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  • At History's Centre

    AT HISTORY'S CENTRE

    Economist.com
    Oct 6th 2008

    Oil, war and stirring imperial ghosts

    INTREPID travellers have long had a penchant for visiting the
    Caucasus. This is a land of mountains and seas, squeezed into the
    borders of three old empires--Persian, Ottoman and Russian. As such it
    has been strategically important (and remains so, as we learned again
    in the short war that Russia fought against Georgia in August). And it
    has an enticing whiff of exoticism, associated with all the old images
    of fierce mountain tribesmen who spent the 19th century resisting
    successive attacks by the Russians, always keen to incorporate the
    Caucasus into their empire.

    The city of Baku, where I begin my trip to the three countries of the
    south Caucasus (Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia), was an important
    Russian base during most of those wars. The old walled town in the
    centre retains an appealing medieval look. But what attracts the eye
    more are the garish modern buildings, extravagantly large cars and
    jeeps, massive traffic jams and the city's general gaudiness. For
    this is today an oil town: the equivalent of a Gulf emirate dumped
    on the shores of the Caspian.

    Baku got there first, of course. Amid today's glitz can be discerned
    some sturdy late 19th century mansions, many of them put up by the
    French, when Baku went through its first oil boom. At that time,
    this region was responsib le for as much as half of the world's oil
    output. The industry went into decline during the late 20th century
    under Soviet rule, but it has boomed in the past decade or so, on the
    back of more offshore discoveries in the Caspian and rising oil prices.

    Because of its oil and, increasingly, gas, Azerbaijan has become
    a key country for the West. A stream of top American officials have
    visited. The Russians are also courting the country, hoping to persuade
    it to ship more of its oil and gas northwards. But the government, led
    by President Ilham Aliev, is wary. There are big advantages in selling
    energy to all comers, not just to a monolithic unfriendly company like
    Russia's gas giant Gazprom. And BP, the biggest Western oil company in
    Baku, has been a great friend to the country for a decade and a half.

    The president, who would not grant us an interview, is no democrat,
    even though his economic advisers insist that he has liberalised the
    economy and cut back on red tape. So much so, indeed, that Azerbaijan
    recently came top for most rapid improvement in the World Bank's
    annual report "Doing Business".

    Next weekend Mr Aliev faces an election that the leading opposition
    candidates have boycotted. In a café, we meet one opposition
    leader who wanted to run, but he notes that elections are rigged,
    the opposition is harassed and the media is not free. Indeed, he
    suggests t hat things are a lot worse than they were in the days of
    Ilham's father, Heidar, who ran the country from 1994 to 2002 before
    passing it on to his son like some oil-rich satrapy.

    In the streets of Baku, plenty of people complain about soaring
    inflation, and most also suggest that the benefits of high oil
    prices have not trickled down to ordinary folk. Azerbaijan has a bad
    reputation for corruption, although BP (which by some measures accounts
    for half of the country's GDP) says it has no problems. Certainly the
    oil money is going somewhere--the restaurant in the old town where
    we have dinner, and the hotel in which we stay, are both almost as
    expensive as in Moscow, which is now the costliest city in Europe. And,
    given the country's reputation for corruption, it is no surprise to
    find that the cost of an entry visa at Heidar Aliev international
    airport has risen sharply to $100--or that an army of dubious-looking
    fixers swarm around the arrivals hall offering to sort out all the
    documents and jump the long queues. For a price, naturally.

    --Boundary_(ID_4b41DPgWchRxAdfk4U0b6A) --

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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