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Farewell To Illusion. South Ossetian Events Lay Bare Crisis In Russi

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  • Farewell To Illusion. South Ossetian Events Lay Bare Crisis In Russi

    FAREWELL TO ILLUSION. SOUTH OSSETIAN EVENTS LAY BARE CRISIS IN RUSSIA'S MILITARY-POLITICAL RELATIONS WITH CLOSEST ALLIES
    by Vladimir Mukhin

    Nezavisimaya Gazeta
    Aug 22 2008
    Russia

    Military cooperation of CIS countries is falling apart before the
    eyes of ODKB General Secretary Nikolay Bordyuzha (22 August 2008,
    Nezavisimaya Gazeta)

    Most of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (ODKB) member
    countries that are considered Russia's closest allies have an extremely
    reserved attitude towards its tough actions taken to repel the Georgian
    aggression in South Ossetia. It became obvious following a routine
    summit meeting held by defence ministers in Yerevan yesterday [21
    August]. Its participants refrained from openly supporting Moscow's
    military actions against Georgia.

    Only just recently, the ODKB leaders made declarations on plans
    to form peacekeeping subunits and the possibility of engaging them
    in operations in hot spots on CIS territory. These plans have been
    forgotten now, while Russia's ODKB allies either keep silent about
    the peace-coercing operation or cover it in the tone that does not
    suit Russian interests.

    Even though ODKB General Secretary Nikolay Bordyuzha expressed an
    unfavourable assessment of Georgian actions on behalf of the ODKB
    Permanent Council, that organization eventually produced no specific
    documents. In addition, Bordyuzha declared that "an assessment of
    the entire situation that is currently shaping not only in Georgia or
    South Ossetia but also in the foreign-policy area as a whole" would
    be made at the summits to be held by the foreign diplomatic chiefs and
    leaders of ODKB member states next September. Will it not be too late?

    Uzbekistan, which was backed by Moscow in the rebellious days of 2005
    Andijon events, has still not voiced its position on Moscow's actions
    in South Ossetia.

    Also silent is Tajikistan, whose independence and territorial integrity
    were defended by Russia and its ODKB allies in the early 1990's.

    At a meeting with the Kazakhstani president the other day,
    Kyrgyzstani leader Kurmanbek Bakiyev declared: "Conflicts such as
    the one between Russia and Georgia should be resolved exclusively
    based on international law and only by political and diplomatic
    methods." Meanwhile, Kazakhstani President Nursultan Nazarbayev
    emphasized for his part that "Russian mass media described the
    situation as a humanitarian catastrophe and genocide of Ossetian
    people. The truth will probably become clear later." Thus, they have
    already decided that the military force applied by Russia against
    Georgia was unjustified.

    One would think that Armenia should be interested in military support
    of the Russian Federation but that country, too, is sitting on two
    chairs. During the military fighting in South Ossetia, the Armenian
    Foreign Ministry expressed its hope that the warring sides would
    make efforts to resolve as soon as possible disputable issues through
    dialogue but did not condemn in any way the facts of aggression and
    genocide. Let us note that shortly before the Armenian military took
    part in NATO's Immediate Response 2008 exercises, whose scenario
    resembled significantly the dynamics of military operations in South
    Ossetia.

    Today, on 22 August, is the beginning of the fourth and final stage of
    the joint command and staff ODKB Rubezh 2008 exercises, whose active
    phase will be held on the Marshall Bagramyan training grounds located
    40 km west of Yerevan. After accomplishing tasks aimed at organizing
    a joint defence operation protecting sovereignty and territorial
    integrity of Armenia, the troops will practice actions intended to
    rebuff an aggressor's invasion. But the question of who should be
    considered an aggressor remains sort of off screen, and so does the
    fact that of all the seven ODKB countries only Armenian and Russian
    subunits really take part in the manoeuvres.

    After finishing the ODKB military manoeuvres, Armenia will smoothly
    start exercises with NATO countries Joint Bow/Joint Lancebearer on
    its territory in late September. Their scenario will be based on NATO
    documents "on actions in reaction to crises." Thus, it may happen one
    day that specifically NATO becomes the main guarantor of stability
    in the Caucasus.
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