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The Armenian Revolutionary Federation: An "Alternative" To Politics

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  • The Armenian Revolutionary Federation: An "Alternative" To Politics

    THE ARMENIAN REVOLUTIONARY FEDERATION: AN "ALTERNATIVE" TO POLITICS AS USUAL?

    Gayane Abrahamyan

    EurasiaNet
    http://www.eurasianet.org/a rmenia08/news/021308.shtml
    Feb 13 2008
    NY

    In a metaphysical tangle of politics, the Armenian Revolutionary
    Federation is part of Armenia's current government while claiming to
    be running a presidential campaign in opposition to it. Some analysts
    say voters may not see the distinction.

    "We are the alternative," declared Armenian Revolutionary
    Federation-Dashnaktsutiun (ARF) presidential candidate Vahan
    Hovhannisian at a February 11 rally in the Ararat region, local media
    reported. "You want to change something in your life, to change the
    structure, we can do that. Neither the ex-government [candidate Levon
    Ter-Petrosian], nor today's [candidate Serzh Sarkisian, the current
    prime minister] can succeed, as they will change only the names."

    "One of them tries to win [voters] over by hatred and regime change.

    The other one tries to keep the status quo by using the state's
    leverage and pressure," elaborated Hrant Margaryan, an ARF leader.

    "We try to win over both [camps.]"

    The nationalist-socialist party, Armenia's oldest, supported outgoing
    President Robert Kocharian following the 1998 and 2003 presidential
    elections and was until 2007 a part of Armenia's governing coalition.

    On the eve of the 2007 parliamentary elections, it adopted
    opposition-style slogans while still holding three ministerial
    portfolios in the government. In the end, it declined to join
    Prime Minister Sarkisian's Republican Party of Armenia (RPA) and
    the Prosperous Armenia Party in a formal coalition, but gained
    four ministerial posts: Agriculture, Education and Science, Labor,
    and Healthcare.

    Some pro-government politicians question how a party can be part of
    the government, and yet criticize it. "I said it long ago: It's like
    staying a virgin and having sex at the same time," commented veteran
    RPA parliamentarian Galust Sahakian. "That's not possible."

    Given the party's 117-year history, much of the population sees the
    Dashnak - the popular name for the Armenian Revolutionary Federation -
    as a strong political force, but analysts say it is difficult to tell
    whether or not that translates into making Hovhannisian a viable
    "alternative" candidate. The campaign of Hovhannisian, a deputy
    speaker of parliament, is the first presidential campaign undertaken
    by a Dashnak leader since 1991.

    "People see the ARF as a part of the government, since for already 10
    years they have been in the government and parliament," said political
    analyst Nune Mkrtchian. "However, since there have been many positive
    changes in the spheres which they control, specifically in the Ministry
    of Education, people tend to trust the ARF."

    Some critics, though, would argue that the party's working partnership
    with the RPA is not limited to politics alone.

    Hovhannisian's daughter is married to the nephew of Prime Minister
    Sarkisian. Supporters of rival candidate Ter-Petrosian have alleged
    that Hovhannisian is trying to attract opposition voters in order to
    "share" them with Sarkisian in a run-off vote.

    In a January 30 campaign appearance, Hovhannisian termed such a
    suggestion as "a mean and insidious lie." He insisted that he is his
    own candidate. "We will go all the way to the end, and I won't give
    the votes I win to anyone."

    The criticism, though, comes not only from the Ter-Petrosian camp.

    Pro-government television stations have aired Soviet-era anti-Dashnak
    films where the party is shown as an "enemy of the nation." Dashnak
    supporters have blamed government obstructionism for causing power
    failures at two February 11 rallies. Officials have not responded to
    the charges.

    But if voters are confused about the ARF's identity ("No to the Past,
    No to the Present," proclaim slogans), a handful of campaign novelties
    introduced by the party have at least gained it notoriety.

    Among them: a take-off on a US party primary (with only two candidates,
    though; Hovhannisian won), the introduction of "contracts" with voters
    and a three-hour-long television Q&A with viewers.

    The Hovhannisian campaign claims that some 229,352 citizens have
    already signed an individual agreement with the deputy parliamentary
    speaker in which he commits to fulfill individual promises - primarily
    related to social equality, accessible healthcare, fair elections
    and rule of law - if elected president. Some party members have gone
    so far as to claim that citizens can take their contracts to court
    and petition for a judgment against Hovhannisian, in the event he is
    elected and does not fulfill the commitments. Officially, however, the
    party maintains that these so-called contracts are not legally binding.

    Regardless, sociologist Aharon Adibekyan comments that the measures
    strengthened the party's position among voters; opinion polls done
    by Sociometer (widely criticized as a pro-government pollster)
    between November and December 2007 show a 2 to 3 percent increase
    in Hovhannisian's standing. [For background see the Eurasia Insight
    archive].

    A survey of 1,500 citizens run by British pollster Populus for Armenian
    Public Television between January 21 and 29 put Hovhannisian in fourth
    place, with 7.6 percent of the vote.

    Whatever Hovhannisian's true standing, for many voters who signed the
    Dashnak candidate's agreement, the polls do little to diminish their
    need to believe that the deputy parliamentary speaker will keep his
    word. "When a person signs his name under his promises," said Narine
    Simonian, a 54-year-old doctor, "I believe that he undertook this to
    complete his work and will not forget that we will keep it and show
    it after the elections."
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