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Q&A: South Ossetia Dispute

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  • Q&A: South Ossetia Dispute

    Q&A: SOUTH OSSETIA DISPUTE

    By Guardian Unlimited
    8/12/2008

    The history behind the breakaway region's push for independence

    Why has fighting broken out?

    The South Ossetians and Georgians have been sniping at each other for
    several weeks, and patience on both sides has finally snapped. Along
    with Georgia's other breakaway region, Abkhazia, South Ossetia has
    enjoyed de facto independence since the early 1990s, but Tbilisi
    has never recognized the loss of its territory. The dispute between
    Georgia and the two regions was called "the frozen conflict" because
    the issues remain unresolved, but there was no fighting. The heat
    began to rise this year when the west recognized Kosovo, against
    Russia's advice. The South Ossetians and Abkhazians argued that if
    Kosovo could be independent, then so could they.

    What is the basis of the region's claim to independence?

    The Ossetians are descendants of a tribe called the Alans. Like
    the Georgians, the Ossetians are Orthodox Christians, but they have
    their own language. In Soviet times, the Ossetians had an autonomous
    region within Georgia. The Georgians say the Ossetians cooperated
    with the Bolsheviks and tended to be more pro-Soviet. Their ethnic
    kin live across the border in the Russian region of North Ossetia,
    so today they feel more drawn to Russia than to Georgia, and many
    have Russian passports.

    Abkhazia, on the Black Sea coast, was also an autonomous region
    of Georgia in Soviet times. It has a mixed population of Abkhaz,
    Mingrelians, Greeks, Armenians, Russians and Georgians, and a small
    but significant Muslim minority. Thousands of ethnic Georgians fled
    their homes in Abkhazia during the civil war in the early 90s and
    now live as refugees in Tbilisi and Moscow.

    Why did Georgia attack in South Ossetia?

    On Thursday, Georgian forces launched a surprise attack and briefly
    took the South Osssetian capital, Tskhinvali. Georgia said it had
    made the assault in order to stop separatist fighters attacking
    civilians. The attack followed months of what Georgia described as
    Russian provocation, including the firing of Russian missiles at
    Georgian territory. Russia also cut off air service and mail between
    the two countries, and refused Georgian exports.

    Georgia may have hoped that with Vladimir Putin, the prime minister,
    away in Beijing, it could successfully reassert control of Ossetia
    with a minimum of fuss. If so, it was a colossal miscalculation: the
    Russians retaliated with massive force and the tiny Georgian army
    was soon forced to pull back from South Ossetia as Russian forces
    pressed home their advantage to penetrate Georgia proper.

    Russia says it has stopped all operations, but there are still reports
    of military activity.

    Why did Russia react so strongly?

    Russia says it cannot stand aside because many of the people in the
    breakaway regions are its citizens. Resorting to apocalyptic rhetoric,
    Russia has accused Georgia of committing genocide, drawing comparisons
    with Srebrenica, in the former Yugoslavia, where 8,000 Bosnian Muslims
    were massacred by Serbs during the Bosnia war.

    Georgia, for its part, accuses Russia of meddling in its internal
    affairs and supporting the separatists, although Russia's peace keepers
    are supposed to be in a neutral role. Georgia also accuses Russia of
    double standards in brutally suppressing its own separatist rebellion
    in Chechnya while encouraging separatists in Georgia.

    What does Russia want?

    In the short term, Russia has made no secret of its desire for
    "regime change". Moscow wants a more pliant leader in Tblisi than the
    US-educated Mikhail Saaskhasvili, America's staunchest ally in the
    region, who is determined to take Georgia into Nato. He also came
    into office pledging to reassert control over Georgia's breakaway
    provinces. More generally, Russia is sending a signal to its neighbors
    ? which include Ukraine ? that they are still within the Russian sphere
    of influence, and that there are clear limits to their rapprochement
    with the west. The line in the sand for Russia is that it does not
    want Nato in its back yard. Russia has been equally vociferous in
    resisting the stationing of parts of a US missile shield in Poland
    and the Czech Republic.

    What are the wider implications?

    The short war has highlighted US impotence in the region, despite its
    strong verbal support for Georgia. The EU -and particularly the French
    president, Nicolas Sarkozy - has taken the diplomatic lead, leaving
    the Americans on the sidelines. Meanwhile, Russia has forcefully made
    the point that it is not to be trifled with in its own backyard. More
    broadly, South Ossetia highlights the fact that the world community
    cannot agree on rules governing the independence of small regions.
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