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  • Clear Rolecasting Necessary

    CLEAR ROLECASTING NECESSARY
    LILIT POGHOSYAN

    Hayots Ashkharh Daily
    19 Dec 2008
    Armenia

    Armenia shouldn't negotiate instead of Karabakh

    Yesterday the Caucasian Institute of Mass Media organized a
    "summarizing" discussion on Karabakh issue, in which ex presidential
    candidate of NKR Masis Mayilyan was invited. The latter introduced
    his viewpoints regarding the developments that took place in 2008
    around the negotiation process on the settlement of Karabakh issue.

    According to the speaker the Moscow declaration gave a positive
    impulse to the negotiation process. It is another question that the
    Azerbaijani President partially devaluated Medvedev's initiative,
    making announcements, which included "elements of perfidy", saying
    that no document can exclude the possibility of restarting war.

    It is not accidental that during the meeting of OSCE Foreign Ministers
    in Helsinki, the Foreign Ministers of Minsk Group Co-Chairing states,
    as well as the Foreign Ministers of the 56 member states, enshrined
    and reconfirmed with a joint announcement, that the problem must be
    settled exclusively with peaceful methods. Moreover in response to
    the announcements made by Ilham Aliev, they underscored the principle
    of not using force in the declaration, the expression "political
    settlement" included in the Maindorf declaration was replaced by the
    formulation "peaceful settlement" in Helsinki.

    The second speaker, political scientist Alexander Iskandaryan said
    we shouldn't confuse the settlement of Karabakh conflict with the
    negotiation process: "They are two different formats, with different
    parameters, different role-players, different developments, etc. The
    developments taking place in the settlement process are not always
    expressed in the negotiation process.

    For example they build roads in Karabakh, inhabit territories
    and all the before mentioned remains unnoticed in the negotiation
    process. And visa verse the rumors circulated in the press "about
    ceding territories" are very often combined with articles about
    inhabiting the same territories, building roads, because I must repeat
    they are two different formats. That is to say Minsk process is not
    only Minsk process."

    As regards Maindorf declaration the political scientist considers it
    strange that our political figures raise hullabaloo regarding this
    neutral document.

    He said the latter simply states that: "At the moment there is no
    settlement for Karabakh issue." Meanwhile he says that Azerbaijan's
    endeavor to shift the issue to other instances is a waste of time.

    He said the existing panic is firstly conditioned by the "alarmism
    and catastrophic mentality" characteristic to our society and the
    anticipation of the radicals to gain political dividends. "Actually
    this is a problem, but it is not the problem of20Karabakh. It is
    conditioned by internal factors."

    "Is the settlement process eternal? Or one day they will bring us
    face to face with fact, forcing us to solve the issue?"

    According to A. Iskandaryan this can happen only if the ratio of
    forces is breached and the scale works to the benefit of the one
    party. Something that can't happen in the near future. "On the other
    hand who said that Karabakh conflict can't be frozen." The speaker said
    quoting the precedents of Kashmir, Taiwan, Northern Cyprus. The most
    important thing is that the negotiations continue, because dialogue
    is always better than cold and especially "hot" war.

    Moreover as Masis Mayilyan stated: "Life shows that after the meeting
    of the Presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan or the Ministers of the
    two countries, the firings usually stop on the border.

    "And what should they do to bring Karabakh to the negotiation table
    and make it a complete party to negotiation?"

    A. Iskandaryan doesn't consider this issue very urgent. Moreover he
    believes at present Karabakh has nothing to do there. Once the two
    parties achieve fundamental agreement over certain version and the
    matter comes to the discussion of certain details of Karabakh's
    principle interests, they will not invite but even ask Karabakh
    authorities to partake in the negotiation process.

    According to Masis May ilyan: "It is high time for the two Armenian
    states to develop the third direction, the process of the recognition
    of NKR, irrespective of Azerbaijan, as for example the process of
    the recognition of the genocide without Turkey's participation. They
    should start similar process in the direction of the recognition
    of Karabakh. This will make Minsk group work more effectively and
    Azerbaijan - to be more flexible in its stance."

    On the other hand: "Karabakh and Armenia must reach an agreement
    regarding their roles in the negotiation process. Which means
    there should be a clear casting of roles and competencies. Armenia
    shouldn't hold negotiations regarding issues under the jurisdiction
    of Karabakh. In that case they will have to speak with Karabakh."
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