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Ilham Aliyev: Azerbaijan's Playboy Turned Strongman

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  • Ilham Aliyev: Azerbaijan's Playboy Turned Strongman

    ILHAM ALIYEV: AZERBAIJAN'S PLAYBOY TURNED STRONGMAN

    Agence France Presse
    October 15, 2008 Wednesday 11:07 AM GMT

    Ilham Aliyev, expected to sweep Azerbaijan's presidential election on
    Wednesday, has transformed his playboy image into that of a strongman
    like his father, whom he succeeded to the top job in 2003.

    When the well-groomed, laid-back son of veteran leader Heydar
    Aliyev won the election five years ago, most thought he lacked the
    ruthlessness and cunning needed to match the dominance his father
    had exerted for more than 30 years.

    In what was the former Soviet Union's first family succession, the
    younger Aliyev took over from his dying father after an election
    widely criticised as less than free and fair.

    Five years on, his re-election, challenged by no serious opponent,
    is a foregone conclusion.

    "He has imposed himself as a politician. He is stronger than he was
    five years ago thanks to the oppression of his opponents," said Sabit
    Baghirov, former head of the state oil company SOCAR.

    Independent political analyst Rasim Musabayov said: "Ilham Aliyev
    surprised us. He is his father's son. Many of us under-estimated him."

    Contrasting Aliyev to Mikheil Saakashvili, his counterpart in Georgia,
    another former Soviet republic of the Caucasus now closely allied
    with Washington, Musabayov said the Azeri leader has "demonstrated
    prudence."

    And although he has done little to resolve a festering dispute with
    Armenia over the territory of Nagorny Karabakh, Aliyev has also made
    no big mistakes in five years at the helm, he said.

    Aliyev, who has a doctorate in history and studied at Moscow's
    prestigious State Institute for International Relations, had served
    as vice president of SOCAR, as a parliamentary member and as president
    of the national Olympic committee.

    But the moustachioed young successor could not shake off his image
    of a playboy and heavy gambler dating from the early 1990s. In
    a political system characterised by regional clans and competition
    over growing Caspian Sea oil wealth, Aliyev was widely assumed to be
    a transitional figure.

    But the 46-year-old has since surprised critics with both his toughness
    and flexibility, a combination illustrated by the jailing of some
    political opponents and the freeing of others.

    Experts credit Aliyev with adeptly exploiting his oil-rich country's
    strategic importance to become a genuine player on the international
    scene that must be reckoned with.

    His country has joined GUAM, an anti-Russian bloc grouping four
    former Soviet republics; a string of senior US officials have stopped
    by recently to show their support ahead of the vote; and Moscow is
    courting Azerbaijan to secure gas purchases.

    "He lives according to the legacy of his father, but he is trying
    to set his own agenda," said a Western diplomat in Baku, speaking on
    condition of anonymity.

    "When he came to power he was not a politician. But he has demonstrated
    that he is capable of running a country, which is nothing to sneeze
    at," the diplomat said.

    On the domestic front, Aliyev has managed to stabilise his country's
    economy, although critics say he has done little to improve
    Azerbaijan's abysmal human rights situation.

    Journalists complain he is even tougher than his father and has
    created a climate that discourages free media. The assassination in
    March 2005 of Elmar Huseynov, a fierce government critic, dealt a
    heavy blow to press freedom.

    "We believed this was someone young, energetic, modern, capable of
    building relations with people," said Shakhbaz Khuduoglu, a journalist
    close to the country's opposition.

    "He proved us wrong," he said.

    Born on December 24, 1961, Ilham Aliyev speaks fluent English, French
    and Russian.

    He is married to Mekhriban Aliyeva, an eye doctor with whom he appears
    regularly on television. The couple have three children.
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