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Economic Activity Index 65.6 In Armenia In 1q 2008

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  • Economic Activity Index 65.6 In Armenia In 1q 2008

    ECONOMIC ACTIVITY INDEX 65.6 IN ARMENIA IN 1Q 2008

    ARKA
    March 19, 2008

    YEREVAN, March 19. /ARKA/. Economic activity index in Armenia reduced
    7.9% down to 65.6 in Armenia in 1st quarter of 2008, which is a 20.6%
    increase as compared with the 4th quarter of 2007, the Central Bank
    of Armenia (CBA) reported.

    Composite index of consumer confidence has been 53.5 for the period
    under review, which is a 0.9% reduction against the same period
    of last year and a 10.3% increase as compared with 4th quarter of
    2007previous period.

    According to the CBA, business environment index increased 7.8%
    up to 50.5 (on 100-point scale) as compared with the 4th quarter of
    2007. Against the same period of last year, the indicator reduced
    12.6%.

    According to the CBA, economic activity index is calculated based on
    averaging estimates and expectations of respondents on production
    output, production orders and expected changes in production
    reserves. At the same time, consumer confidence index is the
    arithmetical mean of responses of households on their expectations
    on income, expenditures and employment level, as well as on their
    attitude toward the current economic situation.

    Business environment index is determined through averaging estimates
    of organizations on changes in general economic condition and risks.

    Since the beginning of 2005 the CBA has been conducting quarterly
    polls of non-financial, financial organizations and households to
    assess change in the current economic situation as compared with the
    previous period, to assess economic expectations of the entities and
    households and to calculate and publish composite economic indices.

    Random 845 industry, construction and service organizations and
    1,789 households were studied in Yerevan and all 10 regions of
    Armenia. The polls were conducted through the Internet, telephone,
    mail and fax. Indices of economic activity and consumer confidence were
    calculated on a 100-point scale (over 50 - high activity, below 50 -
    poor activity, 50points - unchanged status) based on the results of
    the polls.
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