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TOL: Soccer Diplomacy

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  • TOL: Soccer Diplomacy

    SOCCER DIPLOMACY

    Transitions Online
    http://www.tol.cz/look/TOL/article.tpl?IdLa nguage=1&IdPublication=4&NrIssue=285&N rSection=2&NrArticle=19957
    Sept 5 2008
    Czech Republic

    An unprecedented mingling of sport and diplomacy could make victors
    of both Turkey and Armenia.

    When Turkey and Armenia compete this weekend in a qualifying match
    for the FIFA 2010 World Cup, there is far more at stake than what
    happens on the pitch in Yerevan. An equally anticipated meeting,
    between Turkish President Abdullah Gul and Armenian President Serzh
    Sargsyan, will be taking place on the sidelines.

    Gul accepted his Armenian counterpart's invitation to attend the match,
    a rare moment of diplomacy in an otherwise bitter relationship. Both
    events are unprecedented - the meeting of the two national teams
    and the official face time between leaders whose nations have no
    formal relations.

    For the visiting Turks, it will be hard to miss the symbols of the
    gulf between these neighbor nations. In a throwback to the Cold War,
    Russian forces still help monitor Armenia's side of the border with
    Turkey. It's also hard to miss Yerevan's dramatic, hilltop stele
    to the Armenian victims of Ottoman rule, a genocide memorial that
    towers over the valley where the Hrazdan soccer stadium sits. Then
    there's Mount Ararat, a few kilometres from central Yerevan. Located
    just across the border, Ararat is an icon in what Armenians see as
    Turkish-occupied western territory.

    But these are only symbols of far deeper problems. Armenia rightfully
    has stood its ground in demanding that Turkey's modern leaders
    apologize for historic injustices - namely, the death marches and
    forced starvation of more than 1 million Armenians in the final years
    of a paranoid Ottoman Empire.

    For its part, Turkey remains at odds with Armenia over what happened
    as the Soviet Union began to implode. When its neighbor backed
    Christian Armenian separatists in Azerbaijan's autonomous region of
    Nagorno-Karabakh, forcing hundreds of thousands of Muslim Azeris to
    flee their homes, Turkey imposed a crippling embargo on Armenia. The
    sanctions remain, 15 years later.

    Predictably, Sargsyan and Gul are being lambasted by resolute
    nationalists in their countries for this weekend's rare moment of
    sportsmanlike diplomacy.

    But Sargsyan, the former defense minister and one of the leaders of
    the Karabakh separatist movement, knows too well the terrific cost
    to his nation of being constantly on the defensive and boxed in by
    adversaries to the east and west. And Gul, a former foreign minister,
    has been a steady force in guiding his country toward European Union
    membership while having to keep hard-core nationalists - many of whom
    are senior military officers - at bay. Under Gul and Prime Minister
    Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey has also played a commendable role in
    seeking a peaceful end to the crisis in Georgia.

    FIRST, THE APOLOGY

    But a little soccer diplomacy will be much easier to carry off than
    what must come next. First, Turkey must apologize to Armenia and
    other victims of Ottoman aggression. It has far more to gain than
    lose. Armenia is a small nation that desperately needs a western trade
    route, which it now has only through the wreckage of Georgia. Turkey's
    eastern Anatolia, a dusty region where poverty and neglect nurture
    the Kurdish separatist movement, would benefit from the economic
    opportunity offered by direct trade with Armenia.

    A Turkish apology would have another payoff - it would help reassure
    the French and other Europeans who are sympathetic to Armenia and
    still harbor concerns about having Turkey in the EU. Gul has worked
    diligently to show that 21st-century Turkey has distanced itself from
    its strong-arm past. "The values embraced by the EU such as democracy,
    rule of law, human rights, social rights, free market economy, and
    cultural diversity are in full harmony with the fundamental philosophy
    of our republic and the main principles of our constitution," he said
    in a speech marking Europe Day in May.

    It will not be easy to convince Turkey's dangerous nationalist fringe
    to reckon with the country's past. But Sargsyan's task may be more
    complex. Ending the frozen conflict with Azerbaijan and overcoming
    the determined Karabakh nationalists will take nothing less than a
    miracle. Convincing the country's large diaspora, which provides both
    political and economic support to Karabakh, will be a hard slog. Yet
    Sargsyan's job will be easier if Turkey first gives him the currency
    he needs to face those who are determined not to compromise.

    Athletes tend to make far better diplomats than presidents and
    ambassadors. At the Beijing Olympics last month, Georgian and Russian
    athletes shook hands while their brothers were staring at one another
    through gun sights. In 1971, the visit of the U.S. table tennis team
    to China helped end 22 years of diplomatic isolation. Asked about the
    upcoming match in Yerevan, Turkish coach Fatih Terim told the Turkish
    Daily News that he was focusing on the match, not on politics. "We
    cannot carry the weight of history on our shoulders," he said.

    Presidents aren't so lucky. But whatever happens on the pitch in
    Yerevan, the real victory may come on the sidelines. Sargsyan made
    a smart tactical move in inviting the Turk, and Gul's acceptance was
    a shrewd diplomatic response. It's now up to both men to lighten the
    load of history.

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