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Abrupt deceleration of import growth rates expected in Armenia

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  • Abrupt deceleration of import growth rates expected in Armenia

    Abrupt deceleration of import growth rates expected in Armenia

    2008-12-13 22:51:00


    ArmInfo. The durable unfavorable situation in the world economy and its
    deepening has caused deceleration in the growth rates of export from
    Armenia, particularly, in Jan-Oct 2008 the export growth rate was
    practically equal to zero. Despite the maintenance of the growth of
    import to Armenia, the import growth rates are expected to decelerate
    due to demand reduction in the domestic market. This is recorded in the
    Protocol of the December 2 sitting of Board of the Central Bank of
    Armenia (CBA), the CBA press-service told ArmInfo.

    At the same time, the growth rates of private transfers to Armenia
    slowed down in October. In this connection, the CBA Board thinks that
    international organizations' forecasts about cumulative risks due to
    worsening of prospects for Russia's economy development will mostly
    affect money transfers. The matter also concerns the forecast of the
    International Monetary Fund which says that the economic growth of
    Russia will fall to 3% in 2009.

    According to the National Statistical Service of Armenia, the foreign
    trade turnover grew by 31,5% in Jan- Oct 2008, and dropped by 3,4% in
    October having totalled 1381.8 bln AMD, or $4520.4 mln. Export fell by
    15,6% in October 2008, but grew by 0,9% as compared with October 2007,
    having totalled 287.7 bln AMD ($941.2 mln). Import increased by 0,1% in
    October 2008, and by 42,8% as compared with October 2007, having
    totalled 1094.1 bln AMD ($3579.2 mln).

    In early December the CBA Board decreased the refinance interest rate
    by 0.5 percentage points to 7,25%, the rates on deposits and lombard
    credits are fixed at 4,25% and 10,25% respectively.
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