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Geopolitical Realities In Ankara

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  • Geopolitical Realities In Ankara

    GEOPOLITICAL REALITIES IN ANKARA
    By Tulin Daloglu

    Washington Times, DC
    Oct 31 2006

    Turkey faces an exceptional dilemma: retaining its cultural heritage
    while maintaining the character of its majority-Muslim population
    and making sure that its secular principles and foundation remain
    aligned with the goals of a modernized Western future.

    The Turkish public distrusts all traditionally accepted Western
    alliances, from the U.S. and NATO to the U.N. and the EU. Turks
    looked to the U.N. for approval of the Iraq war, yet still feel the
    organization is ineffective and rarely solves conflicts. Turkish
    officials say they will abide by any U.N. Security Council decision
    on Iran, if and when one passes. Turks, however, wonder whether the
    U.N. will help Turkey when its economy is threatened by possible
    radical Islamist attacks. Cyprus is a good example.

    Greek Cypriots rejected the U.N.'s 2004 plan to end the separation
    of the island. Turkish Cypriots accepted it, and neither the U.N. nor
    the EU seems to care. They seem to not care whether they promised to
    lift economic sanctions, which would boost Turkish Cypriot economy
    and eventually eliminate one of the main reasons the Greek Cypriots
    did not accept the unification plan. The image of Turks as barbarians
    is so pervasive and so harmful that EU member countries forget that
    north Cyprus is a working democracy.

    Germans were similarly concerned about the economic gap between East
    Germany and West Germany when the Berlin wall came down, with the added
    complication of Communism. The difference was in how Germany approached
    it -- determined to close the gap rather than making it an obstacle.

    Yet Oli Rehn, the EU Enlargement Commissioner, recently warned Ankara
    that talks could come to a crashing halt if Turkey fails to implement
    a customs union with Cyprus. Turks question thegrounds on which the
    EU accepted Greek Cypriots, especially after Turkish Cypriots accepted
    the U.N. plan despite its heavy price.

    The EU's demands on Turkey are endless, from explicit conditions
    demanded by signed agreements to pressure to recognize the so-called
    Armenian genocide. Turks admit that the country's politics are
    problematic to say the very least -- but the country should not be
    treated this way, with its culture insulted and its people treated
    as second-class citizens. Turks feel that the West is Turk-bashing.

    Before the second Iraq war began, it took NATO more than a month to
    decide to plan to help Turkey if Saddam Hussein launched retaliatory
    attacks against it. That lag time left Turks with the impression that
    the other NATO members think their lives are less valuable than those
    of others in the coalition. But if Turkey does not send its troops
    into combat in places like Afghanistan and refuses to be the "proof"
    that the war on terror is not a fight between Christians and Muslims,
    it faces condemnation.

    Turkey had led ISAF twice and has proven its capabilities. But
    according to Turkish media reports, CENTCOM commander, Gen. John
    Abizaid, said he would not allow Turkey to cross the border to
    Northern Iraq -- even at a time when he was visiting Kandahar,
    Afghanistan. Turkey's only motivation for going into Northern Iraq
    is to defend itself against attacks from separatist Kurdish terrorists.

    Turks conflict with Kurdish nationalists who claim Turkish sovereign
    land, and they are continually suspicious about whether the U.S.

    supports such an independent Kurdistan.

    The debates about the future of NATO, the relevance of the U.N.

    and the possibility of the EU's dissolution have the potential to
    make all local politics global. The international community has a
    responsibility to be clear about the future of these institutions.The
    West also has a responsibility to keep its ally from falling victim
    to political Islam. It is important -- indeed, fundamental to the
    character and principles of the Turkish nation -- to focus on how
    Turks' present actions will affect their future.

    It is time for Turkey to think hard about the consequences of
    anti-Americanism and anti-Westernism within its own borders, and
    really look at what allowing those conditions to continue will cost
    the country as a whole.

    A Turkey pushed away from the Western alliance will turn old friends
    into foes, and radical Islamists will reap the benefits.

    Turkish President Ahmet Necdet Sezer should issue warnings about the
    republic's threatened principles and radical Islamists on the rise.

    He should lay out clear and constructive plans to fight those
    conditions before his term ends in May -- or the consequences that
    will follow if the next president represents political Islam could
    prove devastating.

    Tulin Daloglu is a free-lance writer.
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