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ANKARA: Spontaneous Solution Aboard A Plane For Caucasus Crisis

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  • ANKARA: Spontaneous Solution Aboard A Plane For Caucasus Crisis

    SPONTANEOUS SOLUTION ABOARD A PLANE FOR CAUCASUS CRISIS

    Today's Zaman
    Sept 16 2008
    Turkey

    The crisis in the Caucasus, despite all the problems and risks it
    poses to countries of the region, has also opened the way for new
    solutions such as the Caucasus Stability and Cooperation Platform,
    an idea that emerged from the brainstorming of Prime Minister Recep
    Tayyip Erdogan and Foreign Minister Ali Babacan during a flight to
    Moscow on Aug. 13, where they planned to discuss the recent crisis
    between Russia and Georgia.

    The Caucasus Stability and Cooperation Platform is a concept that
    was first proposed in 2000 but became more relevant and was turned
    into an official initiative after the efforts of Turkish diplomacy
    during the peak of the crisis in the Caucasus in August.

    The platform is planned to bring together Turkey, Russia, Georgia,
    Azerbaijan and Armenia to find constructive ways to resolve crises
    in the troubled Caucasus.

    When Russia and Georgia fought a brief war following a Georgian
    offensive in the breakaway region of South Ossetia, both Erdogan and
    Babacan were on vacation, but they decided to travel to Moscow to seek
    a peaceful solution to the crisis, diplomatic sources said. Their
    plane departed from Bodrum, a popular Turkish holiday resort, and
    during this flight Erdogan and Babacan decided to launch an initiative
    for the platform.

    Turkey's aim is to create a solution mechanism in which the relevant
    parties will be able to gather around the same table. Azerbaijan,
    Armenia and Russia are warm to the idea. Georgia, however, has
    demanded that before it agrees to join, Russia must first fulfill
    its cease-fire obligations.

    The US administration was skeptical about the platform at the beginning
    but after Turkish diplomats explained what they are aiming to do and
    after a long telephone conversation between Babacan and US Secretary
    of State Condoleezza Rice, the US administration changed its stance and
    now is at least neutral to the initiative, diplomatic sources noted.

    For Armenia, since its border with Iran is mountainous and not suitable
    for transportation and the border with Turkey is closed, its main
    trading partner is Georgia, but during the war, the scarcity of goods
    was felt in the landlocked country. Yerevan recognized that delaying a
    resolution of problems could create bigger problems. Azerbaijan took
    a similar lesson from the crisis; it was able to see that its main
    oil export route, the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline, was at risk and
    that sudden developments could occur in Nagorno-Karabakh similar to
    what happened in South Ossetia. According to sources familiar with
    the platform, the war in South Ossetia led Azerbaijan and Armenia
    to reconsider their problems, and it would not be surprising if the
    negotiation process between Yerevan and Baku accelerates after the
    elections in Azerbaijan in October.

    Armenia warms to 'genocide commission'

    The developments between Azerbaijan and Armenia and the warm atmosphere
    that emerged after President Abdullah Gul's visit to Yerevan on Sept. 6
    for a soccer game between the two countries' national teams may lead
    to a new phase in Turkey-Armenia relations, too. Diplomatic sources
    familiar with developments in the Caucasus underlined that during
    Gul's visit, the Turkish side got the impression that Armenia is more
    open and ready to show a stronger political will regarding research
    into the 1915 events which Armenians claim amount to genocide. Ankara
    is more optimistic now that Armenia could agree to establish a joint
    commission to study this period. The same sources point out that in
    addition to the commission of historians, other commissions such as
    one to improve cultural ties or economic cooperation may come to the
    agenda, but, of course, these developments will take time.

    The sources recalled that there were meetings between high-ranking
    diplomats of Turkey and Armenia and that these meetings have opened the
    way to regular meetings in the future. There will be a meeting between
    the foreign ministers of Turkey, Armenia and Azerbaijan, probably on
    the sidelines of this month's UN General Assembly in New York.

    Turkey closed its border with Armenia in 1993 in a show of
    solidarity with Azerbaijan, a Turkic-speaking ally that was fighting
    Armenian-backed separatists over the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh. A
    solution to that dispute is seen as crucial to any move to establish
    diplomatic ties between Turkey and Armenia.
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