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  • Oskanian Warns Of Election Unrest

    OSKANIAN WARNS OF ELECTION UNREST
    By Ruben Meloyan

    Radio Liberty, Czech Republic
    Jan 9 2008

    Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian emphasized on Wednesday the
    significance of next month's presidential election for Armenia's
    international reputation and expressed concern in that regard about
    the possibility of post-election unrest in the country.

    The Armenian authorities received a major boost to their international
    legitimacy and democratic credentials with Western observers' largely
    positive assessment of their conduct of last May's parliamentary
    elections.

    "I think these elections will have an even bigger impact," Oskanian
    said of the presidential vote scheduled for February 19. "If we
    conduct them well, our positions will definitely strengthen in the
    international arena."

    "But if we hold bad elections, I can say for certain that consequences
    will be negative and that Armenia will lose the reputation it acquired
    in the past year. That will have a negative impact on our foreign
    policy," he added in a warning clearly addressed to his own government.

    Armenian leaders and the election frontrunner, Prime Minister Serzh
    Sarkisian, in particular, have said that they will do their best to
    ensure that the upcoming elections meets democratic standards.

    Opposition leaders are skeptical about such assurances, citing
    Armenia's history of electoral fraud. Some of them have threatened
    to dispute fraudulent vote results with street protests.

    Oskanian seemed worried about such possibility as he stressed the need
    for Armenian political groups to avoid election-related violence. "The
    people must make it clear to everyone that [violence] must not be a
    means of solving political issues," he told a news conference. "I have
    the impression, based on my conversations with different people, that
    the issue of achieving political objectives by means of instability
    remains on the agenda of certain political forces."

    Oskanian declined to name those forces.

    Sarkisian's most radical opposition challenger, former Levon
    Ter-Petrosian, and his allies say they still have faith in the
    government-controlled electoral process and have no intention to stage
    the kind of post-election uprising that toppled the governments of
    neighboring Georgia and other ex-Soviet states.

    Oskanian, meanwhile, sounded more positive about the upcoming election
    at a meeting later in the day with Geert-Heinrich Ahrens, head of the
    main international vote monitoring mission deployed in Armenia by the
    Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. A statement by
    the Armenian Foreign Ministry cited Oskanian as telling Ahrens that
    its work will be a "real affirmation of the establishment of democracy
    in Armenia."

    Ahrens said, for his part, that the mission will comprise 28 long-term
    and about 250 short-term observers.
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