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  • No Great Expectations Should Be Anticipated From The Meetings Armeni

    NO GREAT EXPECTATIONS SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED FROM THE MEETINGS ARMENIA-AZERBAIJAN-TURKEY DUE IN NEW-YORK
    Karine Ter-Sahakian

    PanARMENIAN.Net
    23.09.2008 GMT+04:00

    Unfortunately, the UN is not a place to resolve arguments and
    conflicts; it is just a place where state representatives meet to
    discuss what they cannot converse over in any other territory.

    In the 63rd session of the United Nations General Assembly the regional
    states expect to resolve some problems related to the latest events
    in South Osssetia and Georgia. With the active Turkish diplomacy
    there can be set hopes on normalization of the Armenian-Turkish
    relations. Moreover, the trilateral meeting between the Foreign
    Ministers of Armenia, Turkey and Azerbaijan due on September 25 will
    apparently be held under US patronage, and most likely the United
    States will make every effort to have no Russian representative at
    the meeting.

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ Ministers will discuss the Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict - the main sticking point in the relations between the three
    countries. Quite possibly Ali Babacan and Elmar Mammadyarov will
    try to incline their Armenian counterpart Edward Nalbandyan towards
    refusing the OSCE Minsk Group services on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict
    regulation. However, Armenia will never agree on Turkey's mediation
    in the issue, as it would mean simply offering Nagorno Karabakh to
    Azerbaijan. But Turkey's pressure on Azerbaijan is also an option. The
    reason lies in the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline, which became
    insecure after the Georgian war. Actually the BTC proved that no
    long-term political project can be profitable if it is realized on the
    pretensions of politicians and their unquenchable ambition to isolate
    the neighbouring country, which in this particular case is Armenia.

    Meanwhile, the foreign policy of Turkey has been changing. The United
    States is no longer Turkey's major ally, and it may so happen that
    Russia, the country on which Turkey's economy leans, may take the
    place of the US. "Increasingly, Ankara finds itself at the center
    of bewildering crosscurrents. It's a strategic ally of the United
    States and Israel - but it also tries to maintain friendly relations
    with Syria and Iran. It is a candidate for European Union membership -
    but has divisions with the Union over Northern Cyprus. Its borders with
    the Caucasus, and cultural ties with Turkic republics in Central Asia,
    make Turkey a key part of Europe's hopes for energy independence from
    Russia - but it is heavily dependent on Russian gas and trade. Small
    wonder Turkey is refusing to choose sides," Newsweek reports. According
    to Russian Ambassador to Ankara Vladimir Ivanovskiy Russian-Turkish
    economic relations are developing dynamically and they are inclined
    to further growth.

    As we have been mentioning, Turkey is a pragmatic country and it
    will never act against its interests. The Georgian war showed how
    far the Iraqi war and Russian economy can make Turkey walk from its
    obligations towards the USA, in order to clear its own path.

    Nevertheless, no great expectations should be anticipated from the
    meetings due in New-York. The widely advertised meetings of Armenian
    and Turkish Presidents can only serve as a guise that conceals the real
    state of affairs. After all the UN is not a place to resolve arguments
    and conflicts; it is just a place where state representatives meet
    to discuss what they cannot converse over in any other territory.

    Its incapacity to resolve conflicts the UN has been demonstrating
    since the Balkan war, which ended in breakdown of Yugoslavia and
    declaration of Kosovo independence. Further, the UN was unable to
    settle the Georgian-Ossetian conflict, which resulted in changes not
    only in the Caucasus territory but also in the whole world. Let alone
    the UN resolutions on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict regulation,
    which were never executed. In our opinion, the current state of affairs
    has its roots in the fact that the Organization has turned into a
    one-way road. All it does is blaming others. Whereas when founding
    the UN, great American President Franklin Delano Roosevelt pictured
    the Organization only as a "peacemaker", in the true sense of this
    word. However, as it seems, the UN is going to suffer the same fate
    as the League of Nations, which had to dissolve itself after years
    of negligence.
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