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Turkey Is Preparing For A Regional Leap

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  • Turkey Is Preparing For A Regional Leap

    TURKEY IS PREPARING FOR A REGIONAL LEAP
    Karine Ter-Sahakyan

    PanARMENIAN.Net
    08.11.2008 GMT+04:00

    For the past eight years Ankara has got used to speaking to the USA in
    a language of blackmail and ultimatums, using as a basic instrument
    of pressure the security of American forces in Iraq and the pipeline
    Baku-Tbilisi-Ceihan.

    Turkey is following in Russia's footsteps. Medvedev invited the
    Presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan to sign in Moscow a declaration on
    peaceful regulation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict; Ankara is trying
    to take the key position in the struggle for regional supremacy. Both
    Moscow and Ankara are in a hurry - there is little time left till
    shift of Administration in the White House.

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ It is especially Turkey that is in a rush. No
    matter how resolutely Barack Obama states that economy is of primary
    importance to him, he cannot ignore foreign policy of the country. And
    in its foreign policy America, first of all, has to look into relations
    with the Middle East, where at the will of George Bush and his team
    Turkey has been playing first fiddle. The US foreign policy will
    hardly undergo radical changes, but Turkey will definitely try to
    make use of them in the frames of its interests.

    For the past 8 years Ankara has got used to speaking to the USA in
    a language of blackmail and ultimatums, using as a basic instrument
    of pressure the security of American forces in Iraq and the pipeline
    Baku-Tbilisi-Ceihan. Supposedly if Presidential Elections in the
    USA were to be held in a few years' time, Turkey would be able to
    advance to a membership in the EU much sooner. However, out of the 33
    terms of Turkey's integration into the EU only 1 was approved at the
    beginning of the week. The plan of Broader Middle East (BME) failed
    too. According to Daniel Flaherty, US State Department analyst of
    Russian Foreign Affairs, the BME project is presently in crisis and its
    future under the new Administration will be rather dark. "The project
    as such failed and it raised great protests in the Region. Generally,
    in the East and particularly in Africa we observe a growing tendency
    of deconstruction of the traditional and habitual for the West format
    of national government. This theory has already expired, but a new one
    is not worked out yet. We do not know so far how the problem of the
    so-called 'failed states' should be solved," the American expert says.

    Meanwhile, representatives of the ruling Justice and Development Party
    of Turkey (AKP) and oppositionists consider that little will change for
    Turkey with the democrats coming to power. And, it should be noted,
    that their statements are well-grounded. "The victory of Democrat
    Barack Obama is the most desirable outcome of the U.S. presidential
    elections. Whether his presidency is successful or not will be clear in
    due course," declared representative of the Republican Party of Turkey
    Deniz Baykal. In his words, withdrawal of the U.S. troops will help
    to boost Turkey's regional significance. "Now, we are hiding behind
    America's back, but when its forces are withdrawn, our country's
    influence will strengthen throughout the region," Baykal emphasized.

    "If Barack Obama's pro-Armenian position he demonstrated during
    election campaign and his sympathy for Kurds affect his political
    decisions during his presidency, it can seriously harm the U.S.-Turkey
    relations. During Obama's presidency, serious contradictions may
    occur in foreign policy of the United States and that of Turkey," said
    Turkish expert Husnu Mahalli. In his words, Turkey is concerned over
    some statements voiced by Obama during the pre-election campaign. His
    country is especially concerned over Obama's pledges to recognize
    the Armenian Genocide and raise the issue in Congress. According to
    Mahalli it gives Turkey enough bases to alarm. The expert also notes
    that there are some alarming signals in Obama's stand on the Kurdish
    problem too. "Vice President Joseph Biden holds good relations with
    Armenian lobby and a great sympathy for Kurds. His position can cause
    problems in U.S.-Turkey relations in future," Mehelli added.

    Exactly on this ground has Ankara been seeking a more intimate
    cooperation with Moscow for the past year. The upcoming visit
    of Turkish President Abdullah Gul to Moscow might clear up some
    problems concerning both Armenian-Turkish and Armenian-Russian
    relations. Hastily refuted by Turkey's Foreign Ministry, planning a
    new meeting between the Presidents of Armenia, Azerbaijan and Turkey
    proves that stakes in the Region are considerably high.
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