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Russia Threatens New Deployments To Offset US Missile Shield

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  • Russia Threatens New Deployments To Offset US Missile Shield

    RUSSIA THREATENS NEW DEPLOYMENTS TO OFFSET US MISSILE SHIELD
    Andrzej Poczobut

    Gazeta Wyborcza
    http://wyborcza.pl/1,86871,5562840,Russia _Threatens_New_Deployments_to_Offset_US_Missile.ht ml
    Aug 7 2008
    Poland

    Moscow has again threatened Poland and the Czech Republic. The
    Russian ambassador in Minsk warned yesterday Russia would deploy new
    missiles and bomber squadrons to Belarus and the Kaliningrad enclave
    in response to the two countries' consent to host elements of the US
    missile defence system

    'If the US and Poland ultimately reach an agreement on the installation
    of the missile defence system, Russia will need to consider what
    steps to undertake and what decisions to make', Alexander Surikov,
    the Russian ambassador to Belarus, said in Minsk yesterday.

    According to Mr Surikov, such a response could be for Russia to
    deploy to Belarus and the Kaliningrad enclave its ground-ground
    Iskander-M missiles with which the Russian armed forces are currently
    being equipped. The Iskanders-M in the Kaliningrad enclave would be
    aimed at the Polish missile defence base, and those in Belarus - at
    the radar base the Czechs have already agreed to host. Russia would
    also move strategic bombers to bases in Belarus and around the city
    of Kaliningrad.

    This time the ambassador reserved that the 'installation of nuclear
    weapons' was not being considered as an option. This marks a progress,
    since a year ago the very same Mr Surikov spoke of Russia's plans
    to deploy such weapons to Belarus in response to the missile defence
    project. Later, under pressure from his superiors, he backed out on
    those combative pledges.

    Russian generals made similar threats as Mr Surikov last year. In
    August, Col Gen Nikolai Bordyuzha, Secretary General of the Collective
    Security Treaty Organisation (a military pact of the CIS, with
    members including Russia, Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,
    and Uzbekistan), said that the US missile defence project should be
    responded to with a 'new international military structure resembling
    Soviet military structures'.

    The prospect of close military cooperation with Russia suits
    Belarussian president Alexander Lukashenko, who has reacted equally
    angrily to the US plans. Russia operates in Belarus a radiolocation
    base called Volga in the town of Gantsevichi, and a navy remote
    control centre in Vileika, Mink region.

    Mr Lukashenko likes to remind the Russians, 'You have no manpower
    between Moscow and the West except the 65,000-strong, well-equipped
    and well-trained Belarussian army'.

    And he has benefited from that - two years ago, Russia sold Belarus
    the advanced S-300 ground-to-air missile defence systems, which were
    deployed with the 115th Air Defence Brigade stationed right near the
    Polish border. Mt Lukashenko also hopes for Russia to sell oil and gas
    to Belarus at preferential prices as a means of returning the favour.

    Mr Lukashenko would gladly hand over to the Russians the former Soviet
    strategic bomber base in Machulishchi near Minsk and would like to
    have the Iskander-M missiles, whose range of over 400 km would cover
    most of Poland's territory.

    But Russian military experts interviewed by Gazeta criticised Mr
    Surikov's ideas.

    According to Ruslan Pukhov, Director of the Moscow-based Centre for
    Analysis of Strategies and Technologies, Mr Surikov had succumbed to
    the tendency, currently fashionable in Russia, for sabre rattling.

    'A couple of days ago we heard about our armed forces returning
    to Cuba. Now the bombers and Iskanders to Belarus. We have enough
    flight-worthy strategic members to send them from time to time on
    ostentatious flights along Nato borders. The Iskanders are few too,
    too few to have them in place where they are really needed: near
    the border with Georgia and near Nagorno-Karabakh, where tension is
    growing between Armenia and Azerbaijan', said Mr Pukhov.

    According to Alexander Khramchin at the Institute for Political
    and Military Analysis in Moscow too deploying strategic bombers and
    missiles to Belarus would be 'utter stupidity and mismanagement'.

    'The reasons why the Americans want to build the missile defence in
    Poland don't convince me. But some Russian generals' and politicians'
    propositions are even more amazing', said Mr Khramchin.

    'As part of standard mutual deterioration procedures, the missile
    shield will be put on the list of our missile forces' targets. This is
    not any particularly hostile gesture - after all, the anti-air system
    around Moscow is on the list of US targets. We don't have mid-range
    missiles, so either one of the intercontinental missiles stationed in
    Russia will be retargeted on the missile shield base, or the military
    will designate aircraft with cruise missiles that will be responsible
    for destroying the base in case of conflict', said Mr Khramchin.
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