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  • US Mediator details current state of NK talks

    Mediamax news agency, Yerevan, in English
    14 Sep 06

    US MEDIATOR DETAILS CURRENT STATE OF NAGORNYY KARABAKH TALKS -
    ARMENIAN AGENCY


    The US mediator of the Nagornyy Karabakh conflict has said that it is
    still possible to resolve the conflict in 2006, although neither
    Azerbaijan, nor Armenia have agreed on the set of basic principles
    proposed by the international mediators. The mediators seek to build
    trust between the sides in the conflict in order to make progress on
    issues such as the return of the occupied territories to Azerbaijan
    or a self-determination vote in Nagornyy Karabakh , the US
    co-chairman of the OSCE Minsk Group, Matthew Bryza, told Armenia's
    Mediamax news agency. He also said that Armenia's account with the
    Millennium Challenge Corporation may be closed if the 2007
    parliamentary election is "deeply problematic". The following is the
    text of Matthew Bryza's exclusive interview with Mediamax in English;
    subheadings have been inserted editorially:

    [Correspondent] Is the existing "window of opportunities" to resolve
    the Nagorno Karabakh conflict this year still open, or it is going to
    shut down very soon?

    [Bryza] As the election campaign approaches in Armenia, the window of
    opportunities will begin to narrow, but it is definitely open right
    now. There is a lot of room now for creativity on the both sides, and
    we see this by the example of the Azerbaijani sponsored resolution in
    the United Nations regarding the joint efforts to address the
    problems created by fires.

    Basic principles of settlement

    [Correspondent] Are you going to discuss some new ideas or elements
    with the sides to make the settlement possible?

    [Bryza] The co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group have proposed a set of
    basic principles and we are still waiting to hear what the presidents
    of Armenia and Azerbaijan will have to say. It is really up to the
    presidents themselves as to whether they would like to change those
    basic principles.

    [Correspondent] After the Kocharian-Aliyev meeting in Bucharest in
    early June the Armenian side is constantly urging Azerbaijan to
    return to the proposal that is on the negotiation table. Does it mean
    that one of the sides has refused the previously agreed principles?

    [Bryza] It is clear to every observer that neither side agrees to the
    basic principles. If they did, both sides would stand up, or one side
    would stand up and say - "we fully accept these basic principles".
    Nobody is saying that. Some people are saying - "we have problems
    with the principles", some people say - "well, in principle we accept
    them, but we have a few minor changes". Nobody is saying - we accept
    them.

    [Correspondent] One of the main principles is related to holding a
    referendum in Nagorno Karabakh. Do you believe that Azerbaijan is
    really ready to accept the idea of a referendum?

    [Bryza] I think they are sincere about pursuing the concept of what
    they don't just call a "referendum vote". I mean in the document,
    containing the basic principles, phrasing is the following -
    "referendum vote/population vote". So, the Azerbaijani side is saying
    that it is talking not about a referendum vote, but a population
    vote. And this is because of the Constitution of Azerbaijan, which
    requires that if there is referendum, then all citizens of Azerbaijan
    must participate in it.

    I guess, maybe the Armenian side really doesn't want to see that sort
    of a vote that covers the entire population of Azerbaijan. So we have
    to find a clever way to devise the voting process that addresses the
    interests of both Azerbaijan and Armenia.

    [Correspondent] But it seems that the Armenian side doesn't believe
    that Azerbaijan is sincere in its readiness to hold a referendum and
    that's why the Armenians decide to keep the Kalbacar region as a
    "deposit".

    [Bryza] You identified properly one of the key questions. Yes, the
    Azerbaijani side would like to make sure that all seven territories
    are returned. It is hard for me to predict how quickly or whether
    that particular question could be fixed. My job as the OSCE Minsk
    Group co-chair is to be creative and optimistic and always looking
    for a way forward. If I believed that the process was hopeless I
    wouldn't be wasting my time.

    [Bryza] I think that the issue of when Kalbacar will be returned
    depends on how quickly the two sides will begin building trust in
    each other. I don't know when this will happen, but the whole essence
    of the confidence building measures we are talking about now with
    regard to the fires is to begin building that very trust.

    When a climate is created in which some degree of trust is
    reestablished, it will be absolutely realistic to talk about the
    return of Kalbacar to Azerbaijan in return for other elements like
    the referendum vote/population vote or guarantees on Lachin corridor
    that Armenia seeks.

    Destruction of monuments

    [Correspondent] This March in Yerevan you called a "tragedy" the
    destruction of an ancient Armenian cemetery in Nakhichevan,
    Azerbaijan. Don't you think that absence of a strong and consolidated
    international reaction towards such barbaric actions seriously
    hinders the confidence building between the sides?

    [Bryza] The destruction of those thumb stones was truly a tragedy.
    But I think that proper channel to address such cases is not the
    United States government, or the OSCE Minsk Group. The proper channel
    in such cases is UNESCO. So we would like to see Armenia and
    Azerbaijan with regard to its claims of cultural heritage being
    violated, appeal to the proper channel, which is UNESCO. And we would
    be very supportive in that process.

    Speaking about the problem in a broader context, we need to make sure
    that the rhetoric coming out from the region is completely free of
    hatred and threats to use force, because there is simply no military
    solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict now and it won't be in ten,
    fifteen, thirty or fifty years.

    [Correspondent] If there is no progress achieved this year, how do
    the mediators plan to work in 2007, which is an election year in
    Armenia?

    [Bryza] The mediators issued a statement this summer saying that the
    OSCE Minsk Group will reconsider how active the mediators would be
    depending upon the response they received from the presidents. So far
    we haven't received the formal response. So if we go to the election
    period and the parties say that they would like the mediators to
    continue their efforts, then of course we will continue.

    Bryza surprised by Nagorno Karabakh "constructive stance"

    [Correspondent] You have visited Nagorno Karabakh for the first time
    recently. What are your impressions?

    [Bryza] It is hard to have an accurate impression about the Nagorno
    Karabakh before you go there. It is a breath-taking beautiful and
    gorgeous place.

    The thing that didn't surprise me was the attitude of people and the
    leadership of Nagorno Karabakh with their deep pride and the sense of
    having arrived at what they deeply believe will be a final position.
    I was pleasantly surprised by their sober and constructive stance,
    their willingness to talk and to think together with us how to move
    the peace process. I felt myself very comfortable and welcomed there
    and it was a nice feeling.

    [Correspondent] Do you think it is correct to compare the Nagorno
    Karabakh with other frozen conflicts?

    [Bryza] I believe that each conflict is a unique. We categorically
    reject any notion that there is a universal precedent that could be
    set in Kosovo, or anywhere else. Each conflict has its unique
    elements and Nagorno Karabakh is definitely different.

    [Correspondent] How do you access the cooperation between the
    co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk group?

    [Bryza] Although I am new in the Minsk Group, but I can already say
    that the level of the cooperation is among the highest that I've
    experienced in my nearly 20 years in diplomacy. Even if we had begun
    the process of discussion from different prospective, based upon our
    governments' views, we have been able to come up with a shared
    position so far every time.

    Armenia's energy problems

    [Correspondent] Earlier this year you and U.S. Assistant Secretary of
    State Daniel Fried indicated the interest of the United States
    towards the issues of providing Armenia's energy security. In
    particular, Daniel Fried said that Armenia's desire to have a new
    nuclear power station will be examined in Washington. Did you already
    have some discussions regarding this topic? And do you believe that
    Armenia might have some involvement in the Trans-Caspian pipeline
    project?

    [Bryza] Armenia indeed finds itself in a difficult geographic
    position when it comes to energy. We have talked a bit in Washington
    about the ambitions expressed by Armenia to develop a new nuclear
    power plant. That is something we don't oppose and we certainly want
    to help Armenia to find investors and the right technologies. And it
    would be great if the power generated by this plant will be exported,
    especially to Georgia and, after the resolution of the Nagorno
    Karabakh conflict, also to other countries of the region.

    With regard to the pipelines, our ambition and our hope is to have
    some sort of a link of a gas pipeline from Azerbaijan to Armenia.
    Such a link will demonstrate that the serious conflict is over. That
    is definitely something we would like to see.

    [Correspondent] You often meet Turkish officials. Do you discuss the
    issue of Turkish-Armenian relations with them and do you see any
    opportunities to mark some progress?

    [Bryza] I always discuss Turkish-Armenian relations with my
    counterparts in Ankara.Yes, I see some room for improvement. There is
    a set of proposals on the table for these committees to begin talks -
    one about the history and the horrors of 1915 and one to talk about
    the practical diplomatic and economic cooperation. United States
    would really like to see both of those committees begin functioning -
    to address both historical and moral questions as well as the
    practical issues of diplomacy and commerce.

    [Correspondent] Do you mean that the second committee might be formed
    on the intergovernmental level?

    [Bryza] Yes, that's right, the intergovernmental committee. The first
    one could be broader - involving historians, philosophers, academics,
    etc.

    US aid and Armenian election

    [Correspondent] Armenia will be having parliamentary elections in
    2007. Earlier this year there were talks that the Millennium
    Challenge Compact might be suspended if the elections fail to meet
    the international standards. Does this mean that for this time the
    U.S. is not going to accept the outcome of the elections if they are
    not free and fair?

    [Bryza] Democratic reform is on the top of our agenda not only with
    Armenia, but also with Azerbaijan, Georgia, Turkey, Russia and
    Central Asia. I can't predict what will happen in Armenia, but we are
    working hard through our Embassy in Yerevan with the Armenian
    government and the civil society to do whatever we can to ensure that
    the upcoming elections will be as free and fair as possible.

    I am not going to make any threats about the Millennium Challenge
    Account, but the reality is that we don't decide who is in and out of
    the program. There are indicators provided by the World Bank and by
    the Freedom House, and it is theoretically possible that if the
    elections are deeply problematic, those indicators will change and
    Armenia could no longer meet the criteria of Millennium Challenge
    Account and in such a case we will be obligated to suspend the
    program. But it's not a threat on my part, I am just stating a fact.
    Our goal is to do everything we can with Armenia to avoid any chance
    of that happening.
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