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  • ANKARA: Businessmen Believe Obama Will Bring New Stimulus To Trade

    BUSINESSMEN BELIEVE OBAMA WILL BRING NEW STIMULUS TO TRADE

    Today's Zaman
    Nov 6 2008
    Turkey

    Barack Obama's coming takeover of the White House as the 44th
    president of the United States has been met with optimistic reactions
    from the Turkish business world, which believes the change in the US
    administration will bring about a new wave of excitement, invigorating
    mutual commercial relations and attempts to solve global economic
    problems.

    Businessmen stated that trade between the US and Turkey, which has
    slowed considerably over the last decade, will likely increase again.

    Turkish Exporters Assembly (TÄ°M) President Mehmet BuyukekÅ~_i,
    noting that the US share of Turkey's total exports is hovering at
    around 4 percent, said Obama's presidency might be a chance to turn
    trade relations around. Obama's innovative and pro-change stance is an
    important asset inspiring hope for the improvement of the relations,
    he said. If the grip of the global financial crisis around the neck
    of the US economy loosens a bit as a result of relaxation triggered
    by the new pro-market president, exports to the US will also see an
    increase, BuyukekÅ~_i predicted.

    Foreign Economic Relations Board (DEİK) Chairman Rona Yırcalı
    was a bit more cautious, however. He said no big leaps in trade
    should be expected in the short term due to the damage the crisis is
    inflicting on the US economy. The relations will at least not worsen
    during Obama's presidency, he said, adding that Obama once said,
    "We have to repair relations with Turkey."

    As of the end of 2007, Turkey's exports to the US amounted to $4.6
    billion, whereas its imports were $6.6 billion. There are 922 American
    investors currently active in Turkish business.

    American Business Forum in Turkey (ABFT) Chairman Galip Sukaya said
    Obama's first steps will be directed towards removing the sources of
    ambiguity in the domestic and international arenas. "Thus, his task
    is not easy," he said. "The results of the new president's economic
    policies will start to be seen by February and March. If he can
    succeed in making everyone accept his economic policies, the outcome
    will be much more profound. But if he fails to persuade people about
    his policies, then the wobbles will continue," he stated.

    Turkish American Business Council (TAÄ°K) Chairman Haluk Dincer stated
    that Obama's victory should be seen as evidence of the ability of the
    US to renew itself and its strong democracy even during the hardest of
    times. "The US is really a country of opportunity. It can rise from
    its ashes, and this is its biggest strength," he said. The result of
    the election was no surprise since the world already favored Obama,
    he said.

    Dincer further commented that the election results will certainly
    contribute to the improvement of the US image in the international
    arena, which he thinks has deteriorated greatly owing to the "wrong
    policies of the last eight years."

    He further stated that Obama's presidency will inspire confidence in
    the markets and this will make overcoming the ongoing crisis easier.

    Turkish-American Businessmen's Association (TABA/AmCham) Chairman
    Ugur Terzioglu assessed the results of the election and said, "The
    outcome will be very good for Turkey." He said the new president will
    be much more comfortable in making changes since he has a Democratic
    majority in the Senate and House of Representatives behind him. Obama's
    presidency will also have very positive consequences for the world
    "as long as he finds good advisors in economic and military affairs,"
    he added. He nonetheless noted that it was still "too early to say
    more" about the long-term effects the Obama administration would have
    on the business environment.

    Evaluating the election results in terms of the financial crisis,
    Terzioglu noted that when an economic crisis is followed by an
    election, the electorate always replaces the government responsible.

    Aldo Kaslowski, the president of the Turkish Industrialists and
    Businessmen's Association (TUSÄ°AD) International, said Obama was the
    "right and proper name" to manage the crisis since he has the power
    and determination to cope with the problems. Kaslowski claimed that
    the election of a US president matters not only to the people of the
    US, but also to almost everyone in the world.

    Obama's victory will, under all circumstances, cause advancement in
    the repair of economic troubles, Kaslowski said. "This crisis doesn't
    have a visible end, and it is quite difficult to estimate how much
    longer it will last because it has just started to affect non-financial
    sectors. Until now, only financial institutions have been subject to
    bailout and rescue packages, but from now on, industrial sectors and
    manufacturers will also be in need of support."

    On the future course of Turkish-US relations, he said it is still
    too early to make a definite assessment. "We know that everything
    expressed during election campaigns might change later. I believe his
    advisor will assist him in international relations because he is very
    experienced," he said, adding that there will be no change in the US
    attitude towards Turkey in major policy areas like the Cyprus issue
    and the Armenian genocide claims.

    Some observers, on the other hand, expressed possible concerns. Jeffrey
    Komprecos, the external affairs director at Merck Sharp and Dohme,
    feared that a more "inwardly focused" administration might pose
    possible concerns to Turkish-US bilateral relations. A focus on
    domestic issues in combination with strengthening union rights
    "can affect the commercial environment" with Turkey -- especially if
    coupled with touchy diplomatic subjects such as the alleged Armenian
    genocide claims that Obama had pledged he would support if elected
    to the White House.

    Meanwhile, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan will pay a visit to the
    US on Nov. 13-17, his office said on Wednesday. Turkey's prime minister
    will participate in the Summit on Financial Markets and the World
    Economy, which will take place in Washington, D.C., on Nov. 14-15,
    his office said. The summit will bring together the leaders of the
    Group of 20 countries to discuss the current financial crisis, its
    causes and efforts to resolve it.

    Stocks ebb as economic reality clouds Obama win

    International markets and investors, Ä°stanbul included, are unlikely
    to be sharing the same enthusiasm that many are experiencing today
    around the world after Obama's election.

    The Ä°stanbul Stock Exchange (Ä°MKB) shed 5.07 percent yesterday
    to close at 27,885.92 as speculation grew that Turkey would not be
    signing a new standby agreement with the IMF. The value of the lira
    also remained relatively flat, with $1 buying YTL 1.507. European
    stocks retreated, ending six straight days of global equity gains and
    offsetting Asia's early rally, as investors refocused on the economic
    problems facing Obama.

    ------------------------------------------ --------------------------------------

    Obama urged to shape new economic order Political leaders urged
    US President-elect Barack Obama on Wednesday to help forge a new
    economic order to lead the world out of its worst financial crisis
    since the 1930s.

    Excitement about the election of Democrat Obama as the first black US
    President was tempered by an awareness of the challenges he faces as
    the world's biggest economy labours in recession. "We need to change
    the current crisis into a new opportunity. We need a new deal for a
    new world," said European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso. "I
    sincerely hope that with the leadership of President Obama, the United
    States of America will join forces with Europe to drive this new deal,"
    he added.

    Initial market reaction was lukewarm, with the dollar firming but
    shares on Wall Street expected to fall as attention focused on a sharp
    world economic downturn. "The market is maybe reflecting the hard work
    ahead and difficult economic circumstances new president Barack Obama
    has inherited," said Keith Bowman, analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

    Obama does not take office until January, leaving outgoing President
    George W. Bush to host a summit of world leaders in Washington on
    Nov. 15 to discuss the global financial crisis which has its roots
    in the collapse of the US housing market.

    That summit will tackle new ways to regulate the world's financial
    sector as the world heads into recession. Authorities are trying to
    soften the impact of the downturn with support for banks, cheaper
    lending and stimulus measures, which have already amounted to around
    $4 trillion. Obama will move quickly to appoint his top team. The next
    Treasury secretary, who could be named within days, will inherit one
    of the hottest seats in Washington, faced both with piloting a $700
    billion bailout package and the regulatory reform needed to prevent
    a repeat of the crisis.

    The short list likely includes former Treasury secretary Lawrence
    Summers, ex-Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker and Timothy Geithner,
    head of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Obama has advocated a second government stimulus package worth $175
    billion that would include money for investments in infrastructure
    as well as another round of tax rebates.

    The US Treasury is expected to announce on Wednesday the return of the
    three-year note when it sets out plans for borrowing which could total
    $2.1 trillion in the current fiscal year, to fund its massive bailout
    programme. The financial crisis, which stemmed from a US housing
    market collapse, has redrawn the banking landscape and authorities
    are pushing for changes to its corporate culture. London Reuters

    --Boundary_(ID_hpD4B/eihby6GlZykKo+tg)--
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