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BAKU: Problem w/Declaring Kosovo Independence is its Interpretation

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  • BAKU: Problem w/Declaring Kosovo Independence is its Interpretation

    Trend News Agency, Azerbaijan
    Feb 16 2008


    Main Problem with Declaring Kosovo Independence is its Interpretation
    - experts
    16.02.08 12:53

    Russia, Moscow, 16 February / Trend News corr R. Agayev, A. Gasimova,
    E. Huseynov / The crucial problem with declaring Kosovo's
    independence for all main figures in the conflict is the
    interpretation of the independence, the well-known Russian expert
    Sergey Markedonov said.

    On 15 February, the Kosovo Parliament approved of the resolution
    allowing the passing of a set of laws on Kosovo's independence within
    24 hours.

    ` Russia may call declaring Kosovo's independence awful, while the
    United States treat it as freedom, therefore, interpretation is very
    important,' Markedonov, who is the head of the International
    Relations Department at the Russian Institute for Political and
    Military Analysis, said to Trend on 15 February. According to the
    political scientist, in this situation Russia may act on several
    scenarios. `The first variant: as the UN Security Council has not
    recognized anything, so there is no recognition. Kosovo
    self-proclaimed its independence, but what of it?! Trans-Dniester
    also proclaimed its independence in 1990, Nagorno-Karabakh in 1991,
    and Abkhazia did that after the war with Georgia in 1993. Now Kosovo
    has done that, but the main issue is recognition of the independence
    and its legitimation by the UN,' Markedonov said. As the second
    scenario Markedonov mentioned Russia's statements on importance of
    self-proclaiming.


    Markedonov believes that Moscow will take the first position and will
    appeal to the international law. ` Russia will say the proclaiming of
    the independence is a fact. But is has no importance until the UN
    Security Council recognizes the independence,' he said.


    Markedonov did not rule out that Kosovo's independence may be
    recognized by countries, but even in this case the fact of the matter
    will not change. `Some countries still do not recognize China,
    nevertheless it manages without that. Twenty-four countries recognize
    Taiwan, but China does not. Russia cannot prohibit the States or
    other countries from recognizing Kosovo,' he said.


    `Neglect to the international law, as it is with Kosovo, weakens
    world's controllability and undermines the prestige of the
    international organizations which are in charge of the
    controllability,' the high-ranking Russian MP Mikhail Margelov said.


    The day before, the EU and U.S. representatives in the UN Security
    Council with the minority of 5 votes supported the Kosovo
    separatists, while, the remaining members of the Security Council,
    including Russia and China, opposed Kosovo's separation from Serbia.


    `The warnings that Kosovo's one-side independence may be used as a
    precedent became getting true. The Russian Foreign Ministry promised
    to change its policy towards Abkhazia and South Ossetia. And the
    heads of these two republics stated that they prepared several steps
    corresponding with the international law in case of Pristina declares
    its independence,' Margelov, who is the chair of the International
    Relations Committee at the Federation Council of Russia, said to via
    e-mail Trend on 15 February.


    Calling Kosovo `the East Timor in the center of Europe' Margelov said
    that it is difficult to foretell all aftermath of the indulgence by
    the United States and European Countries in this regard.


    The East Timor, the former Portugal colony was occupied by Indonesia
    after the demise of Portugal Empire in 1975 in defiance of UN
    decision. The East Timor sought independence from Indonesia in the
    following years. The population of East Timor vote for independence
    from Indonesia in referendum held under UN supervision in 1999. The
    international community recognized its independence in 2002.


    As to fact that separatism is a phenomenon which exists in all
    continents, Margelov cited examples. `In Iran it is the Tabriz region
    populated with the Iranian Azerbaijanis, and the Khuzestan province
    populated with Iranian Arabs. Palestine has been divided into two
    parts. In fact, Iraq is on the verge of collapse. Turkey will hardly
    admit the appearance of an independent government of Kurds on its
    borders,' he said.


    The Georgian political scientist Ramaz Sakvarelidze said that the
    recognition of Kosovo's independence poses threat to Georgia to a
    lesser degree. According to Sakvarelidze, Moscow has been recently
    stating that the possible recognition of Kosovo's independence by the
    international community will not be precedent for Russia with regard
    to the separatist regimes in Georgia and other countries.


    Mentioning the fact that only 5 out of 15 members of the UN Security
    Councils support independence of Kosovo, the political scientist
    said: `It means that the independence of the region will be partially
    recognized and the international community and Russia will not
    recognize it at all.'


    According to the expert, despite of that, the separatists constantly
    follow all changes and try to take advantage of them. Moreover,
    Russia has recently stated many times that if the independence of
    Kosovo is recognized, it will revise the status of Abkhazia and South
    Ossetia. Sakvarelidze said that recognition of Kosovo should not be
    viewed as a threat to Georgia, however he did not rule the threat may
    come from Russia.

    Since 1999, Kosovo region, which is formally a part of Serbia, has
    been controlled by the UN. Kosovo strives for independence, but
    Serbia offers only the status of autonomic region. The EU and USA are
    ready to recognize Kosovo's independence, while Russia supports the
    position of Belgrade.
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