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  • Getting Georgia's War On

    GETTING GEORGIA'S WAR ON
    By Mark Ames Reprinted with permission from The Nation

    CBS News
    August 12, 2008
    NY

    The Nation: What We Should Expect If John McCain Becomes Our Nation's
    Commander In Chief Comments 12

    The outbreak of war in Georgia on Friday offers a disturbing and
    somewhat surreal taste of what to expect from John McCain should he
    become our nation's Commander in Chief. As the centuries-old ethnic
    animosities between Georgia and Ossetia boiled over into another armed
    conflict, drawing in neighboring Russia, McCain issued a stark-raving
    statement from Des Moines that is disturbingly reminiscent of the
    language used in the lead-up to NATO's war against Yugoslavia in 1999,
    a war McCain zealously pushed for:

    "We should immediately call a meeting of the North Atlantic Council
    to assess Georgia's security and review measures NATO can take to
    contribute to stabilizing this very dangerous situation," McCain said.

    Calling on NATO to "stabilize this dangerous situation" is not going
    down well with Russia, where images of dead Russian peacekeepers and
    of frightened Ossetian refugees streaming across its borders have
    put the country in a very vengeful mood. It's hard to imagine what
    measures NATO could take under a McCain presidency, but in the mind
    of a man who thinks US troops should stay in Iraq for 100 years, and
    who runs around singing "Bomb Bomb Iran!" it's not hard to guess --
    and even harder not to be horrified by what it may mean come January
    2009, should he win.

    McCain's call to NATO-ize the war is not only frightening, it's also
    delusional: both NATO and US forces are already stretched beyond the
    breaking point, even by Joint Chief of Staff chairman Michael Millen's
    own recent assessment.

    But McCain's brain remains undeterred by reality, a fact that became
    painfully clear today in Des Moines when he also demanded, "The US
    should immediately convene an emergency session of the United Nations
    Security Council to call on Russia to reverse course."

    The problem with McCain's bold demand about going to the UN is that
    Russia already tried doing exactly what McCain called for -- and got
    rejected by McCain's neocon pals in the Bush Administration. Early
    this morning, Russia convened an emergency session of the UN Security
    Council, calling on both sides to immediately cease hostilities,
    return to the negotiating table and renounce the use of force --
    but the last part about renouncing the use of force is exactly what
    Georgia's president Mikhail Saakashvili refuses to do.

    The Bush Administration showed that it too has no patience with crunchy
    "renounce the use of force" resolutions. According to a Reuters report
    from earlier in the day:

    At the request of Russia, the U.N. Security Council held an emergency
    session in New York but failed to reach consensus early Friday on a
    Russian-drafted statement.

    The council concluded it was at a stalemate after the United States,
    Britain and some other members backed the Georgians in rejecting a
    phrase in the three-sentence draft statement that would have required
    both sides "to renounce the use of force," council diplomats said.

    The meaning of this is clear: the United States and Britain are backing
    Saakashvili's invasion. Why would we back Saakashvili's reckless
    war, when last year even Bush was denouncing the Pinochet-wannabe's
    violent attack on his own people during a peaceful opposition protest
    in Georgia's capital, as well as shutting down the opposition media
    and exiling of political opponents? That would be a brain-teaser if
    the last seven years hadn't answered this question so many painful
    times already.

    But with McCain, answering this is a little trickier. When he issued
    today's Des Moines statement calling for Russia to do what Russia
    already did a few hours earlier, you have to ask yourself: either
    McCain's short-term memory is totally shot, encased in an impenetrable
    tomb of aluminum-zirconium plaque... or worse, McCain simply doesn't
    give a damn about reality, he just wants to get Georgia's war on,
    as badly as Saakashvili does.

    The awful truth is probably a combination of the two, which is the
    worst of all worlds, considering McCain's raving Russophobia, and
    his campaign team's financial and ideological ties to Saakashvili. As
    has been reported, McCain's top foreign policy advisor, neocon Randy
    Scheunemann, has a long financial relationship with Saakashvili to
    lobby his interests in the United States.

    According to the Wall Street Journal:

    In 2005, Mr. Scheunemann asked Sen. McCain to introduce a Senate
    resolution expressing support for peace in the Russian-influenced
    region of South Ossetia that wants to break away from Georgia, the
    records show.

    Such resolutions of Senate support are symbolic but helpful
    to countries in their diplomatic relations. The Senate approved
    Sen. McCain's resolution in December 2005, and the Georgian Embassy
    posted the text on its Web site.

    Sen. McCain has endorsed Georgia's goal of entering NATO, a matter
    for which the country hired Mr. Scheunemann to lobby. In 2006,
    Senator McCain gave a speech at the Munich Conference on Security
    in Germany in which he said "Georgia has implemented far-reaching
    political, economic, and military reforms" and should enter NATO,
    a text of his speech on the conference Web site shows.

    Scheunemann, a bearded, pear-faced gun geek who looks like what might
    have happened to a GI Joe doll if it had spent years stuffing its face
    at pricey restaurants while power-schmoozing politicians and petty
    dictators, also worked for recently-disgraced Bush fundraiser Stephen
    Payne, lobbying for his Caspian Alliance oil business. The Caspian
    oil pipeline runs through Georgia, the main reason that country has
    tugged the heartstrings of neocons and oil plutocrats for at least
    a decade or more.

    In 2006, McCain visited Georgia and denounced the South Ossetian
    separatists, proving that Scheunemann wasn't wasting his Georgian
    sponsor's money. At a speech he gave in a Georgian army base in
    Senaki, McCain declared that Georgia was America's "best friend,"
    and that Russian peacekeepers should be thrown out.

    Today, Georgian forces from that same Senaki base are part of the
    invasion force into South Ossetia, an invasion that has left scores
    -- perhaps hundreds -- of dead locals, at least ten dead Russian
    peacekeepers, and 140 million pissed-off Russians calling for blood.

    Lost in all of this is not only the question of why America would risk
    an apocalypse to help a petty dictator like Saakashvili get control
    of a region that doesn't want any part of him. But no one's bothering
    to ask what the Ossetians themselves think about it, or why they're
    fighting for their independence in the first place. That's because the
    Georgians -- with help from lobbyists like Scheunemann -- have been
    pushing the line that South Ossetia is a fiction, a construct of evil
    Kremlin neo-Stalinists, rather than a people with a genuine grievance.

    A few years ago, I had an Ossetian working as the sales director for
    my now-defunct newspaper, The eXile. After listening to me rave about
    how much I always (and still do) like the Georgians, he finally lost
    it and told me another side to Georgian history, explaining how the
    Georgians had always mistreated the Ossetians, and how the South
    Ossetians wanted to reunite with North Ossetia in order to avoid
    being swallowed up, and how this conflict goes way back, long before
    the Soviet Union days. It was clear that the Ossetian-Georgian hatred
    was old and deep, like many ethnic conflicts in this region. Indeed, a
    number of Caucasian ethnic groups still harbor deep resentment towards
    Georgia, accusing them of imperialism, chauvinism and arrogance.

    One example of this can be found in historian Bruce Lincoln's book,
    "Red Victory", in which he writes about the period of Georgia's
    brief independence from 1917 to 1921, a time when Georgia was backed
    by Britain:

    the Georgian leaders quickly moved to widen their borders at
    the expense of their Armenian and Azerbaijani neighbors, and
    their territorial greed astounded foreign observers. 'The free and
    independent socialist democratic state of Georgia will always remain
    in my memory as a classic example of an imperialist small nation,"
    one British journalist wrote.... "Both in territory snatching outside
    and bureaucratic tyranny inside, its chauvinism was beyond all bounds."

    On Thursday, following intense Georgian shelling and katyusha
    rocketing into Tskhinvali, refugees streamed out of South Ossetia
    telling reporters that the Georgians had completely leveled entire
    villages and most of Tskhinvali, leaving "piles of corpses" in the
    streets, over 1,000 by some counts. Among the dead are at least
    ten Russian peacekeepers, who fell after their base was attacked by
    Georgian forces. Reports also say that Georgian forces destroyed a
    hotel where Russian journalists were staying.

    In response, Russian jets bombed Georgian positions both inside
    South Ossetia and into Georgia proper, attacking one base where
    American military instructors are quartered (no Americans were
    reported hurt). By mid-afternoon Moscow time, as local television
    showed burning homes and Ossetian women and children huddling in
    bomb shelters, armored Russian columns were crossing into Georgian
    territory, and Georgia's President called for a total mobilization
    of military-aged men for war with Russia.

    The invasion was backed up by a PR offensive so layered and
    sophisticated that I even got an hysterical call today from a hedge
    fund manager in New York, screaming about an "investor call" that
    Georgian Prime Minister Lado Gurgenidze made this morning with some
    fifty leading Western investment bank managers and analysts. I've
    since seen a J.P. Morgan summary of the conference call, which pretty
    much reflects the talking points later picked up by the US media.

    These kinds of conference calls are generally conducted by the heads
    of companies in order to give banking analysts guidance. But as the
    hedge fund manager told me today, "The reason Lado did this is because
    he knew the enormous PR value that Georgia would gain by going to
    the money people and analysts, particularly since Georgia is clearly
    the aggressor this time." As a former investment banker who worked in
    London and who used to head the Bank of Georgia, Gurgenidze knew what
    he was doing. "Lado is a former banker himself, so he knew that by
    framing the conflict for the most influential bankers and analysts in
    New York, that these power bankers would then write up reports and go
    on CNBC and argue Lado Gurgenidze's talking points. It was brilliant,
    and now you're starting to see the American media shift its coverage
    from calling it Georgia invading Ossetian territory, to the new spin,
    that it's Russian imperial aggression against tiny little Georgia."

    The really scary thing about this investor conference call is that
    it suggests real planning. As the hedge fund manager told me, "These
    things aren't set up on an hour's notice."

    Where this war is leading is impossible to say, but as Iraq
    and Afghanistan, not to mention Chechnya, have shown, wars have a
    funny way of lasting longer, costing more in money and lives, and
    snuffing out whatever individual liberties the affected populations
    may have. As good as this war is for Saakashvili, who has become
    increasingly unpopular at home and abroad, or for McCain, whose poll
    numbers seem to rise every time the plaque devours another lobe of
    his brain, it also bodes well for the resurgent Prime Minister Putin,
    who seems to have become increasingly peeved with his hand-picked
    successor, President Dmitry Medvedev's flickering independence and
    his liberalizer shtick. There's nothing like a good war to snuff out
    an uppity sois-disant liberal who's getting in your way--even McCain
    can still grasp this concept.

    As I'm filing this, Russian forces are battling to take back
    Tskhinvali, while Saakashvili has been alternately claiming to have
    pulled his forces back, or that his forces are in full control of
    the city and defeating the Russians. Meanwhile, Georgia has been on a
    massive, successful, multi-layered PR offensive in the West, helped
    by years of cultivating people like John McCain as well as the army
    of neocons and old cold warriors who naturally gravitate to a fight
    with Russia.
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