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ANKARA: Elections ease tensions in Baku over Turkish trip to Armenia

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  • ANKARA: Elections ease tensions in Baku over Turkish trip to Armenia

    Hürriyet, Turkey
    Sunday, October 19, 2008 13:30

    Elections ease tensions in Baku over Turkish trip to Armenia

    Azerbaijan President Ilham Aliyev, set for a second term after
    Wednesday's election, will make his first official visit to turkey, a
    sign that shows he has no bitter feelings for the visit of Turkish
    President Abdullah Gul to Armenia, the Turkish Daily News (TDN) wrote
    on Saturday.


    But this stance does not reflect the sour of feeling of the people on
    the street about the Turkish-armenian rapprocment, the newspaper
    added.

    Azerbaijan's presidential election resulted in an easy and expected
    victory for the incumbent candidate of the ruling New Azerbaijan
    Party, Ilham Aliyev, who begins his second term in office.

    Extensive efforts by the central election committee to prove to the
    world that voting would be democratic, which included measures such as
    using transparent ballot boxes and the use of cameras in polling
    stations, resulted in a calm and quiet process.

    However, this did not prevent observers from international
    organizations criticizing the credibility of the election due to an
    opposition boycott. This came as no surprise in the land of "black
    gold," where political power is defined and redefined according to a
    leader's charisma and capability to play the game at home and
    overseas.

    Six low-key candidates, who ran against Aliyev, were a long way from
    winning the hearts and minds of Azerbaijanis, who apparently still
    believed the son of the founder of the Republic, Haydar Aliyev,
    remained the right man for the job.

    Six deputies from the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP), the
    opposition Republican People's Party (CHP), and the Nationalist Action
    Party (MHP), headed to the Turkish observation mission in Baku to
    monitor the election in a four-day trip organized by think-tank, the
    Marmara Group Foundation.

    The Turkish mission was impressed with the transparency of the
    process.

    Initial concerns about the possible implications of President
    Abddullah Gul's visit to Yerevan over Turkish-Azerbaijani relations,
    faded after the Turkish mission became the first international
    delegation received by President Aliyev on Thursday, while a long list
    of other delegations from the world were queuing outside the
    presidential palace to congratulate his victory.

    Other positive news was President Aliyev's message that he would not
    break with tradition and would pay his first official visit to
    Ankara. However, these gestures exchanged at the political level do
    not completely reflect the emotional fatigue caused by the football
    diplomacy between Ankara and Yerevan despite the ongoing occupation of
    Nagorno-Karabakh by Armenia.

    "When we made mistakes our leader Haydar Aliyev first listened to our
    defense and then forgave us, what he never forgave was treason," a
    government minister told the TDN.

    When these words are put within the relevant context of Ankara's move
    towards Armenia, the implication is that Turkey has made a mistake,
    but not yet betrayed Azerbaijan. "In the end we have nothing to
    loose. We lost our land. Turkey has a lot more to loose with a faulty
    policy. It is up to Turkey to evaluate the pros and cons," he added,
    while still refraining from open criticism.

    It was striking to see a similar approach from men in the street, who
    generally tried to hide their real feelings over Gul's visit but each
    concluded the conversation with the sentence "Turkey is a big
    country."

    Looking through the eyes of a 17-year-old republic with a population
    of almost eight million, which still lingers between one-man rule and
    democracy and still feels the cold breathe of Russia on its neck,
    Turkey stands out as the big brother they want to trust. In fact
    Azerbaijanis believe the real power that occupied Nagorno-Karabakh is
    not Armenia, but Russia.

    Following the Georgian conflict in August and Russian recognition of
    South Ossetia and Abkhazia, the United States has moved to speed up
    the resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Efforts are expected
    to intensify soon, now that the presidential election in Azerbaijan is
    completed.

    When the Azerbaijani government minister was asked whether there was a
    chance to reach a solution to the conflict in the short-term, he
    replied with a joke the belied the full reality of the situation,
    "This issue can only be resolved if we buy out Armenia."

    Diplomatic sources claim this attitude was reflected, somehow, in the
    negotiations carried out by the Minsk Group of the Organization for
    Security and Co-operation in Europe (the OSCE). Baku is said to be
    trying to secure the return of displaced Azerbaijanis and create a
    basis for economic dependency on Azerbaijan even if Nagorno-Karabakh
    takes a path towards independence.

    Observers believe that the position of Ankara will be crucial at this
    stage of negotiations and that Ankara's dialogue with Yerevan could
    assist with the process.

    Turkey however, will need to find a balance between pro-active
    politics and its brotherly ties with Azerbaijan. Even a television
    show can hurt the feelings of Azerbaijanis, said MHP deputy, Tugrul
    Turkes, while speaking about political complaints they received during
    meetings in Baku.
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