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  • Sydney: Power among the few

    Sydney Morning Herald, Australia

    Power among the few

    Email Printer friendly version Normal font Large font Future in
    question ¦ Recep Tayyip Erdogan throws carnations to supporters at an
    election rally last year.

    July 5, 2008

    A group of young factory owners and managers gather in the Boydak
    family's summer villa to explain to a foreign visitor how their
    fast-transforming city fits into the changes of their homeland,
    Turkey.

    The setting is Kayseri, an Anatolian city known in Roman times as
    Caesarea, and now a base for at least 1000 factories employing 112,000
    workers, churning out products sent out across Europe, the Middle East
    and Central Asia - a market of 800 million people within three days'
    shipment.

    The Boydaks' are the biggest. From a local shop in 1957, the family
    has built a furniture group with $US3 billion ($3.1 billion) annual
    sales and 15,000 workers. It is now run by a third-generation scion,
    Erol Boydak, 30.

    Unlike their grandfathers and fathers, Erol Boydak and his
    industrialist friends are worldly and English-speaking, in many cases
    returned from universities in the United States or Turkey's big
    cities, but still conservative in lifestyle. No alcohol is served at
    our gathering, and the wives, wearing headscarves, remain in the
    kitchen, sending out an endless supply of pastries, nuts, fruits and
    tea.

    Located inland under a permanently snow-capped mountain, Kayseri is
    baking hot in summer, freezing in winter. Boydak points to its
    tradition as the western terminus of the Silk Road, now echoed in
    Turkey's advantage over distant East Asian rivals in an era of rising
    transport costs and just-in-time logistics.

    "It's a tough area. The land is not very good. You need to work to
    live; you have to get ready for the winter," adds Osman Koseoglu, the
    factory manager for a telecom company, Kumtel. "Working is the
    lifestyle here. Whenever you see someone is not working, he is
    rejected from society."

    The rise of industrial cities such as Kayseri, often called the
    "Anatolian tigers", has created a wider transformation in
    Turkey. Economic power has shifted from ancient Istanbul and the
    temperate Sea of Marmara region, and political power has followed. A
    new class of rich family industrialists and their workers moving into
    the burgeoning high-rise apartments of places such as Kayseri are
    tilting the politics of the secular republic founded by Kemal Ataturk
    in 1923.

    In the past month, the resulting conflict between old and new orders
    has moved closer to boiling point, threatening turmoil in a country
    regarded as a pro-Western pillar of stability for the Middle East.

    In Turkey, the moderately Islamist government - elected by the rising
    Anatolian middle class with a 46.5 per cent popular vote only a year
    ago - is defending itself in a Constitutional Court stacked with
    stalwarts of army-backed secularism. It faces a ruling that would see
    its political vehicle, the Justice and Development Party, or AKP,
    banned and 71 leading figures including the Prime Minister, Recep
    Tayyip Erdogan, and the President, Abdullah Gul, barred from political
    office for five years.

    The court's overturning last month of the parliament's recent
    legislation allowing female students to wear the Islamic headscarf at
    government universities is widely regarded as an indication the court
    will ban the party. "If they start this process, they will finish it,
    and they will close down the AKP," says Bulent Kenes, the editor of
    the English edition of Turkey's biggest-selling newspaper, Zaman.

    Another newspaper, Taraf, has published an apparent secret army
    spreadsheet entitled "Comprehensive Plan of Action" outlining moves
    involving the military, judiciary, university rectors and secularist
    media to undermine what is called a "religious reactionary
    movement". Earlier, it reported that the deputy chief justice of the
    Constitutional Court, Osman Paksut, had secretly met Turkey's land
    forces commander, General Ilker Basbug, a few days before prosecutors
    filed the case to ban the AKP.

    Paksut at first denied the meeting, then said he had met Basbug, who
    is widely expected to become chief of general staff next month, simply
    to "congratulate" the army on its recent cross-border strikes against
    Kurdish separatists in Iraq. Neither explained why the entire floor
    around Basbug's office had to be cleared for this innocent meeting and
    security cameras turned off.

    Many analysts paint the contest as one between "government" and
    "state", which have diverged since the rise of widely based party
    politics in the past couple of decades has challenged the guardians of
    the state: principally the army - answerable only to military justice
    - and judicial bodies that jail perceived challengers to secularism
    and "Turkishness".

    The AKP and its leaders, Erdogan and Gul (who comes from Kayseri),
    reflect the small-town piety of their Anatolian base, rather than the
    cosmopolitanism of Istanbul or Ankara. But they make unlikely
    Islamists, as painted by prosecutors in their lengthy charge
    sheet. Indeed, they have worked hard since first elected in 2002 to
    shape up Turkey for entry to the European Union.

    Sanar Yurdatapan, 67, composes popular music and is a veteran of
    Turkey's left. He spent 12 years exiled in Germany and now runs a
    group called Initiative for Freedom of Expression. An atheist, he has
    little sympathy for the AKP. "It's impossible for such a mind to be
    honest in human rights affairs," he says. "Their mind comes up to a
    certain extent and then they stop, because they look at the Book, and
    they say: The Book orders, I cannot discuss further."

    But he argues that the party's Islamism is a political
    colouring. "They will not change the system," he says. "They're using
    religion to take votes but they're ready to give it up in order to get
    their position."

    The real fight, he says, is about the loss of power faced by the old
    elites, resulting from the collapse of Soviet communism, and the push
    by business to join the EU.

    An earlier attempt to derail the AKP failed last year. The army
    promoted mass demonstrations against lifting the headscarf ban, and
    the Constitutional Court blocked a move to appoint Gul as president on
    a dubious ruling about parliamentary quorums. Erdogan called a general
    election last July and won a bigger vote. Gul was made president in
    August.

    #Piqued generals initially refused to salute Gul, but have since
    steadily undermined the Government indirectly. The cross-border
    campaign in Iraq, to which Erdogan reluctantly agreed to avoid
    appearing weak on national security, undermines the AKP's substantial
    Kurdish vote. A brutal police show of force at May 1 worker parades
    alienated leftists.

    An AKP ban would strengthen the view of Europe's right that Turkey is
    not democratic enough for the EU. "They are playing a football game
    giving points to the other side," Yurdatapan says. "They are trying
    their best so that Turkey will be out of Europe and they can keep
    their controls on society."

    Part of Erdogan's response has been an investigation into an
    ultra-nationalist group known as Ergenekon, named after the founding
    myth of the Turks, which says they were led out of Central Asia to
    their present homeland by a grey wolf. The group is said to originate
    in the Turkish Army's version of the "stay-behind" resistance
    structures set up by several NATO countries in the 1950s in case of
    Soviet invasion, and it is blamed for provocative attacks over the
    years variously attributed to communists, Kurds or Islamists.

    In January, prosecutors began waves of arrests that included retired
    generals and colonels, a nationalist lawyer known for prosecuting
    writers for questioning the official history of the 1915 massacre of
    Armenians, an elder columnist for the secularist newspaper Cumhuriyet
    (and said to be the ideologue of Ergenekon), and a retired Istanbul
    University rector who has opposed a Cyprus settlement backed by
    Erdogan, who wants Turkey's 1974 invasion of the island removed as an
    obstacle to EU membership.

    One former colonel was alleged to have paid an assassin to kill the
    Nobel laureate writer Orhan Pamuk. This week prosecutors arrested 21
    others, including two former generals.

    The army has toppled four civilian governments in the past 50 years,
    the most recent a "soft coup" in 1997 that ousted another government
    deemed too Islamist. So far, it seems to be relying on the
    Constitutional Court to do the job. But that will not be the end of
    it. The AKP is an avatar of an earlier Islamist party, Virtue, that
    was also banned. Erdogan has kept parliament sitting through the
    summer recess and is ready to call a snap election if there is a ban.

    Most expect the party to rebadge, and few seem concerned at 71 of its
    leaders being banned. "We chose the AKP and we will choose the new
    party," says Huseyin Cahit Canitez, another Kayseri industrialist. "We
    will find new leaders. If Abdullah Gul goes, we will find 'Mustapha
    Gul'."

    Yet Turks are worried. "It it will be a big mistake if it happens,"
    Canitez says. "Maybe it will set back Turkey by five years. That is
    something people in the army and the judiciary may not understand. But
    while they are only 4 or 5 per cent of the population, they have a lot
    of power."

    Hamish McDonald visited Turkey as guest of the business federation TUSKON.
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