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BEIRUT: A Recipe For Fomenting Conflict

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  • BEIRUT: A Recipe For Fomenting Conflict

    A RECIPE FOR FOMENTING CONFLICT
    Mostafa Zein

    Dar Al-Hayat
    http://english.daralhayat.com/opinion/OPE D/05-2008/Article-20080520-06bbfcde-c0a8-10ed-01e2 -5c7323263b34/story.html
    May 20 2008
    Lebanon

    The leaders of Lebanon's communities have gone to Doha without any
    of them having an idea of how to re-establish the political regime
    on a comprehensive and national basis. As the representative of his
    community, each leader is aspiring to obtain the biggest number of
    advantages and benefits to the detriment of the other leaders. Genius
    as they are, all parties have revived the 1960 electoral law, a move
    naturally accompanied by many disputes. Lebanon today is not the same
    as it was in the 1960s. It has undergone many changes, most importantly
    the 15-year civil war, whose active elements remain intact even today.

    The 1960 law was tailor-made for the political class of that
    time. In the absence of a census, Christians received 54 seats and
    Muslims 45. Lebanon was divided into 26 districts, based on the
    Qadaa (county). Two districts were merged in some governorates. The
    division or merger of districts either favored the candidate close to
    the president (Fouad Chehab) or worked to defeat his rival. Beirut
    was divided into three districts, to guarantee the election of the
    leader of the Maronite Phalange Party, Pierre Gemayel, and exclude
    former President Camille Chamoun. Gemayel was elected thanks to the
    votes of the Armenians. To placate Kamal Jumblatt, the Druze leader
    and strong ally of the president, four districts were merged in the
    Chouf - Baaqlin, Joun, Deir al-Qamar and Shhim - so that Jumblatt
    reached parliament with a big parliamentary bloc (the 1989 law did
    not change this division in order to help Walid Jumblatt). The same
    goes true for other districts and counties.

    The 1960 law, revived by the parties to the Lebanese national
    dialogue in Doha, enshrined "political feudalism" on sectarian
    foundations. The subsequent amendments further stressed this line,
    especially after the Taef Accord leveled out the equation between
    Muslims and Christians, once again with no census. As such, the head
    of a candidate list generally imposes the candidate he prefers on
    the voters; other candidates cannot compete against the list headed
    by the speaker. The same goes for the Hezbollah or Hariri lists. In
    other words, these leaders, and not the people, become the source
    of authority. This is a violation of the Lebanese constitution and
    the most basic principles of democracy. Totally subject to the will
    of the leaders of blocs, the governments selected by the parliament
    represent the blocs' interests and political orientations, which are
    in turn subject to mutual bargains.

    In addition, the 1960 and 1989 laws adopted different criteria for
    districts. In Beirut District Three, for example, 165,000 voters elect
    10 MPs. In Baalbeck-Hermel, 283,000 voters also elect 10 MPs. In Tyre,
    130,000 voters select four MPs, all of them Shiites, while the district
    has more than 30,000 Christian voters.

    In summary, none of the adopted election laws was fair, whether by
    the standards of consensual democracy, or by any other internationally
    recognized democratic standard. With these laws, the MP's impunity was
    subject to his remaining loyal to the head of his parliamentary bloc,
    who derives his strength from the "holiness" of this sect, as well as
    from the outside. This impunity allowed the speaker to obstruct the
    parliament's legislative work of late. It allowed the prime minister
    to remain in power, even though more than half of the Lebanese have
    demonstrated in the street against him, and despite the civil war
    that almost broke out two weeks ago.

    The negotiations in Doha will re-fashion the country's political
    authority and distribute shares of power to placate this leader or
    that, or humor this country or that - if these talks succeed. However,
    the political regime that will turn the Lebanese into full-fledged
    citizens instead of political appendages is the farthest thing from
    the agenda and aspirations of those assembled in Doha. They might
    come up with a formula to postpone an explosion, but this is just
    setting up a new phase of conflict.
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