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ANKARA: Obama Era To Bring More US Pressure On Reforms, Armenia

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  • ANKARA: Obama Era To Bring More US Pressure On Reforms, Armenia

    OBAMA ERA TO BRING MORE US PRESSURE ON REFORMS, ARMENIA

    Today's Zaman
    Nov 6 2008
    Turkey

    Democrat Barack Obama's landslide victory in the US election is
    a dream come true for most ordinary Turks, but it could mean more
    pressure on the government to speed up reforms for a better state of
    human rights in the country.

    It is also likely to spell a definite end for the long-held
    Turkish policy of dealing with Armenian claims of genocide through
    counter-measures to suppress pro-genocide resolutions in Congress.

    Turkey has had ups and downs in its strategic ties with the United
    States during the George W. Bush administration, differing on Iraq,
    the best way to handle a dispute over Iran's nuclear program and
    Middle East peace efforts. But during the two terms of the outgoing
    president, Turkey has heard little criticism over its human rights
    record, contrary to the practice during the era of Bush's Democratic
    predecessor, Bill Clinton. Pundits say Obama is likely to revive the
    Democratic tradition of applying more pressure to do more to improve
    human rights, a key demand of the European Union in the membership
    process.

    On Wednesday, the EU urged Ankara to do more in the area of political
    reforms, in a regular progress report assessing Turkish efforts to
    achieve membership. When Obama officially takes over the US presidency
    from Bush on Jan. 20, Washington may join Brussels in pressuring
    Turkey for a better human rights record.

    Obama and his vice president-elect, Joe Biden, have made it clear
    more than once that they support Armenian claims of genocide at the
    hands of the Ottoman Empire during the years of World War I. Obama
    also pledged during his election campaign that as president he would
    recognize the claims.

    Turkey has managed for decades to block Armenian efforts to win US
    recognition for genocide claims, but with the White House readying
    for an Obama era, it is high time for Ankara to promote a more
    comprehensive policy that goes far beyond addressing immediate
    challenges at the US Congress, experts say. Many fear that Obama's
    use of the G-word in his next message for April 24 -- a traditional
    occasion when US presidents commemorate Armenians who perished in
    Anatolia in the last century -- could shatter Turkey-US ties and
    that following up on a recent drive for dialogue with Armenia might
    be the only way to save relations from a catastrophe.

    "There is nothing to be afraid of; Turkey should trust itself. What
    needs to be done is further improving the relations with Yerevan and
    marginalizing the Armenian diaspora in the United States," said Omer
    TaÅ~_pınar, an expert on Turkey with the Washington-based Brookings
    Institution and a Today's Zaman columnist. "By opening borders with
    Armenia and taking other appropriate steps, Turkey will have the
    trump card in its hands."

    President Abdullah Gul paid a landmark visit to Armenia in September,
    and officials of the two countries, which currently have no formal
    ties, have been having talks since then on normalizing relations.

    Marc Grossman, a former US ambassador to Turkey, advised the Turkish
    government to keep improving ties with Armenia during a teleconference
    at the US Embassy in Ankara early on Wednesday. Dialogue and open
    borders with Armenia will give Turkey an advantage in discussing the
    issue with the Obama administration, he said.

    Iraq: main challenge?

    In addition to concerns over the Armenian "genocide," Turkey also fears
    a swift US withdrawal from Iraq, as suggested by Obama, would revive
    its old nightmare of a divided Iraq and an independent Kurdistan on
    its southern border. Obama has pledged a timetable for the withdrawal
    of US forces and suggested this could be completed within 16 months.

    Turkey had perhaps the biggest crisis in its decades-old alliance with
    the United States over Iraq in 2003, when it turned down a US request
    to use Turkish soil to open a front on Iraq. Since then, relations have
    recovered at the end of a slow and painful process, and the destruction
    of the delicate balances established over the past few years has the
    potential to bring back the time of crisis. Though he never repeated
    it during the election campaign, Biden rattled Turkish policy makers by
    making a controversial proposal to divide Iraq into three in the past.

    If the issues of troop withdrawal and Iraqi integrity are worked out,
    Ankara and Washington are widely expected to enjoy being on the same
    page on rest of the other Iraq issues, most notably the presence of
    the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) in northern Iraq. Obama and
    Biden have blamed "the Bush administration's misguided and mismanaged
    intervention in Iraq" for the revival of the terrorist threat posed
    to Turkey by the separatist PKK.

    Obama and Biden are also most likely to follow the Bush
    administration's policy of supporting Turkish-Iraqi Kurdish dialogue on
    eliminating the PKK threat, a recent novelty in Turkish foreign policy.

    --Boundary_(ID_gvt2yPhpUVfjQufNcIq1Hw)--
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