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Former Soviet State May Find New Energy Reserves A Bit Of A Curse

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  • Former Soviet State May Find New Energy Reserves A Bit Of A Curse

    FORMER SOVIET STATE MAY FIND NEW ENERGY RESERVES A BIT OF A CURSE

    The Irish Times
    Thursday, July 17, 2008

    Wealth in the form of oil and gas is seeping up from the sea belonging
    to a once blighted region in the Caucasus, writes Kieran Cooke

    AS MANY countries in the West teeter on the brink of recession,
    this country of 8.5 million people in the south Caucasus finds itself
    suddenly awash with money. Oil companies have recently started mining
    vast reserves of oil and gas from deep under Azerbaijan's section of
    the Caspian Sea.

    The result is billions of dollars in royalties, and export earnings
    are flowing into the local exchequer. Last year, Azerbaijan's economy
    grew by 27 per cent - the highest GDP growth rate in the world.

    Oil seeps out of the ground in Azerbaijan, its smell fills the air. In
    ancient times, fires on the earth lit by oil and gas deposits made the
    territory a main centre of Zoroastrianism, one of the world's oldest
    religions in which fire is a sacred symbol. Near Baku, the capital,
    a forest of oil derricks stretches for miles along the Caspian shore.

    Further inland, you can actually take a bath in pure crude oil. At a
    crumbling sanatorium, visitors submerge themselves in the local crude:
    doctors say the treatment - once you've spent an hour wiping off the
    black, tarry substance - beautifies the skin, calms nerves and cures
    conditions such as psoriasis.

    Azerbaijan - part of the old Soviet Union until independence in 1991 -
    is a country of contradictions. The centre of Baku is one big building
    site, with new skyscraper hotels and apartment blocks going up on
    every corner.

    Top-of-the-range cars clog the streets: luxury goods shops are crowded
    with the newly wealthy.

    Yet, on the city outskirts, families live in what are effectively
    caves dug into the hillsides.

    The World Bank says Azerbaijan's oil earnings are likely to be at
    least $30 billion (â~B¬18.88 billion) this year alone, but average
    annual per capita incomes are still only just over $1,000. Nearly two
    million people have left the country in recent years in search of jobs.

    "Azerbaijan is a country in transition," says Ilham Aliyev, the
    country's 45-year-old president. "We have considerable resources,
    but money earned from them must be spent wisely."

    Just how wisely Azerbaijan is spending its new wealth is open to
    question, with observers watching to see whether the country will
    follow the example of Norway - carefully investing its oil wealth
    for the benefit of future generations - or go the way of Nigeria,
    where billions have been lost due to corruption.

    The early signs are not good. Transparency International, the
    body which monitors levels of corruption round the globe, lists
    Azerbaijan as one of the world's most corrupt countries. A small
    number of companies run by the supe r-rich and with powerful links
    to the ruling elite controls most non-oil sectors of the economy.

    Economists say oil money is in danger of being squandered on luxuries
    for the select few, and there are fears of inflation running out
    of control.

    Azerbaijan is one of the most strictly run of the post-Soviet states,
    with any sign of political opposition firmly stamped upon. Successive
    elections have been deemed "deeply flawed" by the international
    community.

    The media is strictly controlled and journalists regularly imprisoned:
    Emin Huseynov, a prominent journalist, is believed to be in a critical
    condition in hospital after being detained and beaten by police last
    month for attending what authorities called an illegal gathering -
    a screening of a documentary film in a Baku cafe on the life of
    Che Guevara.

    Meanwhile, international observers are concerned at a considerable
    build-up in Azerbaijan's armed forces: in the early 1990s, war broke
    out with neighbouring Armenia over a disputed highland region called
    Nagorny Karabakh.

    As a result of the conflict, Azerbaijan lost about 15 per cent of
    its territory and more than 700,000 people in the country were made
    homeless.

    At a recent armed forces day parade - the most elaborate held for
    many years - there was talk of regaining lost lands and striking a
    blow at the old enemy, Armenia.

    Perhaps of greatest concern is Azerbaijan's central position in a mo
    re comprehensive struggle for power taking place in the Caspian region.

    For years, Moscow regarded Azerbaijan and the territories of the
    Caucasus as part of its fiefdom, an area referred to as the "near
    abroad". Now Russia, armed with its new-found oil and gas wealth,
    is seeking to regain its influence in the region.

    A western oil consortium led by BP has invested billions in a 1,762km
    (1,095 miles) pipeline which pumps oil from Baku to the port of Ceyhan
    on Turkey's Mediterranean coast. Conspiracy theorists in Baku say
    powerful Russian interests - already plotting to take over western
    oil concerns in Russia itself - are now eyeing western resources in
    the Caspian region.

    Azerbaijan has tried to keep a neutral position: it maintains good
    relations with both the US and Russia and also has close ties with
    Iran, its neighbour to the south. However, some are wondering whether
    plentiful oil and gas resources are a blessing or a curse: the country
    could quickly become the new flashpoint in an increasingly bitter
    international battle for control of vital energy sources.

    --Boundary_(ID_N4KQ/GTv6hlCNWRkWOSGHw)--
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