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Will Russian Peacekeepers lift blockade off Karabakh?

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  • Will Russian Peacekeepers lift blockade off Karabakh?

    WPS Agency, Russia
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    October 24, 2008 Friday


    WILL RUSSIAN PEACEKEEPERS LIFT BLOCKADE OFF KARABAKH?

    by Yekaterina Grigorieva

    RUSSIA UNDERTAKES TO SETTLE THE CONFLICT OVER NAGORNO-KARABAKH;
    Presidents of Russia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan will meet to discuss
    Nagorno-Karabakh.

    Toting up results of his visit to Yerevan, President Dmitry Medvedev
    said the leaders of Russia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan would meet soon to
    discuss the Nagorno-Karabakh problem.

    Armenia is one of the victims of the South Ossetian conflict. Ferry to
    Poti, Georgia, is the only alternative to expensive shipment of cargo
    by the air. The ferry makes the trip once a week these days - too
    infrequently even for so small a country as Armenia is. Political
    difficulties meanwhile are even more formidable. Moscow's ally as it
    is, Yerevan is supposed to support recognition of South Ossetia and
    Abkhazia. It cannot do so. Supporting recognition of the former
    Georgian autonomies, it will have to recognize Nagorno-Karabakh as
    well. Failure to do so will frustrate Armenian general
    public. Recognition on the other hand is not something Azerbaijan will
    put up with. Skirmishes between Armenian and Azerbaijani border guards
    are too frequent as it is.

    "Armenia is ready for the negotiations," President Serj Sarkisjan
    announced. He said, however, that Armenia intended to take into
    account Nagorno-Karabakh's right to self-determination.

    Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said several days ago that Karabakh
    conflict settlement was making progress and that a couple of nuances
    only had to be addressed now. Yerevan took offense. It decided that
    what Lavrov was saying was that abandonment of claims for
    Nagorno-Karabakh would make it easier for Armenia to get out of the
    transport blockade. What information is available to Izvestia,
    however, indicates that Lavrov reassured his Armenian colleagues and
    said that he had only wanted to focus attention on some practical
    issues. Including, one might think, the recent improvement of the
    relations between Armenia and Turkey. What will happen now? Some
    experts assume that deployment of Russian peacekeepers in
    Nagorno-Karabakh is a definite possibility (there are no legal
    obstacles to it, as matters stand). Others believe that another
    Russian military base may be established in Armenia, a means to change
    the correlation of forces in the region in Moscow's favor.

    Source: Izvestia (Moscow issue), October 22, 2008, pp. 1 - 2
    Translated by Aleksei Ignatkin
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