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Azerbaijan's Posture - An Ordinary Blackmail

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  • Azerbaijan's Posture - An Ordinary Blackmail

    AZERBAIJAN'S POSTURE - AN ORDINARY BLACKMAIL
    Vardan Grigoryan

    Hayots Ashkhar Daily
    Published on June 04, 2008
    Armenia

    Without any option to refuse negotiations

    Prior to the high-level meeting between the Armenian and Azeri leaders,
    the senior representatives of both countries' Foreign Ministries
    continue their active communication with the mediator countries,
    introducing their attitudes through various statements and proposals.

    It's obvious that during the whole process of the presidential
    elections and post-electoral developments of Armenia, the official
    Baku carried out large-scale work on the international arena towards
    strengthening its positions on the Karabakh issue.

    Even different representatives of the Armenian authorities have
    mentioned in their statements many times that the Armenian diplomacy
    has been experiencing a certain lack of initiatives and ideas during
    the recent years.

    Azerbaijan is step by step trying to extract the mediators' consent
    for negotiating the return of not only the liberated territories
    but also Nagorno Karabakh; however, it confronts the international
    community's resistance, at least for the time being.

    On June 3, Azerbaijani Deputy Foreign Minister Vagif Sadikhov
    announced that the international community wanted to achieve the
    solution of the Karabakh issue through bilateral negotiations rather
    than principles. "We do really have principles, but we don't want to
    use them while assessing the current situation; we just suggest that
    you forget about them and achieve an agreement on your own."

    But because Baku is unready for mutual concessions through
    negotiations, it has recently started to make threats that it may
    resume the military operations and thus bring the international
    community face to face with the "accomplished fact".

    The recent concerns expressed by a number of European Foreign Ministers
    with regard to resuming the military operations testify to Azerbaijan's
    obvious blackmail policy. After meeting his Armenian counterpart,
    Russian Foreign Minister S. Lavrov recently rejected the possibility
    of such blackmail, "There is no military solution to the Karabakh
    conflict which began twenty years ago."

    This was immediately followed by the response of Khazar Ibrahim,
    Spokesman of the Foreign Ministry of Azerbaijan, "If Sergey Lavrov
    makes such statements, then Russia has to demand that the Armenian
    forces be immediately withdrawn from the occupied territories of
    Azerbaijan."

    Touching upon Azerbaijan's expectations from the meeting of the
    two countries' Foreign Ministers, Kh. Ibrahim added, "We want to
    know whether or not Armenia is ready for settling the conflict in a
    peaceful manner. If we see that the Armenian party is not going to
    do anything in that direction, the negotiations will become pointless."

    Does this mean that during the upcoming negotiations Azerbaijan
    is going to guide itself by the maximalistic principle which says
    "either return everything or declare a war"? We believe not, because
    the political scientists of both countries are already making sincere
    confessions that the attitude adopted by the official Baku may be
    characterized as "balancing on the boundary of breaching the rules
    of the game".

    So, while Azerbaijan is trying to resort to total blackmail in an
    attempt of threatening the international community to resume the
    Karabakh War, the Armenian party still continues to guide itself by
    the necessity of implementing the basic principles introduced by the
    mediators on November 29, 2007. Statements in this regard have been
    made several times by Armenian Foreign Minister Eduard Nalbandyan,
    both during the meeting with his counterpart in Moscow and after
    returning to Yerevan.

    Thus, during he meeting of the two countries' Presidents, the Armenian
    party will be required to solve two problems closely connected with
    each other:

    First: to resist the obvious and at the same time false blackmail
    of Azerbaijan and make it clear that by sitting around the table of
    negotiations, Baku "does not do favor" to anyone, including Armenia; it
    just accepts the absence of an alternative to the peaceful settlement
    of the Karabakh conflict.

    Second: If Azerbaijan is trying in this way to review the document
    submitted by the mediators in Madrid on November 29, 2007, Armenia
    has one option for opposing Azerbaijan's primitive trick, i.e. to
    initiate talks with Nagorno Karabakh.

    In case of ignoring the proposals clearly defined by the international
    community, Azerbaijan will have to choose between negotiating with
    Karabakh and resuming the war - prospects for which the country is
    unprepared for the time being.
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