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ANKARA: The 11th Progress Report

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  • ANKARA: The 11th Progress Report

    THE 11TH PROGRESS REPORT

    Turkish Daily News
    November 8, 2008 Saturday

    I recall how dull the progress reports of 2000 and 2001 were, due
    to the then coalition government's failure to deliver on European
    Union harmonization. The reports had no substance and signalled
    retreat rather than progress. This year's report reminds me of those
    reports. It is a fact that the government did nothing noteworthy in
    EU works in the last four years. Rather it found so many different
    excuses to not go for it. The report contains rambling suggestions
    like "hurry-up in reforms" and points at deficiencies that have been
    repeated time and again throughout the years. It seems that the
    report this time has been kept short in order not to keep talking
    about negatives.

    Loss of interest at max

    On the EU side, a tactic of exaggeration is used, like the past
    four progress reports. Even the most ordinary work is included in
    the report. The best example is Turkey's successes in world-famous
    foreign policy stories that happen only in dreams, with the exception
    of President Abdullah Gul's visit to the Armenian capital, Yerevan. The
    report praises the positive diplomacy Turkey follows, as though it
    was a major acquis chapter. Another point of appraisal becomes the
    "working market economy." Although nothing much has changed in recent
    years Turkey has been declared a market economy. Frankly there must
    have been nothing better to state.

    As a matter of fact, both parties suffer from a lack of interest in
    Turkey's EU prospects. The Turkish government has been making excuses
    about the EU bid since 2005. When I wrote this before nobody seemed
    to care, yet now this unwillingness is being universally admitted. The
    EU side shows no sensitivity though. Even the most passionate friends
    of Turkey in the bloc cannot offer anything solid but the same old
    preaching and incentives. No one is interested to prop up the process.

    The EU is preoccupied by the ratification process of the Lisbon Treaty,
    the Georgian crisis that broke out in early August and now, the global
    financial crisis. Turkey's accession to the union is not a priority
    compared to these problems. In this state of mind, we will welcome
    2009. There are two EU term presidencies in the upcoming term. First,
    well-intentioned yet inexperienced Czech Republic and then Sweden will
    take the helm. If the impact of the global financial crisis and the
    ratification process of the Lisbon Treaty in Ireland continue to be
    the problems, already-weakened Turkey-EU relations may take a turn for
    the worse in late 2009. There are no chapters remaining to be opened,
    except "Information Society and Media" and "Free Movement of Capital".

    In this foggy picture, the only ray of hope is that settlement talks
    in Cyprus may lead to possible overtures for a permanent solution in
    2009. The negotiation of eight chapters, which have been suspended
    due to the Cyprus deadlock, may be resumed.

    It is difficult to say that government and decision-makers in general,
    have understood the value of the EU membership process in this global
    financial crisis environment. For instance Rifat Hisarciklioglu,
    chairman of the Turkish Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchanges,
    or TOBB, while talking about the financial crisis did not include the
    EU among the anchors Turkey needs to save itself. As we move into a
    period where everyone is trying to save themselves and as the local
    elections in March 2009 are approaching, it is very doubtful that
    the EU accession bid will be remembered.

    First the global economic crisis, then the Kurdish issue and Ergenekon
    case, now the debates over the regime, fomented by the Constitutional
    Court's announcement of the decision in the closure case against the
    governing Justice and Development Party. EU-related works may not be,
    or will never be, on the agenda, at least for a long time. And this
    is hardly an exaggeration..
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