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  • Russian Karabakh Initiative

    American Footprints
    October 27 2008



    Russian Karabakh Initiative

    Brian Ulrich Oct 27 2008 - 6:10pm

    Russia is making a major push to resolve the conflict over
    Nagorno-Karabakh:

    "Russia has taken the center stage in international efforts to resolve
    the Karabakh conflict, which could yield a breakthrough before the end
    of this year. President Dmitry Medvedev is expected to host a
    potentially decisive meeting of his Armenian and Azerbaijani
    counterparts next month. Moscow may thus be trying to sideline the
    OSCE's so-called Minsk Group on Karabakh, which it has long
    co-chaired with the United States and France...

    "Many analysts in the South Caucasus and the West have long contended
    that Russia was uninterested in a Karabakh settlement, lest it lose
    leverage against Azerbaijan and, even more, Armenia, its main ally in
    the region. Peace with Azerbaijan, they have argued, would reduce the
    significance for Armenia of maintaining close military ties with
    Russia and make the Armenian economy less dependent on Russian energy
    supplies. Medvedev's desire to host the crucial Aliyev-Sarkisian
    encounter is, however, a clear indication that Karabakh peace is not
    necessarily incompatible with Russian goals and interests in the
    region, especially if Moscow plays a key role in a multinational
    peace-keeping force that would have to be deployed in the conflict
    zone. " Armenia is rife with speculation that Moscow is trying to
    cajole Azerbaijan into agreeing to a Russian troop presence and
    pursuing a more pro-Russian policy on other issues, notably the
    transportation of Caspian oil and gas to the West. 'To that end [the
    Russians] need to force Armenia into making essentially unilateral and
    absolutely unacceptable concessions on the Karabakh issue,' Yerkir, a
    Yerevan weekly controlled by the governing Armenian Revolutionary
    Federation party, wrote on October 24, reflecting the growing opinion
    among local observers."

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    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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