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Armenian CB Forecasts High GDP Growth Rate For Next 3 Years

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  • Armenian CB Forecasts High GDP Growth Rate For Next 3 Years

    ARMENIAN CB FORECASTS HIGH GDP GROWTH RATE FOR NEXT 3 YRS

    Interfax News Agency
    Russia & CIS Business and Financial Newswire
    September 6, 2006 Wednesday 5:41 PM MSK

    The Armenian economy will continue to grow at a high rate over the next
    three years, Central Bank Chairman Tigran Sarkisian said in a speech
    at the Armenian-European Policy and Legal Advice Center (AEPLAC).

    The forecasts in an AEPLAC report in many cases coincide with the
    Central Bank's forecasts, he said.

    Armenia has managed to accumulate a significant potential to provide
    for economic growth and GDP could reach two figures in the next three
    years, Sarkisian said.

    He forecasts that the Armenian dram will strengthen in the next few
    years. The Central Bank's monetary and credit policy will focus on
    holding back growth in prices for consumer goods, he said.

    Quality changes could take place in the country's economy over the
    next three years, Sarkisian said. Many leading companies could find
    themselves bankrupt or reorganized if they don't withstand competition.

    "The fundamental problem for the Armenian economy is the high level of
    competition on foreign markets," Sarkisian said. "In the worst case,
    the economy could slow in the next three to four years," he said.

    Armenian GDP grew 11.6% in January-July.

    The Armenian budget envisions GDP growth of 7.5% in 2006. GDP rose
    13.9% in 2005.
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