
    and Chief of Staff Yasar Buyukanit as the Turkish `Senate.' Hence,
    the generals, aware that their statements will be reflected on the
    progress report, partake in politics with their uniforms on to show
    that the EU membership goal, in fact, is nothing more than a mirage.


    No matter how negative it might be, the Nov. 8 report and the
    decision to be made at the December summit may present new dynamics
    that could possibly prevent the process from turning into a mirage,
    and make both Turkey and the EU question the weight of the whole
    issue. We are getting closer to the days when both sides will need to
    make such evaluations.
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