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BAKU: Old scores flare up ahead of Armenian presidential vote

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  • BAKU: Old scores flare up ahead of Armenian presidential vote

    Trend News Agency, Azerbaijan
    Feb 18 2008


    Old scores flare up ahead of Armenian presidential vote
    18.02.08 13:53

    (dpa) - In the Armenian presidential elections Tuesday, incumbent
    Robert Kocharian is widely expected to relinquish power after 10
    years at the helm to his preferred successor Prime Minister Serzh
    Sarkasian.

    But the return of Armenia's first president Levon Ter-Petrosian after
    a near decade away from politics has made the race less certain and
    brought foreign policy difference to the fore of the campaign.

    Kosovo's declaration of independence has raised fears that separatist
    movements in the Caucasus region will flare-up harbinging fresh
    clashes along Armenia's border with Azerbaijan, where a 1994
    ceasefire left the Azeri land of Nagorno-Karabakh under Armenian
    control.

    Ter-Petrosian was forced to cede power to Kocharian in 1998 after a
    severe backlash over his conciliatory stance toward the Nagorno-
    Karabakh conflict after a six-year war that cost some 60,000 lives.

    At a press conference on the last day of campaigning Sunday,
    Armenia's former leader underlined that his stance remained
    unchanged.

    "My position is for the soonest possible resolution of the conflict
    based on a compromise and on mutual concessions," Ter- Petrosian told
    reporters Sunday.

    Kocharian and Sarkisian, dubbed the Karabakh Clan after their roots,
    have appeared less ready to compromise.

    The dispute has also drawn lines among Armenia's neighbouring states
    with Turkey coming down against the small post-Soviet state and
    closing its border in protest of Armenia's lobbying for international
    recognition as `genocide' of the killings of Armenians under the
    Turkish Ottomon empire in 1915.

    Facing blockades along two of its borders, landlocked Armenia has
    relied on international aid and its strong partnership with Russia,
    which holds a military base in the region.

    Armenia, strategically located along key transit route from the
    oil-rich Caspian and Black Seas, is in a region that has been the
    site of a battle for influence between Russia and the United States,
    with Georgia's leadership pushing it toward accession with NATO and
    energy-rich Azerbaijan figuring in European plans to diversify energy
    dependency away from Russia.

    However, Armenia's only pipeline, carrying oil from its southern
    neighbour Iran, has come under the control of Russian energy giant
    Gazprom as part of a deal that hands Russia almost total control over
    the small state's energy sector.

    Despite the border blockades, Armenia's population of around 3.2
    million has seen rapid economic progress in recent years and a
    construction boom that has buoyed Prime Minister Sarkisian's
    popularity in the upcoming elections.

    Currently polling at about 50.7 per cent, Sarkisian needs to pass a
    50-per-cent barrier to win in the first round of Tuesday's election.

    About 35,000 supporters turned up at Sarkisian's last campaign rally
    in the capital Yerevan's main square, holding his party banners
    reading Forward Armenia.

    Supporter Alvard, a 46 year-old accountant who attended the rally
    with her family said Sarkisian had her vote because "look everywhere,
    the country is growing."

    She pointed to cranes overhanging the square contrasting it with the
    "days of Ter-Petrosian" when she organized her life and that of her
    two daughters around three hours of electricity a day.

    Once a hub of Soviet manufacturing, Armenia was impoverished by the
    fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, experiencing chronic power outages,
    a situation made bleaker by the war with Azerbaijan.

    In a battle pitting Kocharin's preferred successor against his
    predecessor, Armenian political analysts say memories of the "dark
    years" under Armenia's first president will compete against today's
    frustration with perceived corruption and lack of reforms.

    Armenia's large diaspora in Europe, mainly in France, and in the
    United States put a disproportionate international interest in the
    small Caucus state's vote, but there were no clear pro-Western or
    pro-Russian divides among the nine candidates ahead of the election.

    A visit by Russian Prime Minister Viktor Zubkov with Sarkisian lent
    tacit support to the incumbent administration two weeks before the
    elections, but Ter-Petrosian was at pains to prove he had been
    assured of Moscow's neutrality by presidential favourite Dmitry
    Medvedev.

    The US, meanwhile, has threatened to withhold 235 million dollars in
    aid, while diplomatic relations with the European Union may depend on
    the fairness of Tuesday's vote, to be monitored by over 400
    international observers.
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