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ANKARA: Reasons Behind Cheney's Visits

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  • ANKARA: Reasons Behind Cheney's Visits

    REASONS BEHIND CHENEY'S VISITS
    By Beril Dedeoglu

    Turkish Press
    Sept 14 2008

    STAR- Certain foreign visits are very high-profile, like President
    Abdullah Gul's visit to Armenia or his French counterpart Nicholas
    Sarkozy's visit to Moscow, while others keep to the sidelines
    or shadows. US Vice President Dick Cheney's recent trip to nearby
    countries fits in the latter category. Cheney visited Azerbaijan not
    even a month after the South Ossetia conflict, even as Russia hasn't
    implemented the cease-fire. Considering Cheney's itinerary, which
    continued with Georgia and Ukraine, it's clear that these visits were
    designed to disturb Russia. The US sent its vice president to places
    Russia considers vital in order to show that the US also sees them
    as vital. The US thus showed the entire world who it considers allies.

    Actually, nobody knows if the Azeris and Ukrainians really welcomed
    the visits, because being a close US ally in the Caucasus or
    Ukraine - that is, near Russia - carries a price. Russia can punish
    governments seeking a strategic relationship with the US, as it did to
    Georgia. Countries that the US shows a close interest in are likely
    to become Russian targets. Cheney's visits might actually endanger
    the soft Westernization policies of Azerbaijan and Ukraine, which
    stem mostly from their desire to get closer to the European Union.

    Even in explaining the reason for his visits, Cheney showed the
    nature of his expectations by stressing energy issues, and he more or
    less said that the US will do whatever is needed to keep Russia from
    being an energy monopoly. As his last stop Cheney met with Italian
    Prime Minister Silvia Berlusconi, as the issue of energy dependence
    on Russia worries the EU. Meanwhile, I guess by coincidence US
    Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice also visited Libya in a bid to
    normalize relations. Even if Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi signaled
    that he didn't trust the US, there was an impression that energy
    issues might encourage the two countries to get closer. So two top
    US officials pursued energy issues to Turkey's north and south, and
    thus showed the EU what Washington is pursuing in the Mediterranean
    and Black Sea regions. Meanwhile, Cheney stressed the importance of
    Turkey, located between these two regions and their energy routes,
    in terms of energy transportation lines, its strategic importance,
    and the usefulness of its possible EU membership.

    But Cheney talking about Turkey's importance might not be such good
    news. Actually everybody is saying that Turkey is important. In
    addition, when our conservative government thinks about it, there are
    many reasons to doubt that Turkish-US ties will develop in line with
    Turkey's interests. So the US is expected to toe Turkey's line on the
    Montreux Treaty, the future of northern Iraq, NATO enlargement, and
    how duties are divided in international peacekeeping forces. As part
    of this, Turkey might have to take measures to head off pressure in
    such areas as Cyprus, the so-called Armenian genocide issue, and the
    Kurdish issue as soon as possible, at least before Cheney comes here."
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