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  • Who will be our next president, according to British sociologists?

    AZG Armenian Daily #024, 08/02/2008

    Presidential elections

    WHO WILL BE THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF OUR COUNTRY
    ACCORDING TO BRITISH SOCIOLOGISTS?

    On February 6, British "Populus" sociological
    organization presented the results of the survey
    conducted in Armenia.

    According to the organization's Founder and Strategic
    Director Andrew Cooper they conduct similar surveys by
    request of many well-known British and international
    news agencies and private companies.

    The survey in Armenia was conducted by request of
    Armenian Public TV/Radio company council. It's not the
    only survey in Armenia, it is foreseen to conduct
    another survey and an Exit poll on Election Day.

    The survey was conducted in January 21-29, in
    different provinces of Armenia, by casual choice,
    among about 1500 citizens. According to Mr. Cooper
    this number is enough to get acquainted with public
    mood.

    The analysis of the survey results was made in London,
    and the survey was conducted by Armenian Sociological
    Association under British supervision.

    Andrew Cooper mentioned that their organization has
    high rating, and they have no interests in the
    elections of Armenia.

    53 percent of the questioned think that the
    developments in Armenia keep right course. 47 percent
    don't share the opinion.

    The Founder and Strategic Director of "Populus"
    mentioned that there is a serious progress here
    according to surveys conducted in April and October.

    51 percent of the questioned are optimistic about the
    country's future, and 9 percent - pessimistic.

    The percentage of the optimists among the youth is
    higher - 61 percent.

    The number of the people, who think that coming
    elections will be fairer and freer increased by 5
    percent (30 percent), 24 percent have opposite
    opinion.

    The strongest influence on the elections have TVs - 93
    percent, 88 percent attach great importance to the
    meetings with the candidates, 83 percent - discussions
    with family members, 80 percent - the Press, and then
    comes radio- 78 percent.

    "Populis" is interested in following questions: "Who
    will better solve unemployment problem in Armenia?" -
    Serge Sarkisian - 43 percent, Arthur Baghdasarian - 28
    percent, then come Vahan Hovhannisian, A. Geghamian,
    Ter-Petrosian, etc.

    To the question "Who will make the economy stronger?"
    - Serge Sarkisian got 41 percent, A. Baghdasarian - 26
    percent, etc.

    In the settlement of Karabakh conflict the present
    Prime Minister has got 54 percent, then comes Vahan
    Hovhannisian - 14 percent, L. Ter-Petrosian - 13
    percent, etc.

    In Genocide recognition issue 40 percent rely on Serge
    Sarkisian, 17 percent- Vahan Hovhannisian, 12 percent
    - Arthur Baghdasarian and 11 percent - Levon
    Ter-Petrosian.

    In the question of national security the leader is
    Serge Sarkisian (46 percent), then comes Arthur
    Baghdasarian - 18 percent, Vahan Hovhannisian - 14
    percent.

    In the settlement of social and economic issues the
    leader is again Serge Sarkisian.

    In the struggle against corruption Serge Sarkisian has
    the lowest rating - 28 percent, according to 19
    percent Arthur Baghdasarian will struggle against that
    disaster, Geghamian and Ter-Petrosian have 12 percent
    each, and Vahan Hovhannisian - 11 percent.

    Summarizing this part of the survey Andrew Cooper
    mentioned that Serge Sarkisian holds the lead
    unequivocally.

    According to the survey, the ratings of the parties
    (from 1 to 100 unit) are the following -

    Republican Party - 56,89, "Prosperous Armenia" -
    46,49, "Orinats Erkir" - 46, 33, ARF Dashnaktsutyun -
    41, 74, "National Unity" - 34,04, ADP - 32,57,
    People's Party - 32,21.

    56 percent of the questioned answered that they are
    going to participate in the elections, 24 percent
    mentioned of the probability of their participation in
    the elections.

    The results of the question "who will you vote for?"
    is the following: Serge Sarkisian - 50,7 percent,
    Arthur Baghdasarian - 13,4 percent, Levon
    Ter-Petrosian - 12,6 percent, Vahan Hovhannisian - 7,6
    percent, Artashes Geghamian - 6,4 percent, Tigran
    Karapetian - 4,5 percent, Vazgen Manoukian - 3,2
    percent. The rest of the candidates have got lower
    percentage.

    According to Populus the rating of the Prime Minister
    increased by 8 percent compared with October.

    Andrew Cooper concluded that the Armenian citizens are
    optimistic in the future of Armenia and think that the
    country has taken the right course, consequently, the
    Strategic Director of the Populus will not be
    surprised if Serge Sarkisian wins the presidential
    elections with "good results", as he is more supported
    than the other candidates taken together.

    By Armen Manvelian, translated by L.H.
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