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Crisis of Energy Relations Possible In This Region In Coming Years

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  • Crisis of Energy Relations Possible In This Region In Coming Years

    "CRISIS OF ENERGETIC RELATIONS IS POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION IN COMING
    YEARS" EXPERT

    YEREVAN, FEBRUARY 7, NOYAN TAPAN. The new stage of the formation of the
    energetic policy system of the Southern Caucasus region is starting at
    the beginning of the 21st century, which is marked by the return of
    Russia into this territory and its active role, as well as by the
    involvement of Iran in the energetic processes of the Southern Caucasus
    for the first time. This opinion was expressed by Sevak Sarukhanian, a
    candidate for politology and the Deputy Head of the Noravank fund, in
    his speech made at the February 7 international press conference
    dedicated to the cooperation problems of the countries of the Caucasus
    and the Near East in the formation process of the regional security.

    The Iranian participation was mainly stipulated by the signing of the
    agreement on the Armenia-Iran gas main construction, as well as by the
    endorsement of the energetic cooperation with Azerbaijan. The latter is
    likely to pass to a completely different level after Azerbaijan puts
    into operation the gas main providing a possibility to export the
    Azerbaijani gas to the northern parts of Iran. According to the
    speaker, the Azerbaijan-Georgia-Turkey format of the energetic
    cooperation and the Armenia-Russia and the Armenia-Iran formats are, in
    fact, competing with each other. At present, it is a period, when the
    United States of America on the one hand and Russia and Iran on the
    other will cooperate with each other more closely in the region. It is
    conditioned by the fact that the political energetic situation in the
    Central Asia is radically changing: Kazakhstan will soon enter the
    world energetic market with its great reserves of oil and gas,
    Turkmenistan is developing new borders for the shipping of its gas, the
    unprecedented conflict between Turkmenistan and Iran two weeks ago
    caused the stopping of shipping of the Turkmenian gas to the northern
    parts of Iran.

    According to Sarukhanian, the endorsement of the Iran-Azerbaijan format
    of the cooperation on the one hand and the strengthening of the
    relations between Turkmenistan and Russia , as well as the signing of
    the Turkmenian-European agreement on the cooperation in the energetic
    sphere on the other are a qualitative change in the situation of the
    region. Multi-vector interests cannot be fulfilled without taking into
    consideration the interests of all the producing-exporting countries of
    the region. In this respect, the coming years will bring forth a real
    crisis of energetic relations or a compromise will be found between the
    main performers, which can play a positive role in the futher political
    integration in the region.
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