Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

ANKARA: Iron silk road may become giant highway between East & West

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • ANKARA: Iron silk road may become giant highway between East & West

    Sunday's Zaman, Turkey
    Aug 10 2008


    Iron silk road may become giant highway between East and West


    Regional cooperation between the South Caucasus and Turkey has moved
    into a new phase as the deal over Baku-Tbilisi-Kars (BTK) railway
    finally concludes. Nicknamed "the iron silk road," the railroad will
    connect Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey while bypassing Russia and
    Armenia.

    This project has formulated and clarified power relations among these
    countries. Although it took longer than expected for Georgia to join
    due to pressure from the Armenian lobby on American foreign policy to
    halt the project, the railway is scheduled to be completed by 2010 at
    an estimated price of $500 million.

    The occupation of northern and southern routes by so called
    "problematic" countries Iran and Russia drew American and European
    attention to the South Caucasus, particularly Azerbaijan, as a
    potential bridge between East Asia and Europe. Azerbaijan, Georgia and
    Turkey stepped forward to serve as a protected corridor for Europe and
    to strengthen transportation between Asia and Europe via the BTK
    railway.

    At a July 24 ceremony in Kars, Turkish President Abdullah G?Ã?¼l said,
    "The line not only links three countries, it links China and London."

    "This project is putting trilateral cooperation in the region one step
    ahead," said Zeyno Baran, senior fellow and director of the Hudson
    Institute's Center for Eurasian Policy. Speaking to Sunday's Zaman,
    Baran said that the railroad, in allowing direct access from China to
    Europe, is important in terms of stability and economic
    development. According to Baran, a project of this kind is unique in
    the region. "Contributions from the West were huge in oil and gas
    projects; however, BTK is completely a result of the visions of the
    leaders of these three countries," she said.

    Transit railways linking Europe to Asia crossed through Armenia to
    Turkey in three routes until Azerbaijan and Armenia went to war over
    the disputed territory of Nagorno-Karabakh. One route passed through
    Kars-G?Ã?¼mr?Ã?¼-Ayrum -Marneuli-Tbilisi, finishing in Georgia. The other
    two traveled via Icevan-Kazakh-Baku and Kars-Yerevan-Nakhchivan-Baku.
    Armenia has also closed all routes to Central Asia, Russia and
    China. Thus the only trade connection that Armenia has left open is
    through Iran.

    Construction of the final section of the BTK railway, connecting Kars
    with the Georgian border, began in July with a ceremony in which the
    leaders of all three countries participated. 105 kilometers remain
    left to build, 76 kilometers within Turkey and the remaining 29
    between the Turkish border and the city of Ahelkeleki in
    Georgia. Georgia also plans to rehabilitate rail between Ahalkeleki
    and Tbilisi.

    The railway is expected to transport 1.5 million passengers and 3
    million tons of freight per year. Forecasts predict that by 2034 it
    will transport 3 million people and more than 16 million tons of
    goods. The total cost of the project is estimated at $500 million,
    with $200 million to be covered by Georgia and the remaining cost to
    be covered by Turkey. Georgia will also receive support from
    Azerbaijan and the US.

    In an interview with Sunday's Zaman, Professor Rovshan Ibrahimov,
    chairman of the international relations department at Qafqaz
    University in Baku, said this project is crucial for all three
    countries involved. "It is noteworthy that this is not the first
    regional project uniting political and economic interests of the three
    countries," he added.

    An expert on political science and international relations in
    Azerbaijan, Dr. Ibrahimov optimistically puts this trilateral relation
    in a special setting. "The realization of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil
    pipeline and the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum gas pipeline, as well as their
    successful exploitation, provided the groundwork for ideas for
    Azerbaijan, Turkey and Georgia to further deepen their relations, the
    result of which was the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railroad project."

    He added, "It is noteworthy that President G?Ã?¼l, during his official
    visit to Azerbaijan, said that it is time to think about setting up a
    special economic zone between the three regional countries."

    The project had stalled, but it accelerated after the three countries
    agreed on the deadlines for the railroad to be finished in Tbilisi on
    Nov. 29 of last year and subsequently in Kars on July 24.

    After the signing ceremony in Tbilisi, Erdo?Ä?an said the venture
    would be a model for regional cooperation and that each of the
    railway's stations would send messages of peace and friendship to the
    world. He stressed that the railroad would revive the historic Silk
    Road and would serve the interests of all three regional
    countries. ?Ä?°lham Aliyev, the president of Azerbaijan, in turn,
    stressed that the new railroad would strengthen stability and resolve
    issues in the region.

    Considering that the railway will connect China with the West,
    interest in the project is increasing. Ibrahimov said, "This project
    has already attracted the interest of such countries as Kazakhstan and
    China, which have expressed a desire to use the BTK railway to
    transport their goods to European markets." Essentially a train from
    London will pass without interruption to China. In this sense, the BTK
    railway will play a significant role in East-West trade.

    Dr. Vakhtang Maisaia, the chairman of the Foreign Policy Association
    of Georgia, said: "The 21st century begins with the realities of new
    geopolitics for world society. Globalization and economic
    interdependence are making international relations more prudent and
    dynamic. Global integration is no longer a pure realization of
    enormous political and economic projects, but simple regional ones."
    Speaking to Sunday's Zaman, Maisaia added that "the BTK railroad fits
    into that dimension in that it further promotes one of the efficient
    East-West transport and energy corridor systems."

    Pointing out that the BTK railroad will deepen regional integration,
    Dr. Maisaia goes on to say, "The railroad newly implies the full
    integration of the South Caucasus region into the world globalization
    process and of the developing potential of the involved parties
    [Azerbaijan, Georgia, Turkey] for true strategic cooperation, not only
    with such a global economic zone as the EU but also with the remote
    ASEAN [Association of Southeast Asian Nations] and the Pacific Forum."

    While the three countries of the region are trying to establish a
    common area for trade and suitable conditions for the exchange of
    goods, the plan to exclude Armenia from all regional projects has been
    a consistent policy of Azerbaijan and Turkey. Dr. Ibrahimov asserted:
    "Because of the conflict with Azerbaijan and the historic dispute with
    Turkey, Armenia in fact does not have any economic relations with its
    closest neighbors. Because of the unresolved Karabakh conflict, the
    Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline and the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum gas
    pipeline were built bypassing Armenia, although its territory would
    provide the shortest route. In the event of the completion of the
    construction of the BTK railway, Armenia will be finalized in the
    economic impasse."

    Similarly, Professor Kamer Kas?Ä?±m from Abant ?Ä?°zzet Baysal University
    in Bolu classifies Armenia as the only unsatisfied country. "This
    project means that Armenia will be out of both transit routes and
    energy projects," he said.

    President of Georgia Mikheil Saakashvili noted at the July 24 ceremony
    in Kars that, through the project, Georgia had opened a window to
    Europe. In this regard it was not surprising that Armenia would employ
    its strong lobby in the US to try and block funding for Georgia. Thus
    the expected deal was twice interrupted. At last on Nov. 21 of last
    year President G?Ã?¼l went to Georgia and signed the deal. Azerbaijan
    promised to fund some part of the project on the Georgian side.

    The railway is also significant for Georgia in that, as it attempts to
    behave more independently in the South Caucasus, Georgia's recent
    problems with Russia will require new projects in order to decrease
    Russian dominance. "The one who benefits the most out of the regional
    cooperative effort is certainly Georgia," argues Ilyas Kamalov, expert
    on Russia and Ukraine at the Ankara Strategic Research
    Center. According to Kamalov, energy-poor Georgia is planning to pay
    its energy needs and carry out its projects independent of Russia.

    Azerbaijan estimates that through this project, trade relations will
    advance as well as long distance transport of goods will be replaced
    by railway, which in turn will affect the efficiency and quality of
    transportation. Kazakhstan also agreed to connect itself to the
    railway. China and Kazakhstan signed support protocol agreements with
    these three countries in 2006. According to Musa Panahov, deputy
    minister of the Azerbaijani Transportation Ministry, Kazakhstan stated
    that they would always be ready to support the railway. "According to
    initial news, Kazakhstan is planning to transport 10 million tons of
    goods a year," said Panahov during a press conference in March of last
    year in Baku.

    "The project will establish a direct link between Turkey and
    Azerbaijan. It is crucial that all shipping in the region reach Europe
    and Asia via Turkey," explained Turkish Transportation Minister Binali
    Y?Ä?±ld?Ä?±r?Ä?&#x B1;m at the July 24 ceremony in Kars.

    This giant project will contribute hugely to the development of trade
    between East and West as well as deepen the economic, social and
    cultural integration in the region.

    10 August 2008, Sunday
    MAH?Ä?°R ZEYNALOV ?Ä?°STANBUL
Working...
X