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  • Russia - EU: Time To Make Decisions

    Viktor Beger
    X-X-Sender: [email protected]
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    RUSSIA - EU: TIME TO MAKE DECISIONS
    http://en.fondsk.ru/article.php?id=1447
    24.06.2008

    Europe
    The 21st Summit EU-Russia summit is slated for June 26-27, 2008 in
    Khanty-Mansiisk. Western Siberia is ready to greet the VIPs.

    The meeting will mark the beginning of raising relations between the
    EU and Russia onto a new level, as the process of working out a new
    fundamental agreement to replace the 1997 Agreement on Cooperation
    and Partnership has actually begun.

    The negotiating process is expected to last for about 12 months
    with about three years to ratify the adopted document. The coming
    summit will become a major milestone in the formation of the legal
    foundations of international relations in the 21st century.

    *** The parties have completed the complicated and controversial
    process of coordination of their positions for the preparation
    of a document that would define the pattern of future EU-Russia
    relations. The parties attested that the time for making concrete
    decisions that are not be postponed any longer has come.

    On May 26 the parties to the negotiations issued a mandate for the
    right to hold negotiations by Moscow and Brussels, having overcome
    the previous controversy between the EU and Russia as at large and
    at the level of bilateral relations of a number of countries (Poland,
    Great Britain, Finland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia) with Russia.

    On the one hand the EU Commission of Foreign on External relations and
    the policies of good-neighbourliness apparently is taking into account
    the potentiality of claims to Russia made by certain EU member-states,
    Lithuania, for one, turning into a never-ending process. Its demand
    that Russia ratify the Eneergy Charter and restart supplying oil
    to that country, settle "the frozen conflicts" in Georgia and the
    Transdniester Republic, fulfil its pledges made at the moment it was
    granted membership of the European Council is now replaced by "the
    idea" of making Russia pay compensation for the harm done by "the
    occupation USSR regime" to it. The meeting slated for June the 25 in
    Warsaw of foreign ministers of Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Georgia,
    Bulgaria, Romania, the Czech Republic and Sweden on the initiative
    of Vilnius aimed at changing the current mechanism of Abkhazian
    conflict settlement, as well as replacing the Russian peace-keepers
    by a Western contingent, probably the way it was done in Kosovo.

    On the other hand the expedience of a transit to working out a
    new fundamental EU-Russia agreement is apparently brought home
    to the parties by their realisation of the fact that in this case
    "initiatives" are not put forward by Lithuania itself as it aims at
    "delegating" to the EU the solution of some of its acute problems and
    withholding them from the legal capacity of the United Nations, as well
    as entwining the EU into a system of military and political relations
    in the spirit of some sort of EU's "NATOization". This assumption
    finds confirmation in both its initiatives regarding Georgia and
    the Transdniester Republic and its declared preparedness to go into
    negotiations about deploying elements of the US anti-missile shield
    on its territory.

    Given that the EU indicates its stance on the foreign political
    course of Georgia and Ukraine, the creation of GUAM and the project
    of establishing of the Caspian-Black and Baltic Seas energy transit
    space, it is being drawn, and appears to be gradually drawn into the
    system of the military-and- political relations of the Euro-Atlantic
    states. This is tantamount to a suggestion to be involved in the
    process of supporting interests of the countries that are not its
    members.

    *** Framing of a new basic EU-Russia agreement is linked to the
    problems of the EU development, the rotation in it since July 1,2008
    of the chair country (France) as well as the results of the recent
    EU-USA summit. The issue of consequences of the June 12 referendum
    on the Lisbon Treaty in Ireland will be looked into under the French
    chairmanship. By January 1, 2009 it must be ratified by the remaining
    9 EU member states.

    On June 10 EU-US summit in Slovenia it was agreed to strengthen
    bilateral cooperation, joint moves with regard to Iran and criteria
    of a new international treaty on the climate were discussed. Also
    on the agenda were issues of development of relations with Russia,
    the situations in the Balkans situation including Kosovo and on
    the Middle East, the problem of the growth of world food prices and
    fighting against infectious diseases in Africa.

    The visit of the US president to Europe in June is evidence of
    his country's striving to extend cooperation with Germany, France
    and Italy.

    George W.Bush tried to attract attention to N.Sarkozy's being now his
    "best friend" replacing Tony Blair, and France - America's "first
    friend." N.Sarkozy agrees to strengthen France's ties with NATO not
    ruling out the potentiality of its return to the bloc's military
    structure.

    The French insist on deciding the issue the participation of France's
    armed forces in the Alliance's military operations on their own
    without handing them over to the NATO command in the time of peace,
    and retaining its sovereign control of its nuclear potential. On June
    17, 2008 French president published the basic articles of "The White
    Book" referring to the strategic priorities of defence and security
    of his country for the coming 15 years.

    At the same time, the French initiative of the creation under the
    aegis of the European Council of what is known as the Mediterranean
    Union (Tunisia, Morocco, Libya, Algiers, Turkey, Egypt, France,
    Greece, Italy, Spain, Malta and Portugal) is being implemented. The
    Committee on External Policies of the Europarliament plans to
    discuss conclusion of "specific agreements" (of the Black Sea
    alliance) with Black Sea basin countries that are not EU members
    with an eye to increasing the EU economic influence in the region
    in order to ensure its participation in the process of settlement
    of regional conflicts. Turkey, Russia, Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia
    as well as countries without access to the Black Sea, including
    Armenia, Azerbaijan and Albania are expected to become the parties
    of such cooperation. Condoleezza Rice must have had these and other
    organisations in mind speaking about "the tied-up Europe" with
    "working relationships."

    But are the current military-and-political relations and those that
    are taking shape compatible with the EU mission? The EU member-states
    that are not NATO countries (Austria, Cyprus, Finland, Ireland, Malta
    and Sweden) have every right to ask this question. But given the EU
    needs to have new military-and-political functions, what would the
    expanding NATO do?

    Regardless of the intensified development of military-and-political
    ties within the European Economic Council, installing in the near
    future within the EU framework of any semblance of integrated military
    force is highly unlikely. This in turn would mean that the domineering
    Western military-and-political structure will be NATO.

    France's intention to pursue its independent policies was mentioned
    by the Russian premier in early June in his interview with "Le
    Monde" after negotiations he had with N.Sarkozy, who then said:
    "France has been pursuing and I hope continues to pursue independent
    foreign policies." In turn Vladimir Putin said:"We expect much from
    France's chairmanship of the EU, first and foremost, a constructive
    dialogue aiming at the establishment of the necessary legal base for
    our interaction with the EU."

    *** The parties to the Khanty-Mansiisk summit would definitely take
    into consideration the need to form in the new fundamental agreement
    articles regarding cooperation of the EU and Russia as partners,
    unless the Russian proposals on the raising of the role of the three
    branches of the European civilisation (Russia-EU-North America) with
    an eye at ensuring the uniformity of the space of "Larger Europe"
    stretching from Vancouver to Vladivostok. All the more so, Sergei
    Lavrov stressed, the EU agreed to devote the first article of the
    new agreement to the area of security and defence.

    At the same time the shifting of the centre of weight of
    decision-making to commissions and bilateral contacts does not ensure
    their efficient observance. This is evidenced by the lack of future
    of "road maps" aiming to form uniform spaces (in economy; freedoms,
    security and justice; external security, R&D and education) that
    were approved at the May 2005 EU-Russia summit, are now just pieces
    of paper.

    It has been noted that the term "integration" has become very
    rare in the EU-Russia diplomatic practices. Russian proposals on
    the preparation of a "short-term but legally binding "agreement
    agreed with the general European one where collective security and
    exclusion of marginalisation and isolation of different states and
    identification of zones with a different degree of security appear to
    be quite logical. This is in full related to the military, financial,
    energy, food and environmental security.

    The start of negotiations on the preparation of a new EU-Russia
    agreement was synchronous with the awareness - to quote P.Mandelson,
    the EU Commissioner for Trade - of the fact of "inadmissibility"
    of making "excess or over-politicised" claims to Russia, and the
    entry into its final stage of the process of Russia's entering
    the WTO. That exactly requires the will of the EU as a consolidated
    political subject, including the problem of export tariffs, activities
    of state-run companies engaged in trade in commodities and services,
    as well as the scope of the support of agriculture.

    The dry statistics of the EU-Russia trade turnover (half of Russia's
    trade turnover, Russia's third place as an exporter to the EU countries
    and the fourth biggest importer of their products) are an indication
    of the potential future cooperation in the global economy. The
    Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development OECD) with its
    membership of 18 EU members-states and 26 NATO countries responsible
    for about two-thirds of the world's commodities and services can
    make its contribution to this cooperation. In 2007 5 countries
    (Russia, Estonia, Slovenia, Israel and Chile) were invited to go into
    negotiations about entering the OECD. Another 5 countries (Brazil,
    China, India, Indonesia and South Africa were invited o enter talks
    about the potential up scaling of the organisation).

    Viewed against the background of the discussions by G8 finance
    ministers in Osaka, and energy ministers (together with the invited
    ministers from China, India and South Korea) discussions in Rome
    of correspondingly the problems of the financial, foodstuffs and
    raw materials' crises as well as the growth of energy prices, the
    Paris-based OECD Ministerial Council made the decision regarding the
    Sovereign Funds of welfare and policies of the recipient countries,
    which are huge financial flows. Remembering that, I must say that no
    real decision was made on that score

    The agenda of the July 2008 G8 summit in Japan will have on it the
    problems of the global environment, development of African countries
    and non-proliferation of nuclear arms.

    However, even at present we can be confident that the Russian energy
    policies as one of the biggest suppliers 0f oil would undoubtedly
    in the focus of attention of the G8 discussions, and one of the most
    significant themes pf of the summit would be measures to reduce the
    growth of global oil prices. The way we see it, the Russian position
    voiced by premier Vladimir Putin in May of 2008 at the talks with
    the French premier Francois Fijion should remain unchanged, meeting
    in full as it does the interests of ensuring national security and
    competitiveness of this country.

    *** Russia and the EU are now at the threshold of a new stage of
    cooperation.

    Much will depend on principal decisions made in Khanty-Mansiisk that
    would form the basis of international relations. The timely beginning
    of talks and the signing of the agreement on the strategic partnership
    between Russia and the EU would mark the beginning of their new
    rapprochement, allowing them to find better solutions of solving the
    issues of collective security, the sustainable socio-economic growth,
    pooling the efforts to overcome challenges of the age and to timely
    response to the present-day threats.

    It is important for Russia to continue working alongside the
    strengthening of strategic Moscow-Brussels cooperation in the area of
    common interests and joint activities in the realm of international
    security with individual EU member-states countries on a bilateral
    basis (especially with Germany, France and Italy) because Europe has
    not worked out the uniform security and defence strategies.

    The EU member-states could pay more attention to the declared
    strategy of Russia's socio-economic development to 2020, Russia-
    to the guidelines of the EU development with an eye to ensuring the
    use of European and Russian resources in common interests rather
    than in the interests of third countries. The general character of
    the present-day international relations to a great extent depends on
    the efficient coordination of the EU and Russia.
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