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  • War a la carte

    Australia.TO, Australia
    Aug 25 2008



    War à la carte

    The US is inventing wars aplenty these days. Will it be Iran or
    Ossetia this month? asks Eric Walberg


    Last week, Georgia launched a major military offensive against the
    rebel province South Ossetia , just hours after President Mikheil
    Saakashvili had announced a unilateral ceasefire. Close to 1,500 have
    been killed, Russian officials say. Thirty thousand refugees, mostly
    women and children, streamed across the border into the North Ossetian
    capital Vladikavkaz in Russia .

    The timing ' and subterfuge ' suggest the unscrupulous Saakashvili was
    counting on surprise. `Most decision makers have gone for the
    holidays,' he said in an interview with CNN. `Brilliant moment to
    attack a small country.' Apparently he was referring to Russia
    invading Georgia , despite the fact that it was Georgia which had just
    launched a full-scale invasion of the `small country' South Ossetia,
    while Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin was in Beijing for the
    Olympics. Twenty-seven Russian peacekeepers and troops have been
    killed and 150 wounded so far, many when their barracks were shelled
    by Georgian forces at the start of the invasion. Georgian State
    Minister for Reintegration Temur Yakobashvili rushed to announce that
    their mini-blitzkreig had destroyed ten Russian combat planes ( Russia
    says two) and that Georgian troops were in full control of the capital
    Tskhinvali.

    Russia's Defense Ministry denounced the Georgian attack as a `dirty
    adventure.' From Beijing , Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said,
    `It is regrettable that on the day before the opening of the Olympic
    Games, the Georgian authorities have undertaken aggressive actions in
    South Ossetia .' He later added, `War has started.' Russian President
    Dmitry Medvedev vowed that Moscow will protect Russian citizens ' most
    South Ossetians hold Russian passports. The offensive prompted Moscow
    to send in 150 tanks, to launch air strikes on nearby Gori and
    military sites, and to order warships to Georgia 's Black Sea coast.

    Georgia's national security council declared a state of war with
    Russia and a full military mobilisation. US military planes are
    already flying Georgia 's 2,000 troops in Iraq ' the third-largest
    force after the United States and Britain ' back to confront the
    Russians. By Sunday, despite early claims of victory, Georgian troops
    had retreated from South Ossetia , leaving diplomatic rubble behind
    which will be very hard to clear. Truth is stranger than fiction in
    Georgia .

    The writing has been on the wall for months. Georgian President
    Saakashvili's fawning over Western leaders at the `emergency' NATO
    meeting in April and his pre-election anti-Russian bluster in May made
    it clear to all that Georgia is the more-than-willing canary in the
    Eastern mine shaft. The Georgian attack on South Ossetia's capital
    Tskhinvali ' I repeat ' just hours after Saakashvili declared a
    cease-fire, looks very much like an attempt to reincorporate the rebel
    province into Georgia unilaterally. But whoever is advising the brash
    young president ignores the postscript ' no pasaran! South Ossetia has
    been independent for 16 years and is not likely to drape flowers on
    invading Georgia tanks. It also just happens to have Russia as patron.

    The aftershocks of this wild gamble by Saakashvili are just
    beginning. This is Russia 's most serious altercation with a foreign
    country since the collapse of the Soviet Union and could escalate into
    an all-out war engulfing much of the Caucasus region. Russian warships
    are not planning to block shipments of oil from Georgia 's Black Sea
    port of Poti , Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grigory Karasin said on
    Sunday, but reserve the right to search ships coming to and from
    it. Another source naval source said, `The crews are assigned the task
    to not allow arms and military hardware supplies to reach Georgia by
    sea.' The Russians have already sunk a Georgian missile boat that was
    trying to attack Russian ships. Upping the ante, Ukraine said it
    reserved the right to bar Russian warships from returning to their
    nominally Ukrainian ' formerly Russian ' base of Sevastopol , on the
    Crimean peninsula. On Saturday, Russia accused Ukraine of `arming the
    Georgians to the teeth.'

    Georgia's other separatist region, Abkhazia, was mobilising its forces
    for a push into the Kodori Gorge, the only part of Abkhazia controlled
    by Georgia . `No dialogue is possible with the current Georgian
    leadership,' said Abkhazia's President Sergei Bagapsh. `They are state
    criminals who must be tried for the crimes committed in South Ossetia
    , the genocide of the Ossetian people.' Britain has ordered its
    nationals to leave Georgia . British charity worker Sian Davis said,
    "It's really, really quiet, eerily quiet. Everyone was either at home
    or had packed up and moved out of the city. People are really, really
    scared. People are panicking.' So far the more than 2,000 US nationals
    in this tiny but strategic country are mostly staying put.

    This is yet another made-in-the-USA war. US President George W Bush
    loudly supported Georgia 's request to join NATO in April, much to the
    consternation of European leaders. NATO promised to send advisers in
    December. Not losing any time, the US sent more than 1,000 US Marines
    and soldiers to the Vaziani military base on the South Ossetian border
    in July `to teach combat skills to Georgian troops.' The UN Security
    Council failed to reach an agreement on the current crisis after three
    emergency meetings. A Russian-drafted statement that called on Georgia
    and the separatists to `renounce the use of force' was vetoed by the
    US , UK and France . To dispel any conceivable doubt, Secretary of
    State Condoleezza Rice said Friday: `We call on Russia to cease
    attacks on Georgia by aircraft and missiles, respect Georgia 's
    territorial integrity, and withdraw its ground combat forces from
    Georgian soil.'

    But it's also yet another made-in-Israel war. A thousand military
    advisers from Israeli security firms have been training the country's
    armed forces and were deeply involved in the Georgian army's
    preparations to attack and capture the capital of South Ossetia ,
    according to the Israeli web site Debkafiles which has close links
    with the regime's intelligence and military sources. Haaretz reported
    that Yakobashvili told Army Radio ' in Hebrew, ` Israel should be
    proud of its military which trained Georgian soldiers.' `We killed 60
    Russian soldiers just yesterday,' he boasted on Monday. `The Russians
    have lost more than 50 tanks, and we have shot down 11 of their
    planes. They have enormous damage in terms of manpower.' He warned
    that the Russians would try and open another battlefront in Abkhazia
    and denied reports that the Georgian army was retreating. `The
    Georgian forces are not retreating. We move our military according to
    security needs.'

    Israelis are active in real estate, tourism, gaming, military
    manufacturing and security consulting in Georgia, including former Tel
    Aviv mayor Roni Milo and Likudite and gambling operator Reuven
    Gavrieli. `The Russians don't look kindly on the military cooperation
    of Israeli firms with the Georgian army, and as far as I know,
    Israelis doing security consulting left Georgia in the past few days
    because of the events there,' the former Israeli ambassador to Georgia
    and Armenia , Baruch Ben Neria, said yesterday. Since his posting, Ben
    Neria has represented Rafael Advanced Defense Systems in Georgia .

    By Sunday, Putin was in Vladikavkaz and said it is unlikely South
    Ossetia will ever be reintegrated into Georgia . There are really only
    two possible scenarios to end the conflict: a long-term stalemate or
    Russian annexation of South Ossetia . The former is beginning to look
    pretty good, and Saakashvili is probably already ruing his rash
    move. The Georgian president is clearly hoping he can suck the US into
    the conflict. Alexander Lomaya, secretary of Georgia 's National
    Security Council, said only Western intervention could prevent all-out
    war. But it is very unlikely Bush will risk WWIII over this scrap of
    craggy mountain.

    When US puppets get out of line, like a certain Saddam Hussein, they
    are easily abandoned. Saakashvili would be wise to recall the fate of
    the first post-Soviet Georgian president, Zviad Gamsakhurdia, also a
    darling of the US (in 1978 US Congress nominated him for the Nobel
    Peace Prize). He rode to victory on a wave of nationalism in 1990,
    declaring independence for Georgia and officially recognising the
    `Chechen Republic of Ichkeria'. But South Ossetia wanted no part of
    the fiery Gamsakhurdia's chauvinistic vision and declared its own
    `independence'. Engulfed by a wave of disgust a short two years later,
    abandoned by his US friends, he fled to his beloved Ichkeria. He snuck
    back into western Georgia , looking for support in restive Abkhazia,
    but his uprising collapsed, prompting Abkhazia to secede.

    Gamsakhurdia died in 1993, leaving the two secessionist provinces as a
    legacy, and was buried in Chechnya . Saakashvili rehabilitated him in
    2004 and had his remains interred in Mtatsminda Pantheon with other
    Georgian `heroes'. Truth really is stranger than fiction in Georgia
    . Now the burning question is: will history repeat itself?

    *** Eric Walberg writes for Al-Ahram Weekly. You can reach him at

    www.geocities.com/walberg2002/

    http://www.australia.to/index.php?option=com_con tent&view=article&id=183:eric-walberg& catid=13:north-america&Itemid=36
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