Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

A Project Of The Institute For Policy Studies

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • A Project Of The Institute For Policy Studies

    A PROJECT OF THE INSTITUTE FOR POLICY STUDIES
    By John Feffer

    World Beat
    August 12, 2008

    Empires die hard. The war that broke out last week between Russia
    and Georgia is a terrifying reminder that the disintegration of the
    Soviet Union is far from over.

    Seventeen years ago, it looked as though that region might escape the
    worst consequences of imperial collapse. After all, the Baltic states
    achieved their independence with relatively little bloodshed. Ukraine
    and Russia - despite serious disagreements over oil, the Black Sea
    fleet, and minority rights - more or less managed to sort out their
    differences peacefully. Elsewhere, however, struggles over borders,
    political control, and resources convulsed the former Soviet Union,
    and the body count rivaled the horrors taking place in Yugoslavia.

    Even before the Soviet Union's official collapse, Armenia
    and Azerbaijan began fighting over the disputed territory of
    Nagorno-Karabakh. Tens of thousands died in the civil war that began
    in 1992 in the Central Asian state of Tajikistan. Tens of thousands
    more died in the conflict between the Russian federation and the
    break-away province of Chechnya. In a war pitting Russian-backed
    separatists in Transdniestra against the new Moldovan government,
    another 1,000 people died. The former Soviet Union was on the verge
    of splitting into hundreds of bloody pieces.

    Georgia, a small country bordering the Black Sea and sandwiched
    between Russia and Turkey, wasn't immune to this violence. Two
    regions bordering Russia - Abkhazia and South Ossetia - declared
    independence in the 1990s. Thousands died in the two conflicts, which
    pitted Russian-backed separatists against the Georgian government, and
    both regions managed to achieve de facto independence. But there's an
    important difference between the two struggles. Abkhazian separatists
    engaged in large-scale ethnic cleansing to make their parastate,
    which previously had a plurality of Georgians, more ethnically
    pure. South Ossetia, meanwhile, remains a diverse region with some
    villages aligned with the separatists and others with Tbilisi.

    In the latest violence, which broke out just as the Olympics were
    getting under way in Beijing, Georgian military forces launched an
    offensive to regain control of South Ossetia. Russia struck back with
    an air offensive that has forced the Georgian military to retreat
    but at the cost of at least 2,000 lives, many of them civilians.

    Russia, and particularly its dour Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, has
    emerged as the chief villain in this drama. International leaders
    have condemned Moscow for its attacks. According to the new Cold
    War narrative that has begun to take shape, Russia is attempting to
    recapture some of the glory of the Soviet empire through economic
    pressure, political arm-twisting, and, when all else fails, military
    means. Dying empires are bad enough. States that try to turn back
    the clock, like Germany or Hungary or Turkey after World War I,
    can be even worse.

    Beware of this updated version of the black-and-white Cold War
    picture. While the new Russia has indeed done some terrible things
    - particularly in Chechnya - it has also played an important
    role in diminishing some of the worst aspects of the post-Soviet
    violence. After the mid-1990s, this region had become a patchwork
    of ceasefires and "frozen" conflicts, thanks in part to Russia. It
    helped mediate the end of the civil war in Tajikistan. It has been
    involved in mediating the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. In the third of
    Georgia's separatist struggles - in Ajaria - Russia helped to mitigate
    the conflict by agreeing to close its military base (albeit after
    some international pressure). Russian peacekeepers in pro-Russian
    breakaway regions - Transdniestra, Abkhazia, and South Ossetia - are
    clearly not neutral third parties, but they have also contributed to
    keeping the peace.

    Yes, Russia's response to Georgia's attack is unjustifiable. It acted
    unilaterally and with disproportionate force. But this isn't old-style
    Soviet arrogance. Nor is it an attempt to reconstitute the Soviet
    empire. Rather, Russia is simply following the lead of the world's
    only superpower in pursuing its national interest at gunpoint. Unlike
    the United States, though, Russia confines its operations to its
    "near abroad" rather than attempting to project power in far-off lands.

    Georgia, meanwhile, is far from the good guy in this drama. From the
    Bush administration's point of view, Georgia gets a free pass because
    it sent a contingent of troops to Iraq and has been eager to join
    NATO. But the central government has been intolerant and aggressive in
    dealing with minority groups and populations. The current government
    of Mikheil Saakashvili cracked down hard on peaceful demonstrations
    last November. And Tbilisi's most recent attempt to reabsorb South
    Ossetia - something even Serbia has not done with Kosovo - was the
    proximate cause of the current violence.

    The breakup of Yugoslavia is over, with the rather peaceful secession
    of Kosovo. The dissolution of the Soviet Union, however, is still
    with us, in all the hot and cold wars that continue along ethnic and
    political fault lines in the region. U.S. policies designed to contain
    Russia - through NATO expansion or the construction of missile defense
    - only exacerbate the problems. When will the Cold War die-hards in
    the United States decide to work with Russia rather than against it
    in order to finally bury the ghosts of the Soviet Union and bring
    peace to that great swath of Eurasia?

    Protest-free Olympics?

    Beijing has worked hard to make its Olympics protest-free. A
    brief unfurling of Tibetan flags before the opening ceremony and a
    five-person, ten-minute pro-Tibet protest at Tiananmen Square have
    been the only signs of dissent.

    As part of our strategic focus on sports and foreign policy, Foreign
    Policy In Focus contributor Roger Levermore looks at how the Olympics
    have been a staging ground for political protests, particularly
    since 1968 and the well-known fist-raising at the Mexico Olympics. He
    concludes in The Double-Edged Sword of Sport and Political Protest that
    "in all likelihood, the effectiveness of the protests surrounding
    the 2008 Olympics in China will be short-term and fade away in the
    memory. The Chinese government and International Olympic Committee
    (IOC) will heavily censor bottom-up protest (which is less likely to
    be covered by the mainstream media in any event unless it comes in
    the form of a terrorist attack). And state-led protests (which does
    interest the media more) inevitably wither in the face of the growing
    commercial and political importance of China."

    FPIF contributor Shasha Zou reviews a new book that looks at the
    political context of the Rome Olympics of 1960 and its echoes in the
    Beijing Olympics of today. In 1960, she writes in Rome vs. Beijing,
    "The two competing superpowers used the Olympics as a battleground
    for propaganda, viewing each medal won, whistle blown, and smatter of
    spectator applause as a symbol of their superiority." China, similarly,
    is hoping that its staging of and performance in the Olympics will
    demonstrate its own ascendance to the top ranks of world leadership.

    In 1998, the Baltimore Orioles and Cuba's national baseball team
    split two games in a historic effort at sports diplomacy. With more
    reasonable leadership in Washington, this might have been the beginning
    of a rapprochement between the two countries. But as FPIF contributor
    Saul Landau points out, nothing of the sort took place. "The games did
    not, as we know, lead to Washington's lifting of its embargo or travel
    ban," he writes in Baseball - Big and Little. "Baseball diplomacy
    led to the defection in 2002 of Cuba's star pitcher, Jose Contreras,
    who had held the Orioles to two runs in nine innings. But instead of
    joining the O's, he signed with the New York Yankees for millions of
    dollars. Even in the 21st century, Dollar Diplomacy still functions."

    The World and Food

    The food crisis continues, and the international community has not
    managed to marshal sufficient resources to tackle the problem. As
    FPIF contributor Sophia Murphy writes, food aid contributions have
    plummeted to only about one-third of 1999 levels, and the UN reports
    that countries have offered less than half of what is needed for just
    the most severely affected countries.

    At the same time, she writes in Food Aid Emergency, the system of
    food aid need serious reform so that the food sent to recipient
    countries helps their economies rather than wrecks them: "The only
    sensible response to the mounting numbers of emergencies is to match
    emergency donations, dollar for dollar or better, with investments in
    the long-term capacity of agriculture to provide us with the food,
    feed, and fiber we need. These longer-term investments must go to
    publicly held food reserves, investment in sustainable technologies,
    vast improvements in water management, investment in roads, storage,
    communications, and other infrastructure."

    The institutions of the international community have not done any
    better than the individual nation-states in addressing the food
    crisis. These institutions like the World Bank and the World Trade
    Organization (WTO), argues FPIF contributor Alexandra Spieldoch
    in The Food Crisis and Global Institutions, "are still focused on
    investment and growth in agriculture based on privatization schemes,
    deregulation, and trade facilitation. This is exactly the approach
    that has contributed to many of the problems we are seeing today in
    the food system; it's likely that this approach will worsen rather
    than ease the crisis."

    Down for the Count (Dracula)

    Meanwhile, international institutions like the WTO are facing crises
    of their own. FPIF contributors Walden Bello and Mary Lou Malig point
    out in The Dracula Round that the WTO has been facing a number of
    near-death experiences. "Like the good Count of Transylvania, the
    World Trade Organization's Doha Round of negotiations has died more
    than once," they write. "It first collapsed during the WTO ministerial
    meeting held in Cancun in September 2003. After apparently coming
    back from the dead, many observers thought it passed away a second
    time during the so-called Group of Four meeting in Potsdam in June
    2007 -- only to come back yet again from the dead. Now the question is
    whether the unraveling of the most recent 'mini-ministerial' gathering
    in Geneva was the silver stake that pierced the trade round's heart,
    rendering Doha dead forever."

    For a look at what might emerge as an alternative to Dracula's Doha,
    check out Abbas Jaffer's review of FPIF contributor Mark Engler's new
    book on globalization. It's part of our new feature - FPIF Picks -
    that gives you short reviews of the best foreign policy books, films,
    and music.

    Mexico and Iran

    Mexico is the third-largest supplier of oil to the United States
    (after Canada and Saudi Arabia). So the United States is very
    interested in the future of the Mexican oil industry, particularly
    the opportunities that open up for foreign investment if the complex
    is privatized. As FPIF contributor Manuel Perez-Rocha explains in
    Mexico's Oil Referendum, the debate on privatization is increasingly
    taking place in a regional context. The North American Security and
    Prosperity Partnership (SPP) - an effort by the leaders of Canada,
    the United States, and Mexico to bump NAFTA up a notch - definitely
    has oil on its agenda. "One of the SPP's core projects is the creation
    of an integrated 'regional energy market' in order to guarantee the
    supply of oil to the market that uses it most - the United States. The
    SPP has proven to be a great help to oil companies for the grab of
    Mexico's reserves," Perez-Rocha writes.

    Are Iran and the United States on the brink of détente? After the
    July 19 meeting between Iranian, European, and U.S. negotiators, the
    optimists and the pessimists were evenly divided. FPIF contributor
    William O. Beeman doesn't seem much in the way of movement forward. "So
    little happened at the July 19 meeting, it could hardly be called
    a diplomatic encounter," he writes in The Iranian Chess Game
    Continues. "In fact, Iran has been pursuing a productive diplomatic
    course. Rather than responding to deadlines and ultimatums, Iran has
    steadily put forward proposals for resolving its differences with
    the European and American governments over its nuclear energy program."

    New Schedule

    Mondays, we've been told, are a bad day for newsletters. Inboxes
    are crowded with email, there's less time to read, and folks are in
    a post-weekend slump. So, with this issue of World Beat, we'll be
    switching to a Tuesday publication schedule.

    Links

    Human Rights Watch, "Overview of Human
    Rights Issues in Georgia," World Report 2008;
    http://hrw.org/englishwr2k8/docs/2008/01/31/ georgi17743.htm

    Voice of America, "Police Quash Olympic
    Protests in Beijing, Hong Kong," August 9, 2008;
    http://www.voanews.com/english/2008-08-09-vo a8.cfm

    Roger Levermore, "The Double-Edged Sword of Sport and Political
    Protest," Foreign Policy In Focus (http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/5447);
    There are some signs that the ever-globalized mass media is helping
    to portray sport-led political protest to a large audience, yet the
    effectiveness of the protests surrounding the 2008 Olympics in China
    will quickly fade away.

    Shasha Zou, "Rome vs. Beijing: Olympics that Change the World,"
    Foreign Policy In Focus (http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/5440); David
    Maraniss' latest book, Rome 1960: The Olympics that Changed the World,
    demonstrates how Beijing 2008 is simply another chapter in the quest
    for separation between sports and state.

    Saul Landau, "Baseball - Big and Little: Its Role in U.S.-Cuba
    Relations," Foreign Policy In Focus (http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/5453);
    Perhaps young athletes from New England and Alabama can bring down
    the level of government irrationality on U.S.-Cuba policy a peg or two.

    Sophia Murphy, "Food Aid Emergency," Foreign Policy In Focus
    (http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/5450); The food price crisis has made
    demand more acute and supplies even scarcer, but it hasn't really
    changed the underlying problems with food aid as a response to hunger.

    Alexandra Spieldoch, "The Food Crisis and Global Institutions,"
    Foreign Policy In Focus (http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/5442); Can
    global institutions and governments, in the midst of a food crisis,
    finally get it right?

    Walden Bello and Mary Lou Malig, "The Dracula Round," Foreign Policy
    In Focus (http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/5441); Will the WTO's Doha
    talks come back from the dead?

    Abbas Jaffer, "A Third Way: Globalization from Below," Foreign Policy
    In Focus (http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/5443); According to Mark Engler,
    the future of globalization is in question. Will the fight between
    "imperial globalization" and "corporate globalization" lead to the
    rise of democratic globalization?"

    Manuel Perez-Rocha, "Mexico's Oil Referendum," Foreign Policy
    In Focus (http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/5449); Opposition parties
    organized a non-binding referendum to fight government efforts to
    gut a constitutional ban on private investment in the oil industry.

    William O. Beeman, "The Iranian Chess Game Continues," Foreign Policy
    In Focus (http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/5445); Diplomacy between Iran
    and the United States has entered the opening gambit stage and Iran
    appears to be winning at this point.

    --Boundary_(ID_tvYdqz/Hh2yXbUOuUCZI3g)--
Working...
X