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ACNIS Focuses On NATO's Enlargement Toward the Caucasus

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  • ACNIS Focuses On NATO's Enlargement Toward the Caucasus

    PRESS RELEASE
    Armenian Center for National and International Studies
    75 Yerznkian Street
    Yerevan 0033, Armenia
    Tel: (+374 - 10) 52.87.80 or 27.48.18
    Fax: (+374 - 10) 52.48.46
    Email: [email protected] or [email protected]
    Website: www.acnis.am


    March 27, 2008


    ACNIS Focuses On NATO's Enlargement Toward the Caucasus


    Yerevan--The Armenian Center for National and International Studies
    (ACNIS) today convened a foreign policy roundtable to discuss NATO's
    Caucasus enlargement policy and its impact on Armenian interests. The
    meeting brought together diplomatic representatives, leading analysts,
    policy specialists, public and political figures, and media
    representatives.

    ACNIS director of administration Karapet Kalenchian welcomed the
    audience with opening remarks. "In today's discussion, we will attempt
    to elucidate the primary measures Armenia needs to undertake in light
    of possible military and political rearrangements taking place in our
    region," Kalenchian said. "In which direction should Armenia turn if
    our neighbor Georgia becomes a NATO member sometime in the future?
    What challenges will our country face? Which will be the best option
    for guaranteeing the security of the Armenian people and the state?
    Will we benefit or suffer from our continuing cooperation within the
    framework of the Collective Security Treaty Organization?"

    The day's first speaker was Armenia's former deputy minister of
    defense Vahan Shirkhanian, who not ruling out a repeat of the Balkan
    scenario in our region, looked into Armenia's security threats against
    the backdrop of Georgia's probable accession to NATO. In Shirkhanian's
    viewpoint, if and when the unfolding events take a certain course,
    Armenia could face not only food shortage, but also confront possible
    military actions. Expressing his concern, Shirkhanian explained that
    "once the territorial integrity of Georgia is restored with NATO's
    assistance, Azerbaijan likewise will start a marathon race towards
    NATO membership. As a result, Armenia will be surrounded by the three
    countries of the North Atlantic Alliance and therefore will rely
    solely on Iran". On the other hand, according to him, the great
    victory achieved in Karabagh might be the price Armenia has to pay for
    sprinting toward NATO membership.

    In his talk, ACNIS senior analyst Hovsep Khurshudian explored the
    process of democracy in Armenia and the country's external security
    challenges. In Khurshudian's view, the Collective Security Treaty
    Organization (CSTO) prefers to defend the political regimes of its
    member nations rather than guarantee the actual security of those
    countries. "In terms of civilization orientation, there is a
    significant difference between the aspirations of our people and the
    current political system and mode of operation of the authorities. The
    bulk of the Armenian body politic is inclined toward Western values,
    whereas the country's administration is devoted to the letter and
    spirit of the CSTO," Khurshudian noted, underscoring the fact that
    Armenia will become isolated if Georgia enters NATO. He also pointed
    to the need for further developing Armenia's relations with NATO
    regardless of the fact as to when a full membership can become a
    reality.

    In his intervention, independent analyst Manvel Sargsian spoke about
    the changes that are likely to occur in the Caucasus if Georgia
    becomes a NATO member. He emphasized that in contrast to Georgia, the
    probable changes will bring forth entirely different problems for
    Armenia. In Sargsian's assessment, these problems depend specifically
    on the possible threat of neighbors, the lack of appealing natural
    resources, and on the fact that the Artsakh conflict to date remains
    unresolved. "In global politics, the geopolitical importance of
    Armenia is being linked to its regional role as a factor that holds
    back the politico-military activeness of Turkey and Azerbaijan,"
    Sargsian asserted. Sargsian continued that such a role is equally
    acceptable for both NATO and Russia who are more interested in the
    impact that the Armenian factor has on Turkey.

    The policy roundtable concluded with an exchange of opinions and
    policy recommendations among Nino Aptsiauri of the Georgian Embassy;
    ACNIS senior analyst Tatul Hakobian; political scientists Edward
    Antinian and Ara Sargsian; director Tevan Poghosian and analyst Ashot
    Khurshudian from the International Center for Human Development; and
    several others.

    Founded in 1994 by Armenia's first Minister of Foreign Affairs Raffi
    K. Hovannisian and supported by a global network of contributors,
    ACNIS serves as a link between innovative scholarship and the public
    policy challenges facing Armenia and the Armenian people in the
    post-Soviet world. It also aspires to be a catalyst for creative,
    strategic thinking and a wider understanding of the new global
    environment. In 2008, the Center focuses primarily on civic education,
    democratic development, conflict resolution, and applied research on
    critical domestic and foreign policy issues for the state and the
    nation.

    For further information on the Center call (37410) 52-87-80 or
    27-48-18; fax (37410) 52-48-46; email [email protected] or [email protected];
    or visit www.acnis.am
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