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  • Our Response To Azerbaijan

    OUR RESPONSE TO AZERBAIJAN

    "HAYOTS ASHKHARH"
    March 18, 2008

    Armenia should submit a new Resolution

    The Resolution on the "Situation in the Occupied Territories of
    Azerbaijan" put to vote in the General Assembly of the United Nations
    on March 14 and adopted by a vote of 39 in favor, 7 against and 100
    abstention, is currently estimated by both neighboring countries as
    the defeat of the opposite side.

    Azerbaijan is leans on the fact that the General Assembly has adopted
    a Resolution which expresses Baku's stance but has no legal force.

    However, the Azerbaijani side believes that it may become a "serious
    warning" to Armenia as well as to the countries which are the Co-Chairs
    of the OSCE Minsk Group, i.e. the United States, Russia and France.

    Armenia pays attention to the fact that the resolution received
    support just by some of the Islamic countries, the GUAM member states
    and Serbia, i.e. the Azerbaijani lobby and the countries "sharing
    the same fate with Azerbaijan", so to say. Furthermore, the three
    pivotal states representing the interested international community
    within the frameworks of the Minsk Group (the USA, the European Union
    and Russia), voted against the Resolution.

    Such attitude by the international community was not absolutely
    something new for Azerbaijan.

    But despite that the country did its best for holding the successive
    "moral victory" and is now trying to materialize it. Baku has gone
    so far in terms of its cynicism that in response to the attitude
    adopted by the Minsk Group countries on March 14, Deputy Foreign
    Minister Araz Azimov threatened that "Azerbaijan will review and make
    changes in its relations with the countries which are Co-Chairs in
    the frameworks of the Minsk Group."

    That's to say, either support Azerbaijan's viewpoints or Azerbaijan
    itself will refuse the mediation of the Minsk Group.

    These threats too, remain strangely unanswered for the time being,
    although it's obvious that such primitive attempts of making pressure
    upon the Co-Chairs will produce no result. But the problem here does
    not consist in the Azerbaijan's lack of constraint. The problem is
    that such lack of constraint was not prevented from the very start,
    i.e. during the discussion held in the UN General Assembly. The thing
    is that the so-called Western Block of the OSCE Minsk Group countries
    could have easily torpedoed the resolution since the majority of the
    100 countries which abstained from voting or refused to vote were
    either EU member states or countries directly complying with the US
    policy of coercion.

    Therefore, on April 14 the Western community adopted a strictly
    ambiguous decision, i.e. the mediators oppose the resolution in
    order to proceed with the talks based on the fundamental principles
    introduced in Madrid but at the same time, they push Azerbaijan to
    attack Armenia, so as it can hold a "moral victory" with the help of
    some Islamic countries.

    This is, of course, a form of disguised pressure with the help of which
    the Western community is trying to check the responsive reaction of
    the Armenian side. The reason is obvious: the time-limits of voting
    for the resolution coincided with the culminating point of the Western
    community's counteraction with regard to the recent internal political
    developments of Armenia. In such conditions it's clear why the European
    countries, which do not absolutely have a pro-Azerbaijani attitude
    towards the Karabakh issue, adopted strictly passive attitudes.

    Is it possible during the coming months to drive the Azerbaijani
    diplomacy into a corner with the help of responsive actions,
    thus preventing the further political speculations of the March 14
    Resolution in the General Assembly? We believe it is necessary to wait
    till the coming autumn as Azerbaijan is to hold presidential elections
    then; thereafter, the international community will undoubtedly start
    the process of driving Baku into a corner, preparing a Resolution
    on the "Absence of an Alternative to the Peaceful Settlement of the
    Karabakh Conflict" and including it in the agenda of the UN General
    Assembly. The Resolution shall include:

    a) the key points of the balanced proposals introduced in Madrid by
    the OSCE Co-Chairs November 29, 2007. These proposals are based on
    the equality of the principles of the states' territorial integrity
    and the nations' rights to self-determination.

    b) the political assessment of the fact of Azerbaijan's committing
    genocidal acts in response to the steps undertaken by the NKAR people
    based upon the USSR laws and the idea of the impermissibility of new
    ethnic cleansings and the military solution of the conflict after
    establishing the ceasefire regime.

    c) Applying an international sanction against any party to the conflict
    and resorting to military solutions in case the given party refuses
    the mediation of the Minks Group. This may also include submitting
    the issue to the discussion of the Security Council.

    After the adoption of such Resolution Armenia may announce that in
    case Azerbaijan refuses the peaceful settlement and resorts to new
    ethnic cleansings, it will unanimously recognize the NKR independence,
    together with its allies.
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